What’s the consensus on Seadrill? The company was supposed to have the latest equipment and a
by backoffice | June 11, 2018 10:28 pm
big bankroll to weather any difficulties in the foreseeable future. Unfortunately they didn’t have enough, cut their
dividend and ultimately filed for bankruptcy. The stock has bounced back slightly but what are the chances they see a turnaround?
Thanks.
Source URL: https://www.stockgumshoe.com/2018/06/microblog-whats-the-consensus-on-seadrill-the-company-was-supposed-to-have-the-latest-equipment-and-a/
Seadrill was a stock I wrote about a lot back in 2006-2008, but they certainly did fall on hard times, fueled by the massive amount of leverage in the business.
Normally in bankruptcy the shareholders end up with nothing, but in this case it seems like the bondholders will own 98% of the newly restructured company when it emerges from bankruptcy, and the current equity holders will own 2%. It will be a much better company with so much of that debt wiped out, but it’s also quite likely that the lenders who get shares of Seadrill will sell them pretty quickly, so the stock will probably be very volatile over the next couple months as people figure out what they think it should be worth. The sector is a lot stronger than it was a few years ago, thanks to rising oil prices, but there’s a lot of boom-and-bust to it as well and there’s no guarantee that SDRL will see another boom.
I’d be relatively positive about it, just because they should come out of bankruptcy pretty well-financed, but whether that means the shares should be at 10 cents prior to the emergence from bankruptcy, or at a dollar or more, I have no idea — haven’t looked at the details of their bankruptcy settlement.
I was looking for offshore driller stocks and found this one. Didn’t know any background so bought RIG instead. Rode it up a while and hopped off with a nice 40% profit. If I had chosen Seadrill by random chance at the end of June before they came out of bankruptcy at 10 cents my $10,000 investment would have gone to $2 Million when the stock popped up to $20. Hadn’t done the research on the company just looking for drillers. Never know what you will wander into or out of in the market.