Contest Tracking

By StockGumshoe ⋅ October 15, 2008
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The Gumshoe Contest that we held last weekend will go through Election day — the start date was Friday, October 10, using that day’s close … the end date will be U.S. Election day, also using the close.

Below is the spreadsheet, it will update automatically with delayed quotes so you can stop back often to see if you’re a winner. I didn’t include the names in the spreadsheet, but in the few cases where there were duplicate picks, the first person to pick the stock gets credit. In the cases where someone offered more than one pick, their first one was taken. In cases where a rule-breaking pick was made, it was ignored.

A few of the stocks aren’t tracking current prices correctly because they don’t have good US tickers, but I’ll check them before awarding the prize. If you think I mixed up your entry or missed something, give a shout.

The entries should all be visible below, including percentage gain or loss — if you want to look at the spreadsheet by itself, you can link to it here:

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Article published October 15, 2008 ⋅  Email This Article ⋅  Print This Article ⋅ Subscribe to Free Daily Update

1. Wow. These are the results from October 10 through the historic drops in the market??? As a portfolio, this would be worth a subscription! Amazing performance. The question now: What do we do with this collection? Since they performed so brilliantly through a disastrous market, should we purchase them now expecting more gains as the market recovers? Or were these gains the product of special circumstances that the contestants picked for the short term? Inquiring minds want to know.

   [Reply]

   

   StockGumshoe Reply:
   October 16th, 2008 at 10:42 am

   Remember, this is from the Friday close — Monday was far from disastrous. Tuesday and Wednesday’s falls pretty much just erased the gains on Monday, though we’re still going down. The overall list has more or less performed in sync with the market, give or take a couple percentage points, though some of them have had big sustained bounces so far (and some have crashed much harder than the rest of the market).

   [Reply]

   Posted by clint | October 16, 2008, 10:28 am

2. Hi Gumshoe
   I don’t see my entry for symbol JIN on the TSX
   I believe it was the last entry @ 9:30 Monday morning, right on the deadline.
   I must commend you on the time and effort you put into sleuthing the teasers and the great commentaries.
   I will always be an irregular although I have been accused of many other things!
   What a great range of ideas in the contest!
   Great work

   [Reply]

   Posted by Paddythe prang | October 18, 2008, 9:31 am

3. Sorry Gumshoe
   I see it as JINFF
   cheers

   [Reply]

   Posted by Paddythe prang | October 18, 2008, 9:37 am

4. Thanks for this!

   One tiny issue—an executive decision must have been made to leave these in order of suggestion rather than alphabetized by Ticker, but I do find myself wishing that they were alphabetized–makes it a lot easier to find particular stocks.

   [Reply]

   

   farley 5 Reply:
   October 18th, 2008 at 10:36 am

   You can go to the spreadsheet link, copy the spreadsheet and paste it to a program like Excel. Once there, you can sort every-which-way-to-Sunday.
   For more help, whisper me in the Forum.

   [Reply]

   Posted by David | October 18, 2008, 10:01 am

5. I ran the top 18 stocks (gaining 20% or more) thru Louis Navellier’s Portfolio Grader, which recognized 12 of them. The average score was a “C” (hold):

   NCC 64.00% F
   ARA 52.24% D
   PRU 39.72% C
   GERN 29.46% D
   CS 27.28% C
   GM 25.74% F
   PVX 24.74% C
   EPE 23.67% D
   WFC 22.42% A
   VLCCF 22.23% A
   SFL 21.38% B
   DRYS 20.44% C

   So, no apparent correlation between PG score and the current set of gains.

   [Reply]

   Posted by David | October 18, 2008, 10:31 am

6. By Popular Demand – Contest Spreadsheet – Technicals

   http://www.box.net/shared/b070gqu238

   I is interesting to note that 28% are on buy signals and 20 issues are rated 4 or better. DK why SKF is in the list since we were prohibited using shorts. Stocks are out of a possible 5, ETF’s are out of a possible 6.0. I will only update this spreadsheet on request as it is a bit busy here.

   [Reply]

   Posted by farley 5 | October 18, 2008, 10:50 am

7. Oops – SKF shouldn’t have made it through, sorry. Will also sort by ticker when I update it.

   [Reply]

   Posted by StockGumshoe | October 18, 2008, 11:21 am

8. “CONTEST TRACKING”

   Stated this on 10/11

   Mark Bohana Says:

   October 11th, 2008 at 4:32 pm
   SRS – is a small dunk, I have been upside down on this ETF for the past 6 months, expecting that Commercial Real estate is going into the toilet. Just sold for minimal % gain. Next week should be consolidating and witin a few weeks once the euphoria, the sugar rush is gone this ETF will take off.

   [Reply to this comment]
   According to my mathematics, although flunked 2nd year calculus, SRS should be 65% up as of Friday’s closing of $178.90.
   According to Fibonacci, this should go to 187.30 for the first leg up to $195.38.

   [Reply]

   Posted by Mark Bohana | October 26, 2008, 3:17 pm

9. So I cant remember what did I win?

   [Reply]

   

   StockGumshoe Reply:
   January 31st, 2009 at 6:29 pm

   Hi Ryan — you didn’t win anything tangible, I’m afraid. The two prizes were both given out by election day, I was just catching up in today’s email to see what happened to the ideas people had. You get bragging rights, for whatever that’s worth.

   [Reply]

   

   Ryan Reply:
   February 2nd, 2009 at 5:55 pm

   Oh thought i had won 100 bucks but I was just going to ask for irregulars access.

   [Reply]

   Posted by Ryan | January 31, 2009, 6:21 pm