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written by reader DOW Vs Promoter Returns ???

By drogrs8455, January 18, 2014

My mind remains confused by the comparisons of all these newsletter performance evaluations that tells us how great their recommended stock performance was when they had average return of say 20% while the DOW gained 30%. What am I missing? Just buy a DOW index fund and make 30% right? Seems to me a newsletter evaluation that was 40% gain over the DOW 30% would be an impressive winner and warrant the praise of being an outstanding newsletter. HELP. I do not understand.

This is a discussion topic or guest posting submitted by a Stock Gumshoe reader. The content has not been edited or reviewed by Stock Gumshoe, and any opinions expressed are those of the author alone.

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Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe
January 20, 2014 1:55 pm

I think you understand it pretty well! Newsletters and active managers have a devil of a time beating the market anytime, but it’s even harder when the market is in bull mode. I’ve seen a few of those ads that say something like, “see our 2014 picks because our 2013 picks included several 20% winners!”

Relative returns and opportunity costs are important, but so is your perspective — if you buy a newsletter looking for an education, some interesting ideas, and perhaps some amusement, you’ll find many that you probably like … if you buy looking for a portfolio to follow precisely that will beat the market most years, you won’t find many, if any, that please you.

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