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2:27 pm
September 19, 2009


Darrell

Member

posts 310

LaughCLR just had a major hit in Lodgepole along with their readings of another pool , stacked-type, below other pools in Bakken.  You can read about the news on; BakkenBlog.com, then press news. DYODD..I own this.

12:59 am
September 20, 2009


Will

United States

Member

posts 290

spreadtrader said:

Will said:

Any of you folks follow Zion Oil and Gas (ZN)?  A good friend told me about them. THey have two liicenses to drill in Israel.  I got it at about $8 and a few weeks later it shot up by 87% in one day as reports of their rights issue was fully subscribed and they were able to raise $27M for more exploratory work. I was sitting on a nice 29% gain until the last week or so when it lost 50% of those gains.

My thinking is that if there are so much oil all around her, surely there must be oil underneath her (meaning Israel).


ZN is in the oil service sector and that looks like a good sector going forward especially when energy heats up again. But the ZN chart doesn't look so hot technically, so here's my 3 picks……and I like all 3.

KEG, GLBL and HNR…….in that order. KEG and HNR are getting close to my buy range, while GLBL needs a pull back. HNR has some political risk, but hey, who lives in a free country anymore? Protect yourself against the risk of the downside; and when I jump on any of these I'll let you kmow.


ST:

Have you jumped on any of these yet? This was a while back.


8:44 am
September 20, 2009


spreadtrader

Member

posts 361

I have not. I had a limit order in to buy KEG at 5.50 and it never filled. Probably should have sold the August 7.50 puts. They were probably worth about 1.50 when I posted. Do you see how that would have worked? 

Let's say you sold August 7.50 puts on August 11 for 1.50 (that's reasonable since the stock was at 6.15 on the August 11 close, so the August 7.50 put had 1.35 of intrinsic value, plus some time value). The stock closes at 6.89 on the 21st and gets put to you at 7.50. But the real cost is 6.00 because you pocketed 1.50 on the option trade (7.50 – 1.50). So now you're holding a stock that you paid 6.00 for at 6.89…you're actually up .89 cents. Pretty slick, eh? That's one way you can "buy" stock selling puts.

Of course, you could have sold the August 5.00 puts (for much less premium) and the stock would not have been put to you. You would have had to "settle" for putting the option premium in your pocket……oh well. Wink You could also have pocketed the premium and simply bought the stock on the Monday following expiration, again lowering the cost of the stock purchase by the amount of the premium you took in on the put option sale.

GLBL would have been a good one to do this with because it never pulled back. I still like both of these on pull backs, but I've gotten very particular about what I'm buying. Selling puts to make the stock "put up or shut up" Surprised may be a good way of buying these and other stocks where you want to play hard to get.

What do you think of the HNR chart? It has dropped off my list. Do you see why? 

Enjoy your Sunday.


4:27 pm
September 20, 2009


Will

United States

Member

posts 290

HNR is one box away from RS-sell and it's weekly momentum has been negative for the last 4 weeks. Besides that did I missed anything else?

1:24 am
September 30, 2009


Herry568

Member

posts 5

Thanks for update I check the site and find out every type of news. Thanks for sharing. I also appreciated the reply of your post, that is also too informative and interesting.

1:57 pm
October 7, 2009


at_the_track

Member

posts 75

Looks like Nitro Petro is cleaning house:


http://finance.yahoo.com/news/…..0&.v=1


ntro.ob

5:36 pm
October 8, 2009


Darrell

Member

posts 310

LaughI'm still holding, hell 0.02/share can't hurt that much and the high could be wonderful.

9:33 am
November 8, 2009


Darrell

Member

posts 310

Seeking Alpha has the BEXP article with the insiders of oil investment press on the web sit.  Go to ;Seeking Alpha, the on the right hand side they have the report on Bexp, please note that it is a 10 page article that I believe is a good view of the company and its future in the Bakken.Smile

4:10 pm
November 8, 2009


Will

United States

Member

posts 290

Darrell:


Can you cut and paste the link to the article you referred to. I can't find it?


Will

3:29 pm
November 17, 2009


asafp

Member

posts 281

Anyone know the scoop on ROSE? It seems to be on the move again.

8:40 am
November 18, 2009


Darrell

Member

posts 310

ROSE is a good company but overpriced in my estimate, with Nat Gas being the major plays at this time, I don't see any reason to buy with so many other producers out there at cheaper prices.

8:59 am
November 24, 2009


Darrell

Member

posts 310

New formation found in No. Dakota, Montana up to Canada, "Bearbird" found by WLL. We need to research it.

9:30 am
November 24, 2009


asafp

Member

posts 281

Another new oil formation for North Dakota?
Geologists look at the Birdbear, another ND oil formation to be tapped with new technology

This looks like a secondary or tertiary formation for the oil companies, but ND looks more and more promising.

Btw, I think one of them birdbears crapped on my car the other day.

10:00 am
November 24, 2009


Darrell

Member

posts 310

Sorry about the Bearbird as oposed to birdbear, but I'm getting upset at trying to get on this site. Mystuff ain't working right. I'm staying in oil because predictions are that there will be a shortage in 2010 and the middle east mess with Iran and Isreal. Also with companies shutting refineries permenently, gas should skyrocket.

3:45 pm
November 24, 2009


spreadtrader

Member

posts 361

Post edited 4:32 pm – November 24, 2009 by spreadtrader


Those are good points Darrell. I'm looking at oil with a longer term horizon (several years if my dollars last that long Frown). I like EC between 22.00 and 24.00, it presently trades just under 26.50. I like it because it is pretty well integrated from production to piping and refining. It's not paying U.S. wages to its employees and it has a 5% yield at my target purchase price range. It's state owned (Columbia) and has no options…….but you can't always get what you want. Confused

Presently, it's overbought but it looks like it could drop some……like I said, 22.00 – 24.00 abd if it does that I'll be on it. If it doughnut go there……….. I'll pass. There are lots of stocks. Laugh


……and don't forget BEXP, GTE, GPOR, NOG………and Rudolph.


6:01 pm
November 24, 2009


asafp

Member

posts 281

What about BPZ?

4:20 am
November 25, 2009


spreadtrader

Member

posts 361

Looks good too……….. as do GST, REXX, SFY and SGY. All are optionable, none are trusts or L.P.'s.

12:27 pm
November 27, 2009


TraderSteve

New Member

posts 1

What do you think about TRGL and the new shale oil Paris play? Interestingly enough it was one of the few in the sector show strength today…

3:03 pm
November 27, 2009


asafp

Member

posts 281

I don't know any specifics, but it wouldn't surprise me if strength was based on the pump and not on any corporate achievement.

2:06 pm
December 3, 2009


Darrell

Member

posts 310

The Bakken Blog is pointing out that EOG is going to enlarge its footprint in Bakken in a large program for 2010, as well as PetroBakken and Crescent Point Energy Corp. for the coming season in Canada's Bakken formation. To read more, ya'll go to Bakken Blog and click on news.

1:13 pm
December 6, 2009


BillyBob

Campbell River, BC Canada

Member

posts 9

spreadtrader said:

GLBL would have been a good one to do this with because it never pulled back. I still like both of these on pull backs, but I've gotten very particular about what I'm buying. Selling puts to make the stock "put up or shut up" Surprised may be a good way of buying these and other stocks where you want to play hard to get.


There was unusual activity in GLBL on the 15th and 16th of Sept. This is one of the stocks in my universe. The activity coupled with an almost upthrust I call it an upthrusty instead… with the divergence of CCI and williams% is a definite change in direction. And the confirmation of MACD in a couple days would make me relax a bit. My next potential end (divergence) on Sept 30 which was an upthrust day so down still in order. out Oct2 on divergence w/also Doji. (@ open on 3rd). no unusual options so down might still be on but I'd be out.


Oct 19 unusual again..watch… upthrust on 21st.. divergence 22nd in @ open 23rd… YAHOOOOO! div 26th no thrust or doji or options activity MACD still down …stay down. next div Nov 2nd dnthrust Nov3rd out open Nov3rd as normal, BUT… unusual options activity on Nov2rd with upthrusty AND divergence @ open 3rd is back in down! unusual nov9th w/doji & 10th say down w/div Nov10 say still down next Divergence Nov12 w/ no unusual or thrustys out Nov13@ open. Nov 25 unusual…watch… a downthrust Nov30 and divergence Dec2nd AND upthrusty AND unusual activity in for another down ride @ open Dec3rd.


I just happened upon a couple of your posts and GLBL was mentioned. I knew it was one of my universe of stocks so had a look.  WOW, probably couldnt find a better example of my strategy anywhere! I've booked it in my files! Is there a way to view all of your posts? I just signed in today and havent found it yet.


Keep up the good posts, I will try to be on here now and again, but work/volunteering and programing my system to be automated, I hope by Feb.. lol, keep me pretty busy.


Cheers, BillyBob  Smile

1:28 pm
December 6, 2009


BillyBob

Campbell River, BC Canada

Member

posts 9

spreadtrader said:

……and don't forget BEXP, GTE, GPOR, NOG………and Rudolph.



BEXP in my universe a couple of unusual occurences but no confirmations.


AND I couldnt find rudolph???  Laugh


BillyBob

1:37 pm
December 6, 2009


BillyBob

Campbell River, BC Canada

Member

posts 9

spreadtrader said:

Looks good too……….. as do GST, REXX, SFY and SGY. All are optionable, none are trusts or L.P.'s.


SFY unusual (both puts and calls)on Dec2nd AND divergence indicate a change, but what IS the trend? I'd pass for now. Only one in my world.


BBJ

11:28 pm
December 14, 2009


Darrell

Member

posts 310

LaughSmileWinkCoolAlert !! BEXP with drilling partner USEG just hit in Wiliston formation. Well pumping, 3,394 barrels per day…whoo….Congrats to BEXP and USEG holders…more to come.

12:39 am
December 15, 2009


dmanson

Santa Cruz, CA

Member

posts 72

too late to buy BEXP or USEG?

8:18 am
December 15, 2009


Darrell

Member

posts 310

There has been a pull back in price and some are predicting even more. I have no idea as for now, however, with the use of oil increasing in China and India, plus a supposed colder winter, oil prices will increase in 2010.

DYOOD…I love the Bakken Formation Laugh

9:50 am
March 2, 2010


asafp

Member

posts 281

rbcn, thanks for pointing out ROSE. I've traded it profitably a few times. It was floundering recently and got unfloundered after they released their financial statements.

12:35 pm
March 10, 2010


Darrell

Member

posts 310

Time to watch the Bakken boys again ? CLR is drilling on a new platform, 4 wells  per pad as apposed to the old 1 per pad. Marathon is drilling under Lake Sakakawea and XTO is doing 3-D in same area. KOG, NOG, XTO, BEXP and WLL are increasing drilling programs on paper at this time…I'm watching USEG and PPY.V for moves also. Will probably increase shares in CLR before they finish the 4 drill pad. Any thoughts.

3:22 pm
March 10, 2010


shredmonster

Member

posts 154

Post edited 3:27 pm – March 10, 2010 by shredmonster


Dorsey has a bearish price on CLR of $32.00 with 3 out of 5 on technicals and dropping.  Bear confirmed in all relative strength catagories.  They are suggesting long term weakness.

XTO on the other hand looks extemely good – I might have to get some myself.  They are in a trading band / triangle but looks like they could break to the upside. 


BEXP is kicking it.  Too late to get for me I think.  Made money on this one last year and missed it as of late.

NOG looking very good also  as is WLL.


I am currently watching GBG and SWC.

3:35 pm
March 10, 2010


stockcrazy10

Moderator

posts 481

Post edited 3:37 pm – March 10, 2010 by stockcrazy10


Re CLR:

Not as negative as it was….bear correction (as opposed to bear confirmed) since 2/18 / positive weekly momentum since 2/19.


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