Friday File: Buying Growth, Selling Mistakes… a Wild Week in the Real Money Portfolio

by Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe | November 9, 2018 2:37 pm

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Source URL: https://www.stockgumshoe.com/2018/11/friday-file-buying-growth-selling-mistakes-a-wild-week-in-the-real-money-portfolio/


10 responses to “Friday File: Buying Growth, Selling Mistakes… a Wild Week in the Real Money Portfolio”

  1. abhinavsukumar says:

    Travis, in your last Friday File, you mentioned about Activision Blizzard (ATVI) being tempting. It is down ~13% today. Any comments you can share about it?
    thanks
    Abi

  2. shahbijalj says:

    Thanks Travis. I really liked your insight on TTD. I was following the earnings call and couldn’t find anything negative so surprised with the move. This lead me to find how to value SAAS company. There may be either re-rating of multiples or with rising interest scenario discounting at higher rate. That means all stocks should go down but I was also following TWLO earning and that was up 35% after earnings. I still couldn’t understand if TWLO was up 35% then why not TTD. How to determine fair value of SAAS stocks is still a big puzzle. Would appreciate if you can share your thoughts on different models to determine fair value of cloud/saas stocks will be very useful.

  3. owo123 says:

    @Travis, I agree mostly with your comments and conclusions on TTD. However, I disagree with the assessment of their profit as being small. The profit for this year will be over $2 and probably close to $4 next year. This gives it a forward PE of about 30. Given that it grows revenue by about 50% and profit by about 90%, I believe that the stock is undervalued. This singular quality differentiates it from other hyper growths like TWLO and ROKU, and is the reason why I agree with your decision to buy more shares and I will be adding to mine too.

  4. cavemann says:

    Hi Travis
    I’ve been holding ATUSF for a couple of years now, adding a bit when it bottoms and reinvesting the divs. I’m pretty satisfied with their model and execution and I’m willing to wait a few years for the stock to really appreciate. At the same time I’ve been holding MPW and added more when it went down in February. With the nice rise they’ve seen lately, are you thinking of trimming the position or even exiting it now? They pay a great dividend but they seem pretty well valued today. I know you wrote how good you have done with this stock just letting the dividends reinvest. I also like the fact that in less than 2 years, I have about 10% more stock in the company than what I purchased but a 40%+ gain gets me thinking I might want to lock in that gain.

  5. hunerdbahger says:

    Can you look at Katusa’s latest picthes?

  6. JackInTheBox says:

    Great read! (as usual)…
    With $AAPL taking such a hit, how come BRK.B isnt getting hammered along with that. Its a major part of Berkshire (as you point out)?

  7. backoffice says:

    Berkshire’s position in Apple is not that high to affect it’s share price.

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