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PAUL MAMPILLY’S 100X – SEASON 3

By Sam, July 2, 2021

Hello Everyone I saw the text from Lazutinku , Hopefully everyone will see this thread and we get goin

This is a discussion topic or guest posting submitted by a Stock Gumshoe reader. The content has not been edited or reviewed by Stock Gumshoe, and any opinions expressed are those of the author alone.

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Irregular
Doc
January 27, 2022 11:09 am
Reply to  Sam

Thanks, Sam.

JMax
January 27, 2022 5:00 pm

I have started collecting some data on the Mampilly’s Services, Advances and Declines, and Percentage Gain or Loss for the Day. This may be depressing to some, but may be a good gauge of current sentiment, direction we are heading with these services , and when it comes “a change in that direction”. It takes me a while to collect so I do not want to do this unless the board sees it useful. I want to contribute where I can, your comments are welcome.

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segudge1
January 27, 2022 5:01 pm

Paul Mampilly’s calls for America 1.0 companies like AAPL to go to zero and America 2.0 companies like Robinhood are the future seem more delusional than ever
after today’s earnings pop from AAPL and HOOD’s fall into single digits with the huge revenue miss. I have about 25% of my portfolio in Mampilly’s picks and i don’t own HOOD so i avoided today’s carnage.
I’m starting to lose faith in his style of buying a stock and blindly holding it no matter the loss you have on it instead of using stop losses. Stop losses and portfolio protection by other means are time tested and valuable for
capital preservation. Tread lightly as Paul has completely ignored the environment investors are in today with rising interest rates, which has devastated many stocks in the portfolio which he deny has happened.
Profits Unlimited has been massacred since February 2021 and I can only imagine what the
other smaller newsletters like 100x and EF are down in same time period.

Good Luck

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Irregular
Doc
January 30, 2022 1:35 am
Reply to  segudge1

Between Paul and I, he’s the better investor. I have been a subscriber since 2019. Strong hands here. I started to dollar cost average on some stocks. I also bought some that I missed.

marissa
February 2, 2022 1:16 pm
Reply to  segudge1

I agree with you about blindly holding losing stocks. . It seems PM does a good job with stocks when the economy is good . However, when the economy is bad, he simply repeats the same mantra: that he is still BOP.
I noticed that When someone writes in to complain, he blames the investor by saying they didn’t equal weight stocks or that they probably only own 1 or 2 stocks. He also says past successes do not guarantee future success but is now using past comeback successes to justify his BOP stance. You can’t have it both ways.

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shoeingthatgum
February 2, 2022 3:17 pm
Reply to  marissa

Stupid Q maybe…but I have seen BOP mentioned throughout these posts and no one has ever spelled out the acronym. What does BOP mean? I assume it means stand the course or keep believing or something?

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Member
Bigdawgryan
February 2, 2022 5:43 pm
Reply to  shoeingthatgum

No worries!

B = Bullish
O = Optimistic
P = Positive

Member
February 6, 2022 12:53 pm
Reply to  shoeingthatgum

Bullish optimistic and positive

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segudge1
February 9, 2022 1:48 pm
Reply to  segudge1

On the 2-8 PU update Paul made the comment that when we look back on PYPL
chart we probably won’t even notice the 20%
drop?? $310 to $119 is 20%? looks like a 61% drop to me, but i guess when PLTR grows five times the size of GOOG it will make up for PYPL decline. I like the updates and I like Paul but some of the stuff he says need to be taken with a huge grain of salt.

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Member
doctor_bb
February 9, 2022 2:59 pm
Reply to  segudge1

Yep, no idea where that 20% number comes from. The only positive I see for PYPL is that we’re almost exactly back where we were before the pandemic drop, and haven’t dropped below the 2019 and feb 2020 high. There’s a fair amount of support at this price, but obviously a 2 year 0% return. I think it’s a buying opp, but its going to be a long long time to re-coup the losses if you’ve got in in the last 12 months.

All of these investment services love to just go back and look at their original recommendation date, or pick an optimal date rather than reporting on any continued recommendations that they may have given. Its one thing that I actually respect Motley for, because in their performance tables, they actually list the individual recommendation dates, including any updates, and show the relative performance for each time they’ve recommended the stock, and not do with Paul does which is prop up his overall service performance with a stock like Tesla… I find this pretty dishonest, and there are hundreds of professional investors out there that recommended Tesla years ago. Take TSLA out of PU and you’ve got a pretty lackluster portfolio.

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Guest
JayP80
February 9, 2022 4:08 pm
Reply to  doctor_bb

I agree with everything you said here. I’ve been a PU member since March 2021. All I see is RED on all his stock picks. I do own TSLA stock, but not because of a PU recommendation. I bought it much later than his recommendation and therefore, while positive, I have nothing close to the percentage gain indicated in the PU portfolio.

February 20, 2022 6:15 am
Reply to  segudge1

His main thesis about AAPL seems to be they don’t innovate. And yet, their Apple VR headset will (someday) be a replacement of the cell phone, literally, whenever its cost goes down from $2000. That’s not just an innovation, it is literaly the next leap forward. But remember, $2000 for its first iteration; we pay half that for Iphones now. AAPL cars next. And much more if you do just a little research. No one is that obtuse to AAPL’s plans “AND” is honest with his subscribers. IMHO.

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VENKATESAN
January 30, 2022 6:55 pm

Excel Spread sheet 1 of 2 – 01/30/2022
Thank you everyone for your generous contribution!!

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JMax
January 31, 2022 11:04 am
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thanks to keeping us up to date.

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Member
Bigdawgryan
January 31, 2022 12:40 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thank you for your efforts and sharing with the group!

Member
TY
January 31, 2022 2:40 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thank you!

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Shadiq
February 4, 2022 9:49 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thank you very much for sharing this and you are consistent. BTW your new updates on green still shows year 2021. I assume they are Jan 2022 ones , we are into new year now 🙂

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Member
Matthew
February 11, 2022 4:24 am
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Did everyone move to a different comment thread? May I have the link to the new thread, if so? 🙂

Member
doctor_bb
February 11, 2022 2:58 pm
Reply to  Matthew

Nope. It’s just quiet. Market isn’t having a good time, and everyone is probably sick of speaking about the red.

👍 232
February 27, 2022 11:34 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Reviewing your spreadsheet, we wondered whether DOCN 1/25/21 and IBM 1/26/21 listed are in fact 2022 stock prices? What about some of the other more recent entries? Please review and edit before posting.
Thanks…….

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Kristen
March 6, 2022 9:52 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Wow, this is great! I love this website. It really is refreshing how generous everyone is. This website is definitely one of a kind and its the founder and the people here that make it that way. Thank You!

VENKATESAN
January 30, 2022 6:57 pm

Excel Spread sheet 2 of 2 – 01/30/2022
Thank you everyone for your generous contribution!!

👍 1104
January 31, 2022 12:56 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Extremely generous of you to spend time on sharing this info. Thnks a ton!

Irregular
sd2u2018
January 31, 2022 5:30 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Missing Data from True Momentum – Hope you can see it ok

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Irregular
sd2u2018
January 31, 2022 5:49 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

added image as jpeg as I cannot see it as png

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Irregular
Doc
January 31, 2022 10:08 pm

Whoa what happen today? My portfolio is up 8.4%!

February 1, 2022 6:22 am
Reply to  Doc

Don’t worry Doc, it’ll be down again tomorrow. LOL. But for real, stay buckled up, the volatility isn’t over yet. I have faith in the long run, but I’m pretty sure we’re gonna see some bad (and good) days ahead.

Guest
Dex
February 1, 2022 12:36 pm
Reply to  mmatfess

Wow, so negative.

Irregular
Doc
February 1, 2022 4:47 pm
Reply to  mmatfess

I agree, there will be up and down days. With the big jump up and the volume of buyer,s I am hoping that this is the start of an upward trend. Fingers crossed.

I am heavily weighted on growth / tech stocks! Nasdaq was up about 3.4% and I was up 8.4%. Risky but it’s ok. Lol I can play with my personal portfolio.but not 403b.

Thomas
February 1, 2022 1:37 pm

Crypto Flash Trader Alert
For anyone still following-
Buy CRV
3.22 – 3.50 – 3.78 low- med – high entry

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Guest
Time to Roll
February 2, 2022 6:20 pm

My PM stocks down 2% today when the market was up, I feel cheated.. lol
META took a big, big hit after hours. -22%

tokyobill
February 2, 2022 8:56 pm
Reply to  Time to Roll

Personally I’m taking advantage of the huge dips in FB, PYPL, and SHOP to either establish or add to my portfolio.

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Guest
Julie Ash
February 3, 2022 9:26 am

Hi! I’m wondering if anyone has Ian King’s new 3rd Wave Crypto picks? I just watched his video on 2/2/22. Perhaps it will help us all get a jump start on the market. Let’s hang in there!

Guest
Julie Ash
February 3, 2022 9:45 am
Reply to  Julie Ash

Forgot to mention should be (3) brand new picks, thanks!

Guest
Old Oak
February 9, 2022 9:21 pm
Reply to  Julie Ash

I’m wondering the same thing… Ian King’s crypto picks have been excellent

Guest
Dex
February 3, 2022 10:54 am

I’ll tell you what, that SARK ETF is starting to look pretty tempting these days.

Guest
Mitel
February 4, 2022 3:04 pm

I’m starting to feel whiplash. It’s like one day the world is ready to re-invest in our stocks, the next day the rotation is out of growth/AM2.0. My PM Portfolio is up 3.7% today. Hoping to see a trend!

Irregular
February 4, 2022 10:08 pm

Now I feel better I just read an e-mail rom Trade of the Day stating the DOW is going to hit 50,000 by the end of 2021!

Member
doctor_bb
February 10, 2022 3:10 pm
Reply to  BACKOFFICE

Ha. 40% rise? They’re dreaming

👍 232
February 5, 2022 2:17 pm

Is DD132 still on this board? Am really curious if PM may have a market analysis separately for his 100x subscribers.

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Guest
Mitel
February 5, 2022 3:55 pm
Reply to  SillyRabbit

I’ve not seen him (DD), but I doubt they get much different analysis than what I get on inner circle. All 7 services sell more or less the same thing, and all the weekly podcasts, videos, tweets, etc are mostly a repeat of each other. Rules of the game, BOP, Am 2.0, 3rd revolution. 100x seems to use the same criteria, and most of the services only differ on market cap and risk criteria. If this sounds spicy or snarky, it really isn’t meant that way. For me the concept is simple: I buy 10 stocks, if 2 tank, 6 match the market, but 2 take off like crazy (ex: Tesla), I make a ton of money and I call PM a genius. If he picks 3 massive winners, he’s a super genius. I’d be bummed if I got in with him the past year, but I’ve used his service a while and even with this sector rotation, his picks still are beating the market over the long run. And if he’s right (which I think he is) and the money starts coming back to these stocks, I’ll be able to retire by 2025.

Irregular
Doc
February 5, 2022 7:25 pm
Reply to  Mitel

Me too, I believe Paul is right!

Irregular
Daniel Jamison
February 8, 2022 9:23 pm
Reply to  Doc

Saw this message at the top of the screen. Anyone know what it means??

Hello Everyone I saw the text from Lazutinku , Hopefully everyone will see this thread and we get goin

Member
doctor_bb
February 8, 2022 11:29 pm
Reply to  Daniel Jamison

Was just how the thread started. We were all talking in another thread but it got full. Comment just meant they hoped everyone would see the new thread and move over

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Member
atifstock
February 10, 2022 10:03 am
Reply to  doctor_bb

Is there a new thread now? This hasn’t been updated for last few days.

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Guest
Mitel
February 10, 2022 10:44 am
Reply to  atifstock

No new thread. There’s a lot more posting in good times. Right now we are all just sitting on the sidelines getting whiplash from the volatility.

Member
calculatedrisk
February 10, 2022 5:23 pm
Reply to  Mitel

Haha, so funny but so true. My account got back to the value it was Jan 18th today before being whipsawed down 10% between noon and the end of the day.

It does seem like our stocks are reporting pretty good earnings so far, hopefully we’ve bottomed. I don’t need to get all my paper losses back quickly, but it would be nice to see a steady increase. The volatility makes me feel like I’m walking on glass.

👍 249
February 13, 2022 2:31 am
Reply to  calculatedrisk

Really! I’m still far far from breaking even from February 2021

Last edited 2 years ago by SillyRabbit
👍 352
Member
calculatedrisk
February 14, 2022 1:50 pm
Reply to  SillyRabbit

I meant Jan 18th of this year, haha. I am way off of 2021 numbers too, but I do have a bit of optimism from these last weeks.

It looks like ARKK isn’t being relentlessly sold anymore.

I think that growth stocks are pricing in many interest rate hikes this year. So not far left to ‘disappoint’. If Fed only increases a little – quarter point – in March (the slow and steady approach that Powell typically takes), that might actually surprise to the positive side for some who thinks he’ll increase a half point. Also, ANY data that shows inflation is peaking is going to spur a rally in growth. As Paul recently mentioned, soon the YoY comparisons are going to be more favorable.

Lastly, the Russian-Ukraine situation that spooked the markets Friday HOPEFULLY will not materialize. It reversed the markets ~4% Friday (top to bottom), so a chunk is probably already priced in. Last time a situation like this occurred I read it caused a 5% selloff in equities. The article thinks this would initiate a larger selloff, but we’ve probably already realized half of it. Of course, if there is conflict we’ll see a further pullback, but we might stop right around the lows earlier in this year. Seemed to be a lot of support for our stocks when ARKK was mid-60s.

Anyway, good luck everyone! I feel like we’ve been beaten down so much that the risk-reward now leans in our favor. At least some of the above can present some catalysts for short-mid term positive movement.

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Irregular
February 10, 2022 6:11 pm
Reply to  SillyRabbit

I would imagine he does, but I’m starting to notice a lot of replays of old c-mons with the same stock charts of all the same periods when thibgs were going up, meanwhile my holdings are dropping down. Is there an end in sight?

Member
doctor_bb
February 11, 2022 3:32 pm
Reply to  Backoffice

I think the majority of economists were expecting a 20-25% drawdown on the major indices in the first half of the year. , which also means far more red for PM stocks. We didn’t get there with the first draw down (we instead had a pretty normal sized drawdown), and then had a bounce. I saw a lot of commentary that expected a short-term V shaped recovery, but then another expected big draw down post Fed meeting in March. But now with the Ukraine situation and the latest CPI figures the market, that V shaped recovery has stalled, and then market is heading back down. Won’t know until next week sometime as to whether this is normal volatility or whether that big draw down is going to happen earlier than expected.

Until there is some “good” news, I think we’re in for considerable pain. Its not going to be a nice year for those of us who are all fully invested (like me) , but I believe there will be great buying opportunities over the next couple of months with the second of the half year looking good (as long as the country doesnt go into recession, and the US isn’t involved in a war in europe. then all bets are off in my opinion)

I do wonder what will happen to stocks like TSLA

Wish i’d repositioned into more oil stocks. I’m giving serious consideration to cashing out on about 50-60% of my portfolio (which is in fact down overall) until April, but timing the market is always hard.

Similar trends expected for crypto as well, but with larger draw downs being pretty normal.

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Guest
greenpops
February 16, 2022 12:22 pm

Any new trade from Paul?

segudge1
February 16, 2022 12:48 pm

I guess we’re not getting the weekly update from Paul for Profits Unlimited?
I’m so glad i rotated large portion of my portfolio into all those stocks that are going to ZERO , such as JPM,C, AAPL, BP, DVN etc.
this kept my portfolio from being a disaster
like the PU portfolio has been since February of 2021.

👍 41
Guest
Dex
February 17, 2022 3:24 pm
Reply to  segudge1

We’re still getting the updates, but honestly, I’ve stopped watching them as they spew the same old sh*t every week. Starting to wish I’d done the same as you and rotated into those “zero-bound” stocks. Getting sick of this #BOP BS! The only thing getting Bop’d is my portfolio. “We believe the bottom is in”. Been hearing this crap for months!

Member
calculatedrisk
February 17, 2022 5:47 pm
Reply to  Dex

Yea, this week was the Reader Spotlight crap which really doesn’t help much. Been getting cooked like a rotisserie chicken in Paul’s picks. It really sucks. One thing I recognized lately that is giving me a perspective on it all…

It is not anything about Paul’s picks individually per se, this is all about the macro trend of absolutely crushing growth multiples. It has to do with the entire cohort of stocks he recommends. I have learned that a portfolio as Paul builds it (even if you diversify) is not actually diversified in situations like this because everything trades together.

I’ve basically been using end of year bonuses and income to pay for my margin mistakes. I’m lucky to be making a halfway decent income and living in only a small studio apartment with my wife. I guess those are the things to focus on now… $120k (such a sick number) of paper gains lost since the high in Feb 21 (about $70k of it since Nov 9th). PLUS, about $20k down on my capital investment that I’ve been putting in since 2015. Sigh…

With all that said, if you do some historical research you’ll see this has been a SICK sell-off / bear market for the past year. Lots of people have lost money, I just know I’ve lost even more from the high point because all my eggs were in this growth basket. Looking back on it, if I would have put everything in the bank instead I’d have $20k more (which amounts to what I can save in about 9 months). Instead I have lived a lesson, with the hope that we find a true bottom here soon…

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ATX
February 22, 2022 7:44 am
Reply to  calculatedrisk

Don’t beat yourself up so hard. We all learn as we make choices in investing. I had one stock in 2009 I had lost 30K on. It hurt and I finally let it go in 2013 to buy 500 shares of FB at $22 cuz they were the same price and I had 500 shares to sell. That stock is still around $22. That account started out with 40K in 2002 and by 2007 was at 120K then….55K by 2009. I wasn’t adding money to it so it pretty much stayed at that amount for a couple of years but that account is now after the recent downturn at 270K. FB helped. I sold 350 shares of FB on the ride up and the last at $330 last year. You’ll have a winner like that. I don’t even have a FB account but I knew it was a momentum stock.

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Guest
BCone
February 17, 2022 6:06 pm

PM TRUE M issued buy alert buy AMKR….20.72-24.34 on 2/15

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5166
February 18, 2022 10:43 am
Reply to  Sam

Thanks Sam! Can you say a little about the FSINSIGHT service — I like Tom Lee’ work and have considered it in the past. Are you finding that it provides value?

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Member
atifstock
February 22, 2022 8:47 pm
Reply to  bigbrain

Thank you Sam. Do you know any subscriptions for options other than paul?

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VENKATESAN
February 20, 2022 7:13 pm

Excel spread sheet 1 of 2 – 02202022
Thank you all for the generous contribution!

👍 1104
Member
TY
February 21, 2022 5:24 am
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thank you !

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VENKATESAN
February 20, 2022 7:15 pm

Excel spread sheet 2 of 2 – 02202022
Thank you all for the generous contribution!

👍 1104
Member
TY
February 21, 2022 5:30 am
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thank you !

👍 52
Member
TY
February 23, 2022 4:53 pm
Reply to  TY

IK SF Buy ON 2/22/2022 57.75

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Irregular
Danno
February 21, 2022 11:54 am
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thank you

Rohit
February 21, 2022 12:38 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thank you!

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rada44
February 21, 2022 8:07 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

thank you

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Guest
Maninthebox235
February 23, 2022 1:20 pm
Reply to  rada44

Is anyone a subscriber to rapid profit trader? If so, how has your experience been?

Member
atifstock
March 20, 2022 1:40 pm
Reply to  VENKATESAN

Thank you. Hey you haven’t updated the spreadsheet recently. I would really appreciate you if you do it. Thanks again

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