Another Fan of SunPower?

May 6th, 2008   by StockGumshoe

Just a quick note here for you, no complicated teaser to suss out.

I received a brief email from Steve Sjuggerud, one of those Daily Wealth missives, and in it he teased a recent recommendation as follows:

“For my paid subscribers, I uncovered an extraordinary opportunity – the “Hillary Trade.” I found a tech stock that happens to own half of a solar power company… and its stake in the solar company is worth more than the tech company’s entire stock market value!

“Out of respect to my paying subscribers, I can’t share that opportunity here. But there are other ways to make this bet… and spread your risk… For example, you could own one of a handful of alternative energy exchange traded funds (ETFs), like the PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy Portfolio (PBW).”

Now, I obviously can’t be certain because that’s a pretty limited clue, specifics-wise … but I think I can be almost certain that this is teasing …

Cypress Semiconductor (CY)

Avid readers will remember that we looked at this one a little while back, as part of a writeup of a Navellier solar teaser … Cypress does own a bit more than half of SunPower, which technically isn’t quite worth more than CY’s market cap, but it is getting close, and you could make the argument that half of SunPower is worth more than $4 billion if you argue that SPWR is currently undervalued, as some folks do. Nothing of substance has changed at either company since the comments in this space a couple weeks ago.

I don’t know whether or not they’re right, but I do appreciate that SunPower is the big American company in this business, with the most efficient traditional solar panels and a good distribution network, and if Sjuggerud’s “presidential trade” is right and we’re going to see even more investment in solar energy under the next administration, this would be considered one of the leading companies to benefit — along, of course, with the other big ones like First Solar and Suntech power, and probably many of the tiny ones, too.

And just as an aside, my next door neighbor here in Washington, DC just had solar panels put on his roof, which he calculates will take about 20 years to pay for themselves even with the (fairly modest) federal tax credit — the city apparently doesn’t throw in more credits like California does. But who knows, if natural gas goes much higher and skyrockets electric rates, or he gets to sell his carbon credits someday, he might get to cut that number down significantly. And there’s the psychological benefit, too, even if you don’t consider the environmental benefits — he does seem to get a bit giddy when he stands out by the electric meter on a sunny day, watching the numbers roll backward.

The panels were put in by an authorized SunPower provider, by the way, who bragged about that connection with big signs on his truck.

And no, sadly, the installer was not Akeena Solar.

“Safe, Cheap, and in a Clear Uptrend” Sjuggerud

April 29th, 2008   by StockGumshoe

This one comes in as part of a teaser letter for Steve Sjuggerud’s special higher cost newsletter, Sjuggerud Confidential …

“the thing is, finding the bank that didn’t get into U.S. real estate, didn’t fall victim to exotic financial instruments, and didn’t take on too much risk, is like trying to find a needle in a haystack …. However, after some very in depth research, I’m pleased to report that I’ve found such a bank.”

Sjuggerud describes this letter as his way to recommend lower volume or more obscure stocks that he “keeps secret” and saves for the privileged few. That is, of course, the way Read the rest of this entry »

"As close to a perfect investment … as I’m going to get"

March 12th, 2008   by StockGumshoe

We’ve passed the one year anniversary of the Gumshoe’s first writing in this space with little fanfare, I’m afraid. It’s OK, I know you meant to send flowers. It’s the thought that counts.

And it was actually when I was going back through my old stuff and trying to figure out exactly what day I did start publishing (it was March 8, by the way — a day when I posted solutions to two teasers, one that I think will be a great long term investment, though it had a bad year in the end … and one that is the worst Gumshoe stock of all time: a terrible stock that still might go to zero, representing a company that did not, surprisingly enough, ride Taylor Hicks’ stardom to a Nasdaq listing or fame or fortune, and that has now gone so far as to apparently give up their fight and completely change the focus of their business).

But what caught my eye was Read the rest of this entry »