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“The Fastest Growing Entertainer You’ll Never Admit to Knowing”

Sniffing out the inaugural teaser pick from Small Cap Gems

By Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe, September 22, 2014

“You’re about to discover the details on my favorite stock.

“Not because it’s cool (it is), not because the company makes a ton of money (they do), but because their growth model has almost no end in sight.

“They’re growing so fast because they’re filling an age old need and charging a premium for it. They’re catering to a clientele more than willing to shell out its hard earned money. And they’re growing by gobbling up all of the little guys.”

That’s a quote from an ad signed by Bret Jensen, who’s trying to get folks to sign up for his new Small Cap Gems newsletter at Investors Alley. And it looks like it’s the first teaser pick he has pitched for potential subscribers, so shall we see what it is?

We shall indeed. As befits a new letter (and a Monday morning), it’s not the absolutely most difficult teaser pitch to solve — other than the fact that many folks will be surprised that there’s a public company in this sector. But let’s walk through the garden of clues he provides…

“Another investing strategy I took from the book [Peter Lynch’s Beating the Street] was how powerful a market leader growing market share by acquiring less efficient firms in a very fragmented industry could be….

“Another company I have recently taking a stake in has an opportunity to consolidate and prosper within a more exotic space.

“And that’s the company I want to share with you today.

“It’s in a space that some investors may not even think to explore while others may be put off by the nature of its business. One should never be put off by potentially raking in double, even triple digit gains assuming the company is engaged in legal and ethical activities. And this one is.

“An Old Type of Entertainment with an Expanding Base

“This company is the nation’s leading hospitality company in adult clubs and the only play in the space that is a publicly traded company. It owns and operates just over 40 clubs in 10 states with half the company’s overall revenues come from fast growing Texas.

“And the stock is selling for just under over $11 a share.

“Breathtaking Growth through Consolidating a Fragmented Industry = Profitable Endeavor”

So yes, this is that stock that occasionally comes up when pundits write their semiannual articles about “sin stocks” and investing in tobacco, alcohol and gambling… the strip club stock.

Know it offhand? Don’t worry, we’ll get to it in a moment.

(We’re not keeping any secrets, we’re just building the anticipation. Taking it off one piece at a time, as it were).

Jensen tells us that the “adult club” is fragmented, and that there are substantial economies of scale to be had in “rolling up” the industry — consolidating to cut overhead costs, get better deals from distributors, etc. And they also, by rolling up the industry, get “grandfathered in” on locations — “adult entertainment” is not always a desired local business, so starting up a new club is apparently difficult. I guess that’s why Porky’s was out in the middle of the woods.

And then a bit on the numbers — about why this is such a good business:

“This company’s clubs are not for everyone but the business model is very attractive on an economic basis compared to other plays in the hospitality space such as restaurants and bars.

“Gross margins in those areas average a bit more than 35% on average on a historical average. This company’s gross margin company wide at its clubs is north of 85%.

“Operating margins are over 20% which is mostly unheard of in the restaurant sector. As can be seen below, the company gets high margin revenues from a variety of sources.”

And some new stuff that they’ve been doing to bolster the bottom line and grow:

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“They recently cut their lease expenses by over 40% annually at one of their two clubs in New York City by selling the “air rights” of that space for some $8 million over five years….

“They also partnered with a leading video company to come up with and launch a new upscale club model co-branding both of them. The first club with that concept just opened this year and is exceeding expectations by a wide margin….

“… the company is planning to open a new club in Odessa, Texas, which is the second fastest growing metropolitan area in the country. The city’s population has been bolstered by exploding oil and gas production.”

So who is this operator of “Gentlemen’s Clubs”? This is RCI Hospitality Holdings, formerly known as Rick’s Cabaret (ticker RICK).

And they are expanding in several ways, as teased, including some large scale bar/restaurants under the “Bombshells” name that they may be building near military bases (family dining during the day with “attractive” waitresses, gets racier at night — much like every other Hooter’s-inspired sports bar, though perhaps some of them also have a strip club connected). This is a huge business sector, with at least several thousand “gentlemen’s clubs” around the country, but I don’t know how big the “upscale” part of it is that they’re aiming to roll up in acquiring new clubs — not sure there’s been a census done of the number of huge, urban bachelor-party clubs versus the number of seedy truck stop one-pole operations. I can thankfully say I don’t know much about this business.

But yes, they do seem to roll through a helluva lot of money — at least, the big clubs do. They’ve been cutting costs somehow over the last decade, perhaps by changing the way they operate, so that more of the cash hits the bottom line these days than it used to — but they haven’t necessarily been a consistent grower quarter to quarter or year to year. I assume it’s acquisitions or buildouts that are causing the substantial variation in profitability from one quarter to the next, but haven’t looked close enough to know for sure — they have boosted revenues by about 50% since 2011, but profits have been fairly flat over those past few years of rapid revenue growth.

That indicates to me that either there are big start-up costs in their newer operations that will be worked out over a longer period of time, or the model doesn’t benefit much from “scale.” The gross margin is consistently very high, in the 75-80% range, but the selling, general and “other” operating expenses have risen in a straight line along with the revenue — makes sense, there may be room for some slivers of cost savings if you consolidate a chain of clubs, but you still have employees and real estate costs at each club. Part of the weakness may be lawsuit settlements, I’m not sure — you can get some sense of how the company thinks it’s doing in their latest quarterly release here, they do think that they’re in a “turnaround.”

Oh, and yes, they have opened a couple co-branded “video themed” clubs with Vivid, the pornographic filmmaker, including one in New York. I assume they’re popular, but don’t really know — the only time I’ve heard anything about that one was when the club got a lot of publicity (intentionally, I’m sure) for refusing to play the New York Giants games early last year when the team wasn’t doing well because it was bumming everyone out and “making the girls work harder.”

So… will RICK make you rich? Can the big national chain run a better strip club for the roughnecks in West Texas than a local entrepreneur would? Will the big, glitzier (and very expensive to operate) urban clubs rise or fall in popularity? I have absolutely no idea. The company looks decently priced at about 11X trailing earnings, but it’s also very, very small with a market cap of just over $100 million and about $70 million in debt. The stock has been wildly volatile, as you’d expect from a penny stock, with a huge run-up in the mid-2000s followed by several years of weakness — over the last five years or so it has been gradually ticking upward from $7-8 to about $11, with plenty of ups and downs along the way.

Have an opinion on the potential of the “gentleman’s club” business (sorry, “gentleman” really has to be in quotes)? Let us know with a comment below.

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bobbill
bobbill
September 22, 2014 12:27 pm

There will probably always be “gentleman clubs” around for as long as we have “gentlemen” in this world. I have been in these type clubs what I can count on one hand in my younger years but never had the “urge” to be a regular customer. Might be a money maker but believe I’ll pass on this one.

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robtcohen
Irregular
September 22, 2014 1:24 pm

NGHT (Nightlife) and SCRH (Scores) are two seeming competitors.
They are longg-shots, which none with a rational, prudent, sober mind would bet.
They’ll probably never get the two back to snuff(s), so then BUY some against conventional wis-dumb just in case.

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Anthony Vlamis
Guest
September 27, 2014 2:56 pm

I just wat to say say how much i like Travis Johnson’s” writing. Lately, it seems he articles are getting longer and longer so i often have to relegate a full read on something interesting for the weekend–like today.
Far be it for me to criticize Mr.Johnson , bsut smy only wish is for more out of him. I know he doesn’t gush about many of the stocks he reveals to us,a s his ending comments almost always attest, but it feels sometimes like he is holding back on a real golden egg that he is keeping to himself. That”s understandable as they don’t come long too often.
Whatever you decide, I reeeain a devoted reader, nd applaud your financial reporting.
So please Mr Johnson, if you feel generous while writing, throw us out a few names you covet to get our juices flowing. Right now I’m trying to figure out what fund(s) to buy to ride the next big upgrade in interest rates that most of the experts feel is certainly coming beginning next year.Again, i would love to see a piece by you on what funds to invest in that would profit by the rise i interest rates–other than the shortening up on maturities that i feel is only a partial fix.

Rusty Brown in Canada
Member
Rusty Brown in Canada
September 28, 2014 11:33 am
Reply to  Anthony Vlamis

Please bear in mind that there are strict limits imposed by the law as to who is qualified to recommend various investments, as compared to the rest of us, who are allowed to describe and comment, but not much more.
There is a definite line there that one would be foolish to cross and risk incurring the wrath of the authorities.

Jeffrey
February 8, 2021 5:58 pm
Reply to  Anthony Vlamis

So you are saying you have divined a secret stock portfolio and shot an arrow across from the vaunted Gumshoe Clipper. Travis is not only honest but our fearless leader. Truth telling is his 4 Aces.
We are not in Deadwood we are in Gumshoe land. Honestly is core here. Truth is a rare wonderful way for a stand up man. Kindness is also not nice it’s a Virtue.

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advantedges
September 22, 2014 6:09 pm

Timing is everything,,,,,,,The time for RICK was years ago. Will Adult Cabaret entertainment make a rebound? Not for your serious money, worth a look if only for the annual report!

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jonomalley
Member
September 22, 2014 6:17 pm

Moral issues aside (which I do have regarding these types of companies), I have to admit I couldn’t ever put my money into a business that I would have to bet or rely upon the type of people that would run these type companies. Sounds bad to say but don’t know how to word it in any more of a “gentlemanly” way. I just wouldn’t trust a person that thinks this is the best way for them to make money in life.

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vivian lewis
September 22, 2014 6:31 pm

The main reason so little of the funding for this kind of Gentleman’s Club hits the bottom line is the payoffs. You gotta pay cops on the take because the girls drink yellow water but the gentleman pays for whatever at a full markup. Also Mafia handouts are required lest they burn the joint down. There even are bribes to the taxis that bring the sodden gents to this club rather than another.
And lest you think I am being a female sexist, note that there are similar clubs for women, typically used for bridesmaids before a wedding or by co-workers. The women drink less and don’t expect to have sex while the night is young, at least not in NYC. And their parties are much sadder than the men’s as everyone behaves herself.

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wildesign
wildesign
September 22, 2014 8:13 pm

Female sexist…Not at all. Realistic…Yes. To shore up your point, I believe that Gotti Jr. was indicted for shaking down Scores.

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quincy adams
Guest
quincy adams
September 22, 2014 8:37 pm

Dang all these negative comments. Now I’ll have to stay home tonight and sell RICK tomorrow.

Alan L
Member
Alan L
September 22, 2014 9:45 pm
Reply to  quincy adams

Might try selling in after hours like the clubs do. LOL

Panama City, Florida: A Sunny Place for Shady People
Member
Panama City, Florida: A Sunny Place for Shady People
September 23, 2014 12:27 am

As far as economies of scale being defeated because you, “still have employees,” what I’ve seen is that clubs hire their performers–the bulk of the labor force–as Independent Contractors. The best economies of scale seem likely to come from achieving ubiquitousness: an expected standard of quality that causes a regular client of one location to choose another location of the same chain, over other local options, as the place to spend his money.

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Richard Pruett
Guest
Richard Pruett
September 23, 2014 8:24 am

I dunno. Even if the margins are good, I have a really hard time morally investing in sleazy industries, although I have owned shares in a couple of banks.

Gilmore
September 23, 2014 2:16 pm
Reply to  Richard Pruett

This may require some hands-on research. I’ll want to check the bottom line.

William F Tilson
Member
William F Tilson
September 23, 2014 9:25 pm

I looked ahead to see what the company was, and when I found out, I quit reading, but I may go back for a more comprehensive read this weekend when I am not as busy. My quickest take on the idea of a “Gentlemen’s Club” as an investment morphs out like this – when I was a kid, Las Vegas was owned and operated by what we fondly refer to as “the Mob”, and those guys built an Oasis in the desert, and they built it on cash flow, not stock. Then Howard Hughes buys the Desert Inn in 1967 because he does not want to move out of the penthouse, in come the corporate accountants, and the rest as we say is history. All of a sudden, America’s gambling industry is not only respectable, it is an out-of-control cash register which is getting plenty of Wall Street action. Now comes “Gentlemen’s Clubs”, aka strip clubs, topless bars, etc. In Dallas of the 1970s and 1980s, there are a considerable number of these toney establishments which literally print money – ask TGI Fridays why it chose Dallas for its second restaurant/club – demographics. As a dedicated bachelor and financial professional, my friends and I visit these entertainment venues frequently, and who do we see – try the CEO of one of the country’s biggest and most successful computer outsourcing firms, bankers, professional football players, i.e., guys who really like beautiful girls and do not have – or have chosen to ignore – significant others. The bad part ? The scuzzy weasels who ran the places. Oh my, this reminds of something I have seen before…oh yea, Las Vegas. I cannot speak for the business potential in topless bars over the last 25 years, but I know there are still beautiful girls and plenty of players and/or lonely guys who are interested in same. Corporate America moves in, cleans up the ownership and unruly behavior, and what do you have ? Maybe history repeating itself in a different venue. I discount the impact of religious fanaticism because Dallas is in the middle of the Bible Belt, and these places made money like it was going out of style. All sin is relative – gambling, strip clubs, whiskey, greed – depends on your mindset at the moment.

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Rusty Brown in Canada
Member
Rusty Brown in Canada
September 28, 2014 11:40 am

Neither had I until now. Thanks for the laugh-of-the-day for today.

paulad
paulad
February 23, 2015 2:54 pm

Watch out for small cap gems. I was was supposed to be able to cancel in 30 days. I was never able to. Then I went to my CC company and they cancelled it. SCG came back and recharged me. Once you sign up you may be stuck forever@

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