Two New Gumshoe Offerings
July 15th, 2008   by StockGumshoe|       |
Well, the Gumshoe is back from vacation and I have two new services to share with you. I’ll be writing up some new teaser emails shortly too, but I’ve been getting questions about both of these services recently so I thought I should clarify what’s going on — one of the services is a new one from some outside folks who use my universe of stocks, the other is a “thank you” bonus for Gumshoe Irregulars.
First, a Gumshoe reader has come up with a timing system that uses the stocks I sleuth out in this space — so I’m giving him a shot at convincing you that he has the goods. This is a new service called Carrot Trader from Prime Line, which essentially does technical analysis timing signals for the stocks that are in the Gumshoe tracking spreadsheets, with lists that update every day of buy and sell and short candidates using different methodologies.
I don’t know if this will be of interest for all of you, but if it sounds intriguing I’d encourage you to give it a look — they provide a 10-day free trial so you can see if they’re selling something you want to buy, and if you do opt to sign up as a member they’ll give you a free membership in the Stock Gumshoe Irregulars as a bonus (Irregulars? More on that in a minute). They’ll also pay me, to be clear, so think of this as advertising. Here’s the link you can use to get some special treats that are for Gumshoe readers only — or just click on this ad:

And second, I’ve had a lot of questions about the Irregulars service lately — the Stock Gumshoe Irregulars (name shamelessly stolen from Sherlock Holmes’ Baker Street Irregulars) is the Gumshoe membership program — Irregulars are folks who have decided to support Stock Gumshoe financially, in order to keep the Gumshoe goodness flowing.
And it used to be that the Irregulars did so solely out of the goodness of their hearts, but in the last couple months I’ve been developing a special website that’s just for the Irregulars — so now they get a little something extra, whether they want it or not.
What’s on the site? Two main things:
First, I do a more in-depth writeup, once a month, of a stock that I think is a compelling buy. I’ve done two of these so far, both of which are trailing the S&P, so do note that (unlike the Carrot Trader folks) I claim no particular ability to pick perfect entry points in stocks — my analysis is based on fundamentals, and on long term holding periods of at least a year, with a preference for several years. I can tell you that I have personally done well in the market, but there’s no way for you to verify that so it’s largely a pointless claim … and I’m not likely to double your money every year with my ideas. I hope these ideas will help everyone make money, but they are certainly not foolproof or guaranteed, and most of the time the stocks I’m interested in will be more volatile than the overall market, which means that both up and down moves are likely to be more pronounced. So far they’re down moves, a few ticks worse than the S&P’s performance over the last six weeks.
Second, I provide some additional commentary on the stocks that have come up in this space — sometimes just some thoughts to try to tie things together, sometimes a comment on news items. Stuff that’s generally not exciting enough for a full Gumshoe article, but that folks who follow those particular companies might find interesting.
And third, I disclose my full portfolio and share my buying and selling decisions. I’ve beaten the S&P500 over the long term with my portfolio, but not dramatically — and certainly, my stocks have fallen badly this year along with everyone else’s, and I’m probably too patient with many of my losers. I haven’t checked my personal portfolio versus the S&P for the last few months, but it’s probably underperforming so far this year. Still, I’ve had several folks ask about this, and it’s here if you want it. I explain my buys and sells, and keep an updated list of all of my individual stock holdings. Since investing is always very personal, let me just be clear that there’s no reason to think that the stocks I own will be appropriate for your needs.
So … the Carrot Trader service just started up in earnest last week and I have no idea how they’re going to perform. They have a very different timing perspective than I do, which might mean it could give you some good perspective that’s quite different from mine (for example, the last stock I purchased personally had a “carrot sell” indicator two days before).
My Irregulars service started at the end of May, and, likewise, I have no idea how my favorite stocks are going to perform, confident though I am that they’re good ideas with compelling potential. The Irregulars site is still in beta, mostly because the email service is not yet working well, so you might not get any email alerts from that site — but the site is accessible and is being updated a few times a week, and the monthly stock writeups are happening now, with the next one scheduled for the end of July. I hope to have email alerts (no more than one per week) enabled for the Irregulars by the time the next monthly “best idea” article gets published, but it’s possible that hope will not be realized for a bit longer yet.
You can sign up as an Irregular by clicking on the Irregulars Only link at the top of any page on the site, or by using this link here for membership signup. It’s $49 a year, or $4.50 a month if you prefer to take it slow. Credit card payments are processed automatically through PayPal, or if you prefer you can sign up by mail with a check (Stock Gumshoe, PO Box 9751, Washington, DC 20016 — don’t forget to include your email). If you are one of the rare few who contributed in the past but didn’t get an email notifying you that you have access to the private site, let me know and I’ll track down your info.
There are a bunch of Irregulars already who are active in reading and commenting here, so perhaps they’ll let you know if they think the new premium site is worthwhile or rubbish — I promise not to edit any comments from them that might appear below, as long as they’re not genuinely offensive. I doubt anyone has tried the Carrot Trader service yet, but if you have you can certainly feel free to comment on that as well.
And of course, you certainly don’t HAVE to sign up for either of these services — these are both bonuses on top of the regular Stock Gumshoe site and email alert, and the regular free site is not changing. I thank you for considering these pricier wares, but I also want you to know that I really appreciate all Gumshoe readers, whether you contribute or not, and I hope you’ll continue visiting this space and spreading the good Gumshoe word.
Well, that ought to be enough shameless salesmanship to keep the lights on — on to some teaser writeups next, so stay tuned!
full disclosure: I receive compensation for any Gumshoe readers who sign up for the Carrot Trader service.
The author will always disclose any direct long or short equity, debt or option position in any stocks written about as of the day of publication, and will not trade in any stocks mentioned for three days (72 hours) after publication. Full disclaimer is at the bottom of the page.
More Gumshoe goodness:- Weekend Reading from the Gumshoe
- Secret Code: 925335AD3 (More on Secured Investment Contracts)
- "Cash Is Dead: Profiting from the Conversion to a Cashless Society"
- “Turn $10,000 into $25,000 with Company X”
- Skousen: “The Goose That’s Set to Lay Golden Profit Eggs on March 25!”
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Uncategorized
July 15th, 2008 at 11:57 am
Any chance we can find out who the member is? Obviously we have a couple of well respected readers of your forum who know the T.A. side things very well.
If they want to remain anonymous, I can certainly understand that.
Thanks
[Reply to this comment]
StockGumshoe reply on July 15, 2008 12:37 pm:
Hi Alyosha — I don’t believe the folks behind Carrot Trader have been active forum participants, or have participated otherwise in the site, they’re just readers and they use the stock universe I gather here as their jumping-off point for their analysis. They might have participated on the site without me noticing, but I’m pretty sure they’re not affiliated with any of the more active forum folks you’re probably thinking of.
[Reply to this comment]
July 15th, 2008 at 1:44 pm
To anybody who has been thinking about it but hasn’t joined yet, the Irregulars site is well worth the $4.50 a month. And no, I’m not a shill for the Gumshoe…just an average Joe trying to sift through the madness like everyone else. The honesty and quality are the same you get from the free site.
[Reply to this comment]
July 15th, 2008 at 1:55 pm
Aloysha and Jim,
To be honest, I learn almost as much from the comments of the posters, as I do from Gumshoe,,, It is the intelligence and insightfulness of the readers of this column, As well as Travis himself, who make this site a Gold mine. Just my two cents.
[Reply to this comment]
July 15th, 2008 at 2:51 pm
The carrot trader site is a joke!!! I signed up for it to check it out and promptly requested to be cancelled. I sure hope they honor my request. There was no place on the actual site to access a member section where I could request the cancellation. I had to “reply” to the automatically welcome email I received from them.
[Reply to this comment]
Carrot Trader reply on July 15, 2008 4:07 pm:
Hi Chris - thanks for your emails and feedback. The easiest way to cancel is directly through your PayPal account. We’ve added our phone number also should there be additional questions.
As I told you in our emails, possibly your confused about the signal generation routines and interpretation We’ve been at this market timing for 25+ years and have very successful timing products.
[Reply to this comment]
July 15th, 2008 at 2:59 pm
Gumshoe
What a brutal year! Schwab did an analysis for me and told me that last year I made 39%, so far this year I lost 14%. This is only July so I have the rest of the year to give back the rest. Sooner or later I’ll stop listening to advice. Your articles are the only reading these days that make any sense to me.
[Reply to this comment]
July 15th, 2008 at 6:16 pm
I enjoy the site and the input of others. Just joined the irregulars as you know and find the added info i nsightful.
We all do our DD when purchasing a stock but one of the toughest things is to know when to sell. It’s easy to say sell the losers and ride the winners but on your losers you always hope this last down day will see a turn-around. On the winners you are afraid that the next day will take away the gains you just made. Stop loses sound good but they can really kill you iif a stock tanks (you can end up selling way below your stop-loss). Any thoughts?
Again, I really appreciate your efforts.
Trevor
[Reply to this comment]
July 15th, 2008 at 8:58 pm
To The Honorable Stock Gumshoe:
Do you have a clue about Investment U’s “Shadow Stock Trading Strategy”? The teaser mentions Horacio Marquez, who supposedly has 25 years of financial experience. The service is on “sale” now for only $1,250 for the first year. The potential gains mentioned are staggering, of course.
Have you ever studied this one, or would you consider it now?
[Reply to this comment]
Doug reply on July 28, 2008 11:45 am:
I have also been wondering what these “shadow stocks” are. Has anyone subscribed to this or know what its about?
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July 15th, 2008 at 9:29 pm
I’m an Irregular, and I can say I’m very impressed with both the quality and the quantity of information. I don’t how many WPM the Gumshoe can type, but it must be a lot. I don’t know how he can crank out such volumes of quality material day in and day out here and on the Irregulars site as well, and still have time to do all of his research. Gumshoe, are you sure you’re only one person?
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July 18th, 2008 at 8:38 am
Shoe–I sent a 60.00 check 6/12/08 and have not received e mail confirmation. The check has cleared my bank on the account of Barney Palmer & Associates, [xx]. Would appreciate a reply and I would like to be an Irregular if possible. Barney Palmer.
[Reply to this comment]
StockGumshoe reply on July 18, 2008 1:12 pm:
Barney, I removed some of your personal info from this comment just for your privacy. I’ve tried to email you this info a couple times, please check your spam filter for messages from admin@stockgumshoe.com or travis@stockgumshoe.com, or contact me on one of those addresses and I’ll send it again.
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July 18th, 2008 at 9:00 am
Big Mo - Has to be more than one person. We learned in the Forum that the Thinkolator is actually five Cray Supercomputers wired in parallel. StockGumshoe’s IT department must be massive alone.
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July 19th, 2008 at 4:27 pm
I am interested to ferret out the merits of the carrot system and read their site completely (I think). my question is: are they looking only at the gumshoe universe of stocks or can I put in my portfolio and have their system help me with timing on other stocke not menti0oned in gumshoe.
thanks.
TJ
[Reply to this comment]
StockGumshoe reply on July 19, 2008 5:43 pm:
Hi TJ — I think that for this service they just look at the “Gumshoe Universe”, but they may offer other similar services … I’d ask them directly, or perhaps they’ll comment here.
[Reply to this comment]
Carrot Trader reply on July 22, 2008 4:29 pm:
Hi TJ - Carrot Trader looks at the “Gumshoe Universe” only. The system algorithms are based on Prime-Line’s “Prime-Align” real-time scan software, and also the Prime-Line Matrix… see Prime-Line.com for further information. If you’d like a Radar preview of the signals for your portfolio email us with the symbols.
[Reply to this comment]
August 19th, 2008 at 12:30 pm
Hi All @ Gumshoe,
Do you have any info on
ETF Master Trader.
Thanks you have saved me from a few sucker plays.
Lee
[Reply to this comment]
Lex reply on August 19, 2008 8:31 pm:
ETFMT is the real deal. I’ve done better than 600% gain in a year
[Reply to this comment]