dweiss60

Author Archives

Recent Author Comments

On Friday File: REIT Beat and More

This is a tough one - as I see it Nokia has two very good businesses, Software and licensing, and one really bad business, network/telecom equipment, which has always been a bad business. The hope would be as 5G margins lift it eventually becomes a merely [...]

Go to Comment »
On Friday File: Marijuana Burning

You should check out TPB - don't know the names you mentioned, but TPB way down on vape worries, is a very well run company and has other good businesses that will be fine regardless of outcome on vaping.[...]

Go to Comment »
On Friday File: Sin Status

Hi Travis, what gives you confidence on Nokia that the current operating levels are a sustainable base, as opposed to already reflecting high telecom spend which will later decline? Cable capital intensity for example is steadily falling, and why wouldn't [...]

Go to Comment »
On Friday File: Markman's $5 "Next Cisco"

AGN has been a perpetual R&D disappointer. Botox SB ok, but the pipeline is mediocre at best, and stock is not that cheap when you normalize r&d (they underspend and compensate w M&A which they then exclude from p&l by adding back amortization exp.) Only s[...]

Go to Comment »
On Friday File: My "Top Ten," plus Some Adventures in Shorting and A Check-in on Gold Royalties

I still think there is a decent chance KERN options start trading over the next week or two, which would permit some more hedging - I think the stock volume could make it interesting to options market makers - one point I'm not sure on is whether it satisf[...]

Go to Comment »
On Friday File: China, Data Center and 5G Shakeup... plus a couple boring buys

On UPS - aren't their economics somewhat worse on ecommerce than on traditional drop off / delivery? Won't that mix shift be a long term burden on growth? Any particularly reason UPS over Fed Ex? Valuations are similar. PS - sorry for all the editorial to[...]

Go to Comment »
On Friday File: China, Data Center and 5G Shakeup... plus a couple boring buys

With Tencent, how do you get comfortable with the China ADR structure, where you don't really own an enforceable interest in a company, rather you own an interest in an offshore vehicle which owns an interest in a China based company that depends on the mu[...]

Go to Comment »
On Friday File: Buying More 5G, Earnings Season Thoughts, and more...

Nice summary on qcom and xilinx. With Nokia, are the sales recurring like qcom, or is it more boom/bust cap equipment cycle like the old lucent (or the old ericsson). If boom bust, won’t sales just fall once 5g buildout finishes? Or will buildout be so b[...]

Go to Comment »
On A Cube, a Metal Pole, and an "Absolute Killing"

Nice summary. Wish I’d followed you into QCOM. Doh.[...]

Go to Comment »
On Friday File: We're All Doomed! Maybe!

Fwiw, mktx, goog, msft, adbe, pypl, visa, amzn, nflx, pro, ttd, avb, tmo, CSU.to. I’d throw unh on there but think you can buy that today.[...]

Go to Comment »
On Yastine says "This Unheard-of Tech Stock Can Set You Up For Life … If You Act Before November 4th"

Fwiw, this stock does screen cheap on ev/ebitda, and if they focus on free cash flow and share repurchase (as opposed to m&a), there is a fairly clear path to $2+ fcf /sh over the next couple years. That's obscured by very high depreciation, which is typic[...]

Go to Comment »
On Friday File: A Little More Arbitrage, Plus Berkshire, Shopify, Starbucks and other Updates

Thanks, I have followed you into this trade. There is a small borrow cost on the short, so that has to be considered. In general, what I think you are taking advantage of is the fact that the warrant underprices the likely eventual volatility once the SPAC[...]

Go to Comment »
On Friday File: A Little More Arbitrage, Plus Berkshire, Shopify, Starbucks and other Updates

Hi Travis, do you short MTEC and buy warrants in equal quantity (1 warrant to buy 100 shares long, 100 shares short?)[...]

Go to Comment »
On What are the "Top Ten Stocks for 2013?" (StreetAuthority)

BUD is number 10? If it is, his clues are off - isn't up 137%, and the price is too high for the Morgan Stanley 2 mil shares, $140 mil mkt cap - and Fidelity doesn't own that large a position as best I can tell... HSIC is a good guess, except it doesn't[...]

Go to Comment »
On What are the "Top Ten Stocks for 2013?" (StreetAuthority)

I'm pretty sure it's ONXX - would have to be in the $70-$80 price range to fit the market cap clues.[...]

Go to Comment »
On What are the "Top Ten Stocks for 2013?" (StreetAuthority)

Nice Job! I plugged clues in for number 10 - ONYX Pharmaceuticals (ONXX) is pretty darn close - recession resistant. I don't know if Morgan Stanley owns 2 mil shares, but Fidelity has owned between 5 and 8 million over the last few months, share price is i[...]

Go to Comment »

We use cookies on this site to enhance your user experience. By clicking any link on this page you are giving your consent for us to set cookies.

More Info