Happy Days are here again! Inflation is over! Woohoo! Or maybe not… but for the moment, at least, animal spirits are back, we’ve had three good weeks in a row for the broad stock market averages, coming out of the interest-rate panic that crested in October, and now everyone’s looking for a “Santa Claus Rally” […]
Author Bio
Travis Johnson is an individual investor who founded Stock Gumshoe in 2007 as a way to air his dissections of overhyped marketing pitches... and to share the "secret" stocks that stock newsletters hype to get your attention and your subscription dollars. His thinking? If you already know what the "secret" stock is, you can make a much more reasonable and thoughtful decision about whether or not to commit to an expensive newsletter subscription. (And if you don't pay for the info, you'll be more free to think for yourself about whether or not the investment is worth your money.)In his charmed life he has been, among other things, a university faculty member, a fundraiser, a writer, and a world-champion ice-cream scooper. Now he runs Stock Gumshoe for you, allowing us all to discuss and dissect the latest overheated stock ideas... as well as review and talk about investment newsletters and enjoy the commentary and opinions of Stock Gumshoe's other special contributors and the discussion with our unusually attractive, erudite and polite readers. He lives with Mrs. Gumshoe and all their little Gumshoes in the wilds of Western Massachusetts.
Author Archives
This article originally appeared as part of the Friday File for the Stock Gumshoe Irregulars on October 27th, and now that they’ve had a few weeks with it we’re opening it up to everyone, to help answer ongoing questions from readers. The story has not changed in any meaningful way in the past few weeks, […]
“The Motley Fool is shining a spotlight on what looks like ‘The Holy Grail of AI Sleeper Stocks’ ready to rise and roar to potentially meteoric gains… And we’re inviting YOU and an extremely select group of growth-hungry investors to follow along trade-for-trade!” That’s the lead-in to the latest sales pitch from the Motley Fool […]
November 13, 2023
Trade Note and More Quarterly Earnings Updates
We had a couple quarter updates come through on Thursday evening last week, too late to make it into the Friday File… so I thought I’d take a look at those quickly and see if they change our thinking at all. Three companies to check on today, one of which ends up being an add-on […]
November 13, 2023
Answers: “Reagan’s Final Premonition” (Secret Energy Grid)
We’ve published several updates of this article since Porter started his ‘secret energy grid’ pitch in early May of 2023. The following has been updated and revised, though the “secret” stock remains the same. Porter Stansberry knows at least one thing with absolute certainty: Using high-profile people and saying provocative things in your teaser ads […]
I’m finishing this Friday File up on Thursday afternoon, since Stock Gumshoe will be closed for Veterans Day (observed) tomorrow, and I’ll be traveling, which means I’m not going to be able to share my thoughts on a few key earnings reports that will be coming after the close today — particularly of interest to […]
Both versions of Motley Fool Stock Advisor, the US flagship and Motley Fool Stock Advisor Canada, have been out with teaser pitches about their “A.I. Disruption Playbook” investment ideas, and readers have some questions… so let’s see what we can tell you. First, the US version… “5 years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d grabbed […]
Marc Lichtenfeld’s latest teaser pitch can be pretty well summed up by this one sentence: “This is the absolute best time in 20 years to buy bonds. Right now, they’re offering BETTER returns than the stock market with just a fraction of the risk.” And that’s grown to become a much more common refrain in […]
November 7, 2023
Lango’s “My Top AI Moonshot” Pitch
I’m going to be quick today… Luke Lango has a teaser ad that a lot of folks have been asking about, teasing his “Next NVIDIA: 7 AI Moonshots with 100X Upside” report about some possible smaller stocks that could surge higher, and I can offer a little bit of info, at least. The ad presentation, […]
Six months ago, I don’t know if anyone would have believed that we could have a seriously weak Apple (AAPL) quarter, continuing to demonstrate their failure to grow as China challenges continue and the latest iPhone fails to excite customers… but that the stock market would have one of its best weeks of the year, […]
November 2, 2023
Porter’s “Goldman Sachs of White Trash”
I never wrote about this teased pitch from Porter & Co. last year, but they continue to promote it as a “special report” in selling subscriptions to his Big Secret on Wall Street service (usually offered at $1,000/yr… Porter & Co. is apparently going to be absorbed into Stansberry Research again, now that Porter Stansberry […]
Here’s the lead-in to the latest teaser ad from Nomi Prins… “Obscure Midwest Firm Races to Unveil… The ‘EV Master Key’ “A resource snag is slamming the brakes on America’s EV rollout. “But one firm using AI has unlocked a novel solution — and experts say it could unlock a $10 trillion windfall” So what’s […]
We’re re-posting this article just because the “interview presentation” that Alexander Green did to promote this idea is still being recirculated, without any real updates, but is now being called “The All-In Event” … here’s the current headline: “For the First Time Ever, Alexander Green Goes… All-In ‘My #1 investment for 2024 is one Wall […]
This teaser solution and discussion was shared with the Irregulars in the Friday File a few weeks ago, but questions are continuing to come in, particularly as Melvin pitches this as a “Buffett v. Biden” story, and there has been some more news from the company, so we’re re-posting and updating our solution for everyone […]
October 27, 2023
Friday File: Insurance and Tech Earnings
Let’s start with insurance, because I love nothing more than putting everyone to sleep at the end of a long week… Kidding! These are the companies that actually often get me excited, running through numbers in my head as I try to fall asleep at night — not many business models offer better long-term returns […]
October 26, 2023
Three Stocks for “$200 Uranium” Fortunes
There are three things that seem to excite investors at the moment, at least if we go by the focus of the current crop of teaser ads and the number of questions we’re getting: Figuring out how to deal with income investing in a higher-rate world, Buying oil stocks to benefit from continuing demand and […]
This article was originally published on August 24, 2023, when Shah Gilani was making a very similar pitch for these same three stocks. The current version of the tease is undated, and not quite as long, but he’s still hinting at the same stocks. What follows has not been updated since it was originally published, […]
“#1: Collect an unmatched 7.6% in tax-free dividends and save thousands of dollars on tax every year “#2: Get in now at a 15% discount “#3: Grab up to 87% in potential gains in the next 12-24 months “This is the BEST tax-free investment available in America right now” That’s the lead-in to the latest […]
The latest pitch for Dave Lashmet’s Stansberry Venture Technology leans heavily on Lashmet’s recommendation of NVIDIA many years ago… “Our Top Tech Analyst’s A.I. Recommendation Soared 1,466% – the Highest Stock Gain Ever Recorded in Our Firm’s 24-Year History “Here’s the NEXT breakthrough he says will soon improve millions of lives – and could 5X […]
October 20, 2023
Friday File: Royalties, Robots, Insurance and Interest Rates
What’s going on these days? It feels like the world is on fire, and that the divisions encouraged by extremist entrepreneurial politicians around the world are pouring gasoline on every spark, helped by “curated” and targeted social media and “news” sources that destroy even any common understanding of what’s factual and inflate opinion and perspective […]
Recent Author Comments
Posted on May 25, 2024
Posted on May 25, 2024
He has pitched a few, but most of his ads have pointed at Palantir (PLTR) over the past 18 months.[...]
Posted on May 25, 2024
Thanks Peter![...]
Posted on May 23, 2024
I would guess that in any objective, long-term study the answer would be that letting your winners run is the best answer, on average. Water the flowers, pull the weeds.But we're not studies, we're human beings, so we need to establish whatever guard[...]
Posted on May 23, 2024
I've never owned Microsoft, sadly, so I'm mostly being bitter when I say that I think it's too expensive, given the growth rate.But Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet are the likely winners of almost any big technology shift, given their current dominance,[...]
Posted on May 23, 2024
Don't remember ever really looking into either of those, what makes them stand apart?[...]
Posted on May 22, 2024
Looks like NVDA has endorsed the notion that AI spending is still growing fast. I guess beating estimates by 10% is "table stakes" when you're as richly valued as NVDA, so it's up only a little... but their 10:1 stock split will probably get some folks e[...]
Posted on May 22, 2024
Me, too![...]
Posted on May 22, 2024
Sounds roughly accurate, the Aussie shares are only about 20 cents each (in US$). Market cap around US$300 million these days, so it's nowhere near being in the IBM neighborhood. Maybe not even on the same planet.[...]
Posted on May 22, 2024
Could be, but they may not have any great prescience about timing -- Paulson has bought up a couple gold mining stocks and held them for something like a decade of sub-par returns now.[...]
Posted on May 22, 2024
They're all on the teaser tracking spreadsheets, including the buy price and date, but the AI ones aren't separated out. We've tracked teasers for 17 years, so quite a bit of data at stockgumshoe.com/tracking[...]
Posted on May 21, 2024
Depends on the crisis. I'm not terribly worried about the breakdown of the legal system and collapse of society, mostly just worried about currency devaluation over time... but everyone's got different risk scenarios in mind.[...]
Posted on May 21, 2024
No, I've never seen the gold market surge like this without much retail investor interest. Folks are saying it's all central bank buying driving the price -- dunno if that's true, but it does seem like interest is pretty limited among regular folks. [...]
Posted on May 20, 2024
Annual letter is out. No big surprises, mostly expanding on the patience theme with Broadband... though also highlighting some mistakes they've made. I found it relatively encouraging at first read, but will come back to it.Will be watching for the pr[...]
Posted on May 20, 2024
They might... but it will probably be an ultra-marathon, not a sprint.[...]
Posted on May 20, 2024
Good question, but I don't follow a lot of silver miners and don't remember coming across anyone that was similarly a "hoarder" of in-the-ground silver (since the Hunt brothers, at least) -- first ones I'd look at in silver are Pan American Silver (PAAS) a[...]
Posted on May 20, 2024
A couple insider buys trickling in for Acacia (ACTG) -- both the CEO and the General Counsel bought shares late last week and their filings came through today. Small purchases, but a nice indicator that they still think the price is reasonable... and I th[...]
Posted on May 20, 2024
Rio Tinto (RIO) has done well over the past decade, almost keeping up with the S&P 500. I don't have any negative feelings about them... they give good exposure to iron ore and copper, and the valuation looks pretty reasonable. They just don't provide go[...]
Posted on May 19, 2024
Yep, I consider those minor delays... but hitting HII too, which I own.[...]
Posted on May 17, 2024
Thanks Jamshid! I do love it... most days :)[...]
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I don't pretend to be able to predict the weather... but I know Markel and Nephila were studying the same kind of data before NOAA released their prediction.In general, bad catastrophe years bring higher rates to absorb those losses, and it works out f[...]