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Paul Mampilly’s 100x deal- sEASON 2

By LISIAS77, April 1, 2021

Dear Friends
Let’s keep the group “Paul Mampilly’s 100x deal” going
Thank you

This is a discussion topic or guest posting submitted by a Stock Gumshoe reader. The content has not been edited or reviewed by Stock Gumshoe, and any opinions expressed are those of the author alone.

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June 4, 2021 11:06 am

I abandoned IPO buys as well until I build my cash position back up. Holding on buying any more crypto for the same reason. I sold almost all of HYRE between yesterday and today, which is a good start for cash. I promised myself to set specific goals where I will take profits along that way, and I will stick to those numbers . In the meantime, I’m learning the art of options.

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DevilDog132
June 5, 2021 9:10 am
Reply to  luvpups

Thought for consideration. I looked at my HYRE yesterday thinking of peaking some off. I didn’t. I reflected back on my NNDM and MARA profit taking when they hit 100% quickly. They both kept going, and going, and I lost out bigly.

So, rather than selling out of a big winner, I’ve been looking at taking profits out of the small winners.

Also, on the 100x I really like, I get a bit of an oversized position, then if it goes up I can take profits but not disturb my original standard position. There will be the day, I imagine, where the first of these will hit 100x, and I don’t want to be kicking myself because my impulses caused me to be satisfied with a quick 2x.

Member
dap260
June 7, 2021 11:49 am
Reply to  DevilDog132

If you want to go 100 miles, and every time you get 4 or 5 miles down the road you get off, probably not going to make it there!

Irregular
Doc
June 5, 2021 6:12 pm
Reply to  luvpups

I maxed out my cash holding but I am not selling at this time. Growth stocks have just started to rebound and I think that they will continue going up.

Member
Lazut Inku
June 4, 2021 11:16 am

ADPT (PM’s TM). Also got a heavy recommendation at Jeff Brown. Jeff forecasted $1k to yield $275k.

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devildog132
June 4, 2021 11:21 am

6/4/21; 11:21; 100X; PSTI; $3.68 in the alert. It is already up over $4.

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Lazut Inku
June 4, 2021 12:39 pm
Reply to  devildog132

Thanks, DD. Got an initial position at $4.28. Little over, but don’t want to make the same mistake of waiting as I did on IDXG.

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Plexus
June 4, 2021 12:48 pm
Reply to  devildog132

I am very surprised that he would put a sell alert on DDD as that stock is his favorite 3d printing stock and he keeps on pushing it in every newsletter. Very hard to understand indeed.

Irregular
Doc
June 4, 2021 12:55 pm
Reply to  Plexus

IMO, in case DDD pull back, a 33% profit on call option is great for now.

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Plexus
June 4, 2021 1:25 pm
Reply to  Doc

A 33% profit would take DDD down from its current level of $30+ to about $20 – It just doesn’t seem realistic at all, especially when looking at the stock’s current bullish uptrend. I really wonder how he came up with such a call.

Member
Lazut Inku
June 4, 2021 12:58 pm
Reply to  Plexus

DDD: This sell alert is ONLY for options trading. DDD stays as the signature A2O stock in his PU portfolio. 3D printing is also part of Space and EV initiative.

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Lazut Inku
June 4, 2021 12:59 pm
Reply to  Plexus

DDD sell alert is only for options, not for PU.

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Carolinaboyp
June 4, 2021 1:48 pm
Reply to  Plexus

He only recommended selling the option trade on DDD. He still has the common stock in his portfolio.

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DevilDog132
June 4, 2021 3:13 pm
Reply to  Plexus

It was the OPTION. The stock is still in the portfolio!

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Micah
June 4, 2021 1:11 pm

Buy EYES (EF). $5.18-$5.72

Member
gadu76
June 4, 2021 4:39 pm

PSTH update (IK Strategic Fortunes)

We have news on our special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Pershing Square Tontine Holdings (NYSE: PSTH).

The company is in advanced talks to purchase a stake in Universal Music Group (UMG). When finalized, the deal will give PSTH a 10% ownership stake in UMG, valuing the company at $42 billion.

UMG is home to several of the world’s major artists such as Taylor Swift, Drake and Lady Gaga. With a 29% market share in 2020, UMG dominated the global music industry. The next largest companies by market share are Sony Music Entertainment with 20% and Warner Music Group with 16%.

This is a unique SPAC deal and will create three separate entities following its completion:

No. 1 — A 10% stake in UMG.

Pershing states the deal is structured as a stock purchase rather than a merger. So it won’t need shareholder approval. Upon completion of the UMG purchase, UMG shares will be distributed to Pershing’s SPAC shareholders.

No. 2 — Pershing RemainCo.

After the UMG stock purchase, SPAC shareholders will retain shares of a new entity, Pershing RemainCo.

Pershing RemainCo will not be considered a SPAC by definition, but it’ll possess $1.5 billion in cash usable for another deal in the future. This entity will likely target a company smaller than UMG.

No. 3 — Pershing Special Purpose Acquisition Rights Company (SPARC).

For every one share that PSTH shareholders own, one right will be issued to buy a share of the new entity “SPARC” at $20 per share.

This is technically not a SPAC but will be funded with up to $10.6 billion to put toward a new acquisition. SPARC gives PSTH shareholders upside exposure to a future acquisition without committing any cash upfront.

PSTH is currently down 8% on the news. Some investors sold the stock because they were expecting a different deal.

We see Pershing’s stock purchase and creation of two new entities as a bullish development that will benefit shareholders over the long run.

Pershing’s CEO, Bill Ackman, has plenty of experience investing in consumer-centric companies. For example, a previous SPAC by Ackman acquired a stake in Burger King at a valuation of $4.8 billion in 2012. Today, Burger King’s valuation sits 596% higher at $31.9 billion.

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bigdawgryan
June 5, 2021 1:36 pm

Several of PM’s recommendations are being added to the Russell 3000 Index:

https://content.ftserussell.com/sites/default/files/russell_3000_index_additions_-_2021.pdf

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eagerbeaver1
June 5, 2021 4:15 pm

I am new to PM.

Which one of the PM’s portfolio have had the best performance so far? And how many of the picks are in positive range usually after 2 or 3 months?

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seaturtle
June 5, 2021 4:19 pm
Reply to  eagerbeaver1

2-3 years… if your looking at 2-3 months Pm or IK are not for you. They are apart of the bigger movements that will happen in the future. They often say in their videos if you want 2-3 months then they aren’t for you. That’s not saying their option services aren’t 3 months or so. You’ll be dissatisfied if you think with 2-3 months. So 2-3 years minimum should be your outlook. Hope this helps. But True Momentum has been stated as being the best performer

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eagerbeaver1
June 5, 2021 5:10 pm
Reply to  seaturtle

Yes I do not have any objections holding 3 to 5 years… But seeing my stocks in red after 2 to 3 months waiting does not feel good.

For instance I have bought Pinterest, Opendoor, Fastly, ON, Apple, Schrodinger …. couple of months ago and they are all between -10% to -60%. No fun…

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eagerbeaver1
June 5, 2021 5:22 pm
Reply to  eagerbeaver1

What is the 2nd and 3rd best portfolios?

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Gonz
June 5, 2021 6:18 pm
Reply to  eagerbeaver1

I’m not sure but I think the top 4 in order are True Momentum, extreme Fortune, 100x and then Profits unlimited. Can someone confirm?

June 5, 2021 8:49 pm

Subscribers now have access to what appears to be a 3rd party review of the results of some of the funds. Since Inception, and as of Dec 22, TM has returned 54% annualized (3.5X the s&p), PU has returned 30% (2x the S&P). EF doesn’t have the report up yet, but I’m guessing it’s somewhere between the two. That’s pretty much in line with my experience. Actually, for some reason, my TM experience has been much higher than that, not sure why. I advise friends to get PU and if they can afford it, add TM. (I have 7 services now, but one pays for the other)

***to see the reports from Alpha verification, sign in to your account, pull up premium., pull up the portfolio, the link is at the bottom. IPO, TM, and PU have it. EF and SP do not yet.

Member
Gonz
June 6, 2021 5:53 pm

Do most of you buy shares of every stock in numerous of PM’s portfolios? Or do you pick and choose the ones you like best? I have small stakes in almost every 100x recommendation and then a few from his True Momentum, a few from his Secret, a few from his EF and a few from his PU. And a bunch of my own picks from elsewhere. I have so many more stocks than I can follow the news on – I probably hold about 70 different company stocks. Last week several more recommendations from PM came out and it just feels too much to buy shares of every one continually. How do you all choose, manage, etc. thanks.

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DevilDog132
June 6, 2021 8:57 pm
Reply to  Gonz

Same problem here.

One method I’ve used to whittle the numbers down is to cull out those that are not performing after 6 months.

I also have been exercising more discretion with those I get. Usually, focusing on those that are in the industries I like.

I am 100% into 100x however. I get them all early, and I have sizable positions in every one.

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drika33
June 7, 2021 12:18 am
Reply to  DevilDog132

I pretty much do the same buy small amounts into all of 100x and a few into TM and about 90% in PU and then reduce down the imbalance so for example if 100x few are not moving much I will reduce position down a little and put into other 100x position that is performing well. I usually use a month plus sometimes a quarter to balance out what is a better allocation but I tend not to take out monies from 100x instead just rebalance to better performing stocks. With PU or TM I will only buy when on my buy range – not the one suggested by PM because for long term stocks I prefer to buy them at a fairly decent value in my own range – one thing is clear no one including PM can predict optimal time to buy so that’s best decided by you and your own comfort level. Just don’t buy in lump this will never help drive to value and use DCA as a better way to help you buy at better times and average out the bad times. What I found interesting recently is that hedge fund managers are hiring like mad for Biotech leads into their funds so that tells me big pharma and big tech will likely start buying companies. Watch cannabis stocks I think the mental health crisis will be critical for big pharma growth and cannabis stocks should do well given some strong positive feedback on its value for mental health treatment.

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doctor_bb
June 7, 2021 2:11 am
Reply to  DevilDog132

Unfortunately if you’re like me, you only started picking up PM stocks about 6 months ago, and theyre nearly all down. Wouldnt leave much of a portfolio. 😉

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DevilDog132
June 7, 2021 6:18 am
Reply to  doctor_bb

I’ve been with PM for 3 years, so…

And now is likely a very bad time to be selling. I’d do it very selectively right now.

PM’s saying hold, and his advice is better than mine. But in the vein of management, I’d still consider “industry” as a key factor, and having too many in one industry basket. Maybe pick one 3-D printer, one AI, one EV, one Lithium, one Uranium, etc.

And as I said, I am all in on 100x. I have my 401(k) separate, and consider that my safe $. I’m swinging for the fences, so less risk averse with these PM recs.

Member
doctor_bb
June 7, 2021 7:58 am
Reply to  DevilDog132

Was just pointing out the bad luck of some us laggers 😉 and yup, agree, not the best time to be selling, but probably a good time to be doing a bit more diligence if picking up certain stocks too.

I sat and had a look at my overall portfolios the other day to do some rebalancing (not really on any of the PM, perhaps adding more when i trim the others). My non-PM stocks account for about 85% of my portfolio. My PM stocks, as I said, only really started picking them up around 6 months ago. Averaging 20% in the red. Just going to stick with my PM stocks and hope for the best on those. The others are performing and serving me well.

I’d like to have the optimism of some market commentators that think the spec/growth stocks are going to kick off again soon, but I think there could be some pretty bumpy times ahead. With my main portfolio, I’m repositioning out of a few of my growth stocks (that have done better than I really expected them to do), and into some more financials, industrials and a few others that have really strong balance sheets (and dividends). Sounds boring, but I’m going a little more defensive so I can sleep a bit easier 🙂

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June 11, 2021 1:33 pm
Reply to  DevilDog132

Of course, good luck to you my friend. Thank you for all your sharing.

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VENKATESAN
June 6, 2021 9:54 pm

Excel spreadsheet 1 0f 2 – 06062021
Thank you everyone for the generous contribution.

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Lazut Inku
June 6, 2021 11:20 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thank you!

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doctor_bb
June 8, 2021 6:36 am
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thanks mate! You’re going to have to update the format of this table next time paul gives a 100x 😉

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VENKATESAN
June 6, 2021 9:56 pm

Excel spreadsheet 2 0f 2 – 06062021

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June 7, 2021 10:12 am

flash alert to sell TELL, PM’S secret p.folio, I sold it last week by the way , Good luck guys

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June 7, 2021 12:43 pm
Reply to  Sam

Tell looks pretty bullish from chart.

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June 7, 2021 1:09 pm
Reply to  htl3721

by the way what is PM’s secret portfolio?

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Irregular
Doc
June 7, 2021 3:27 pm
Reply to  htl3721

It’s a paid subscription newsletter in which PM recommends small cap stocks.

Member
roberto45
June 8, 2021 1:20 am
Reply to  Sam

When was TELL recommended?

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Irregular
Doc
June 7, 2021 11:39 am

I already have CRNC, bought 20 shares at $42.10/share. PM has recommended it at $105. I may buy few more shares.

June 7, 2021 11:59 am
Reply to  Doc

thats was a great entry price Doc

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calculatedrisk
June 7, 2021 1:03 pm
Reply to  Doc

That’s a great feeling. Had this happen a couple of times where one of my stocks was picked up by Paul (DOCU, WORK – slack before the buyout). I have a couple other stocks that I think might end up being a pick of his in the future.

I wish I would have known about CRNC a while back as I really like it. I picked up a couple shares today at $113 in case it never looks back but am hoping for a pullback to the $90s before filling up. Averaging up is a difficult thing to do but in my experience when I’ve had the conviction to do that it has frequently turned out to be a good thing.

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Micah
June 7, 2021 12:28 pm

The market appears to be rebounding overall; albeit slowly. Hang on. #stronghands.

Irregular
Doc
June 7, 2021 1:30 pm
Reply to  Micah

Yes, growth stocks are rebounding! Finally, I am now in the green 1.52% YTD as of 6/4/21. It feels good even when I still have a long list of stocks that are in the red. LoL

Irregular
June 8, 2021 1:22 pm
Reply to  Doc

I subscribe to this service called map signals. These guys do a pretty good job of tracking “big money index” over a 25 day (& 10 day) periods – tracks institutional money outflow/inflow. It’s pretty helpful in identifying when a market is overbought or oversold and is fairly accurate in predicting which way the market is headed.

Anyways the latest analysis shows that there is a strong bull rally in the works (mostly buyers in the market now and very very few sellers) and they expect the market to pop in the next few weeks. They are also seeing a strong comeback in growth/tech stocks and not just buying in the energy & real estate sectors that have been strong recently

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Irregular
Doc
June 8, 2021 2:18 pm
Reply to  gbh94102

Glad to know this. hanks for sharing!

Irregular
June 8, 2021 5:30 pm
Reply to  Doc

For reference – see attached data. Actually pretty cool how it was helpful in predicting the market peak and subsequent correction. The table is the 10 day data that shows the buying spree. I typically tend to take profits/trim positions & not buy (unless its a compelling stock) when the index is ~90 and when it starts falling below 80 I start slowly buying. Note that is a macro trend and how an individual stock may behave is determined by a multitude of other factors.

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doctor_bb
June 8, 2021 7:52 pm
Reply to  gbh94102

How do you find the MapSignal service?

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Irregular
June 9, 2021 1:30 am
Reply to  doctor_bb

It’s ok. I primarily use it as an indicator to help me manage the volatility in the market and potentially time my buys/sells. it did help in Jan/Feb when they predicted that a downturn was imminent and I took some profits and bought back when they indicated that the market was deeply oversold. Its ~$50 a month and they also offer stock recommendations though I rarely avail of that. With the subscription I have they put out a market outlook for the week every Monday morning. I’m happy to post their projection here every week or in another thread if that’s useful

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Plexus
June 9, 2021 2:49 am
Reply to  gbh94102

I also recommend following @LanceRoberts, Chief Strategist RIA Advisors. He uses the same indicator and is always spot on. I highly recommend his daily “3 minute on Money and Markets”.

critic
June 9, 2021 1:52 pm
Reply to  gbh94102

Please do . That would be really appreciated. Thanks a bunch

rada44
June 10, 2021 1:45 pm
Reply to  gbh94102

Thanks for the information. I would appreciate seeing the projections here or another thread.

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Irregular
June 10, 2021 1:58 pm
Reply to  rada44

https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/riding-the-bull-market/?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Riding%20The%20Bull%20Market&utm_content=Riding%20The%20Bull%20Market+CID_4484a32399c99a60358df57cf70a74bd&utm_source=Email%20marketing%20software&utm_term=READ%20POST

That’s their “free blog” they sent out in the morning today. I’d ignore all the promo for their stock picks but tells you their logic as to why they expect a bull rally. I’ll post what I get from them on Monday

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Rada44
June 12, 2021 3:23 pm
Reply to  gbh94102

Thanks for the share. The chart looks like a bull run is ready. I already picked up some energy stocks and should look into some real estate.
Acknowledging mapsignal provides a maro view, is shorter timeframes available to view or only the 25 day?

Rada44
June 12, 2021 5:10 pm
Reply to  Rada44

I reread your thread a noticed the 10 day is available as well. I’ll blame my misread to my older eyesight.

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bigdawgryan
June 7, 2021 1:28 pm

Today, PM recommended selling MGA out of PU for a 34% gain based on the PU recorded purchase price.

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Darth J
June 7, 2021 1:31 pm

PM Profits Unlimited Sell Alert
Action to Take to Follow Our Model Portfolio: Sell Magna International Inc. (NYSE: MGA) at the market.
Right now, our position in MGA is up around 34%.

rajk78
June 7, 2021 1:45 pm
Reply to  Darth J

Can someone please explain what Taking profits means? Is it selling all stocks or selling the stocks that equals capital invested amount and keep the remaining stock?

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Irregular
Doc
June 7, 2021 2:06 pm
Reply to  rajk78

PM recommends selling MGA. MGA went up 34% since he recommended it so, that taking profit of 34%

Member
Gonz
June 7, 2021 10:06 pm
Reply to  rajk78

It means if you are up nicely on a particular stock, sell some of it to lock in the profit. There’s a chance it could go higher or lower but at this point you’ve decided to lock in some profits that you already made – by selling.

Member
Gonz
June 7, 2021 10:28 pm
Reply to  Gonz

This reply was meant for Rajk’s question. I clicked the wrong place

Member
DevilDog132
June 8, 2021 7:20 am
Reply to  rajk78

Taking profits is what I wished I had done a lot more of back in February. There was all this chatter about the market and some stocks being at all-time highs. I sold pieces of some holdings, but not nearly enough, in hindsight. Then the market corrected, and I regretted not putting more into cash, so I could take advantage of the lower prices.

Time’s to consider taking profits:

1) to improve or better enjoy your life! #1 on my list for a reason. Isn’t this the reason why we invest. Guy in my town died the day after winning $300k in a Queen of Hearts game. He was about 55. Use your “winnings” to enjoy life, as you never know when the bell tolls for you.

2)after an incredibly big move. Those big moves almost always pull back. Consider taking advantage of grabbing a little profit at those assume peaks.

3)to fund another position to add to diversity , or stick to a plan. For example, I have a set amount I put into every 100x stock if I really like it, I may put a bit more into it. If it increases, and another rec comes out, I may take profits by selling that excess in the position to fund the next 100x. I’ve been doing this partly because 100x is getting expensive to have my full position in each stock, and it was a mechanism to have 100x “fund itself” in a way. (I think there is about 22 stocks now, and no sell recs. At this pace I’ll need to fund over 100 positions if we don’t get sell recs until the 5 year mark.)

4) To invest elsewhere. I Once did a big sell off to pay for an office condo, as getting a mortgage out of state was a hassle. Recently I’ve been taking some profits (and some losses) to shift to some crypto investing. Other routine other investments or spending would include down payments on your home, or a life insurance policy, paying down debt. Back in January I took profits to pay off every credit card debt. In February I paid off my wife’s car loan. I consider whittling a debt down a great investment, as it improves your credit rating, gets you better rates for future borrowing, saves you time tracking those debts, and let’s you sleep better.

PM frequently reminds subscribers to take profits, enjoy your life, take care of your family, etc. Its fun investing, it’s great to see your “pile” grow, but the real value you’ll get in life is elsewhere, and investing is a means to an end.

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Jim
June 8, 2021 3:09 pm
Reply to  DevilDog132

Thanks DD for your valuable life lessons and investment advices. Really appreciate it. Also thanks to everyone who contributed to this links. And mostly to Travis for allowing us to use his space. Happy investing everyone…..

June 7, 2021 1:34 pm

alert at 1:22 pm from PU: sell MGA for 34% profits

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project4play
June 7, 2021 2:05 pm
Reply to  luvpups

In march, he stated this was a 3-5 year stock with 300% potential. He is definitely smarter than me but if you don’t need the funds for something else, I’d have a hard time letting go now. I’ve read all I can about MGA and only see a positive outlook. Thoughts??

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Irregular
Doc
June 7, 2021 3:31 pm
Reply to  project4play

I’m also surprised that PM sold MGA. I sold it anyway because I need cash

June 7, 2021 4:16 pm
Reply to  Doc

I am not surprised , my opinion is -we did hold so many stocks when it skyrocketed in Feb and did not sell , I guess Paul kind of thinks he should have sold for good profit as it will take a long time to reach that high again ..

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Mitel
June 7, 2021 2:30 pm

Am I the only one??? I saw the MGA on the sell list, and it’s gained 34% in only 4 months…..It looks like a rocket ship on the charts. Hated to sell it, so I reduced my position, and am letting the rest ride. For fun: The average sold stock for 2021 has gone up 4.5%. The average stock sold in 2020 has gone up 24%. BUT>>>>The average stock sold in 2018 has gone up 117%!!!! Since the service started in ’16, holding on a bit longer for 100% gains is worth it for me!

Irregular
Doc
June 7, 2021 6:42 pm
Reply to  Mitel

I’m with you on this one. I wanted to hold but I sold it any way. I was excited to get some cash hahaha. Then I bought more CRNC and DNMR.

marissa
June 7, 2021 5:43 pm

Although Mampilly recommends selling MGA, Ian King is still holding it in Strategic Fortunes. Not sure what I’m going to do. Maybe sell half.?

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drika33
June 7, 2021 7:32 pm
Reply to  marissa

I agree Marissa also some stocks come back on PU list looking at past positions. I’ve kept my stake in MGA because I see real potential and don’t need to buy immediate picks from PM – when a stock is recommended I find the optimal price to buy – lesson learnt from FOMO does not pay often enough and the right entry point for you is what counts of you believe in the conviction of the stock/company, I’m holding onto to MGA.

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Irregular
Doc
June 7, 2021 7:06 pm

If you are to pick five stocks that will rocket up in the next 3 to 5 years, what will they be?

Sharing yours ideas is much appreciated. Thank you.

Member
Gonz
June 7, 2021 10:00 pm
Reply to  Doc

This doesn’t really answer your question but my strategy right now is to have several of the FAANG stocks – Google, Amazon, Apple specifically. These giants are like The Blob. They just get bigger and bigger. And they’re fairly low risk imo.

Then I have smaller amounts in almost all of PM’s 100x picks, which I figure if PM thinks these have 100x potential, I’d be quite happy with even 10x. Then I have a handful of picks from his other portfolios, including pretty big positions in Stem and Palantir. In addition, I have pretty large positions in Volkswagen and Planet 13, Sofí, CCIV, Butterfly, and Arrival.

I’m heavy into growth – so this is high risk high reward and money I know I could lose. Or win big.

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