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I recently signed up to Palm Beach Confidential (which does actually seem quite good). Had a phone call today from an Agora salesman who explained that ”by mistake” they had signed me up for their top end Palm Beach Infinity package, which includes their other newsletters (more or less worthless to me). Wouldn’t take no […]

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On COVID 19: What Are Prospects for the Duration?

What's the source for HCQ on its own not working? Here's a long list of studies https://c19study.com/ many of them using HCQ alone, where early use has been found very effective, together with an estimate of the number of deaths (570,000 at the time of wri[...]

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On COVID 19: What Are Prospects for the Duration?

"When Italy instituted containment measures, both the infection and fatality rate dropped dramatically" - which is what flu viruses do on their own with no lockdown, and what COVID did in the non-lockdown countries (Sweden, Belarus, Nicaragua, Tanzania, ef[...]

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On COVID 19: What Are Prospects for the Duration?

At low incidence rates (which is where we are now in most parts of the world) even a small false positive rate on the test becomes very important; at zero incidence, 100% of the positive tests are false . Here is a paper from a lab at Addenbrookes' Hospita[...]

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On COVID 19: What Are Prospects for the Duration?

"there is no evidence for lasting protective immunity to SARS-CoV-2 following natural infection" while technically true (it's a novel virus, so we've not had time to demonstrate lasting immunity) is misleading if people interpret that as meaning "it's unli[...]

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On "This Tiny Tech Stock Just WON the World War Against COVID-19"

I would be wary of any solutions to a "crisis" which the recent Spanish randomised controlled trial has suggested can largely be eliminated by a stiff dose of a vitamin D metabolite on admission to hospital: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pi[...]

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On Microblog: What is James Altucher's pitch on a pre-IPO that's going to return unbelievable returns

He might be promoting a supplier to Uber's self-driving project. There are many reviews of his services on Stock Gumshoe, worth doing a search.[...]

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On Microblog: What is James Altucher's pitch on a pre-IPO that's going to return unbelievable returns

Uber is a private company and it announced plans to have an IPO in the next year or so. It ran a self-driving car pilot project in Pittsburgh.[...]

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On Microblog: What is Dou Casey's 3 Canadian pot Millionaire Master Plan

This was covered recently by Travis in one of his articles.[...]

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On The 2017 - 2018 Flu Outbreak: How Bad Is It Really, and What to Do?

The anti-vax campaigners do tend to be selective about their statistics, talking about death rates like that rather than incidence rates. Sanitation and improved medicine were of course doing a lot to reduce death rates, although vaccination is as much abo[...]

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On Microblog: Crypto Currency Advisory Services - Which ones live up to the hype?

Specifically on whether the newsletters measure up to the hype, well they happen to have been benefiting from a wild bull market, but apart from that, they measure up to the hype about as much as the stock newsletters that Travis discusses. Most investment[...]

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On Microblog: Crypto Currency Advisory Services - Which ones live up to the hype?

It depends on your situation and how much you know about investing and cryptos. If you're looking for tips, an issue is that a lot of these markets are quite illiquid so when somebody publishes a recommendation there can be a spike, although it's usually t[...]

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On Microblog: 20k Alternative Investment plan

There's not a lot of context (Is this your life savings? Do you have an insight into Ripple that most people don't?) but my guess based on what's presented is that this sort of portfolio is most likely going to lose its owner most of the money they put int[...]

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On Mampilly's "Bigger than Amazon and Google combined" Stock Tease

Things have moved on a lot in the last 10 years. According to Tony Seba, the cost of solar+battery storage will very soon (next few years) be not only cheaper in most markets than conventional generation, it will be cheaper than electricity distribution co[...]

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On Microblog: #Technology > A Wide Angle Discussion of The Big Picture & It's Players

Maybe Patriot One $PAT.V $PTOTF https://patriot1tech.com .[...]

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On Exponential Tech Investor

Happy with the analysis and the performance has been good. Having said that, personally I don't find growth investing easy (I gave the dotcom bubble a miss for example) so I've closed out most of my positions, too early of course :)[...]

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On Is Aurinia's Supremacy in Lupus Nephritis Threatened by Glaxo's Benlysta?

Avita Medical (which I hold) seems ahead of Renova in this area, and Avita has a far smaller market cap.[...]

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On What's that "August 28 ICO" pitch from Martin Hutchinson about?

Goldstockbull you should charge $3000 ;)[...]

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On What's that "August 28 ICO" pitch from Martin Hutchinson about?

I took a quick look at farad and as far as I can tell it's a manufacturer forward selling their widgets to whoever is desperate enough to buy anything crypto-related :)[...]

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On What's that "August 28 ICO" pitch from Martin Hutchinson about?

The reason is just that exchange wallets are set up for trading between currencies, deposits and withdrawals; they aren't set up for anything more complex than that. For example, many ICOs require you to send an ether payment to a particular address, a[...]

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On Oncotutorial

I used Charles Stanley (old-fashioned phone broker). They are happy to deal in ARTH but they only operate in UK market hours. Interactive Brokers will do it, but with them you need to buy the USD that you need for the trade 2 days in advance, they don't do[...]

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