Hi everyone, I am a brand new irregular, very much impressed by the rich content of this site, Travis’ contributions and the lively discussions in the community. This is my first post. I consider myself a long-term investor, not a trader, who is using options to build-up stock positions and manage risk. Fifteen years ago, […]
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Posted on April 3, 2024
Posted on March 15, 2024
Interesting niche player. Historical growth numbers are impressive but I wonder how the ongoing AI revolution will impact their business? How vulnerable is demand for DV’s services when big tech players like GOOGL and META will increasingly use AI to boo[...]
Posted on April 26, 2022
Strange comment. At expiration, an ITM option contract will be exercised, period. For every seller, there must be a buyer. Who else is on the other side of the trade, you think?[...]
Posted on March 9, 2022
Yesterday’s price jump in OPTT triggered my GTC call sell orders (on 2/3 of the position):Sell Jan20’23 strike 2,5 call for 0,4 creditI left quite some money on the table as the same calls sold for 0,65 later in the day, but that is the price t[...]
Posted on February 17, 2022
Today I am celebrating the first anniversary of my little microblog, comfortably hidden in one of the dustier corners of StockGumshoe’s polygonal universe. Unknowingly, it looks like I have provided generations far into the future with a tale of what sto[...]
Posted on December 20, 2021
Stay far away from leveraged etfs for hedging purposes; please google ‘volatility drag’ or ‘beta slippage’ to understand why.[...]
Posted on December 12, 2021
Wise words Tim. I never sell either. Investing is a mind game and you are the worst enemy of your success. Adopting buy and hold as a strategy is a process that has to grow on you. I remember when I started swing trading fifteen years ago that like-minded [...]
Posted on December 11, 2021
Wise words. I never sell either. Investing is a mind game and you are the worst enemy of your success. Adopting buy and hold as a strategy is a process that has to grow on you. I remember when I started swing trading fifteen years ago that like-minded trad[...]
Posted on December 11, 2021
Wise words. I never sell either. Investing is a mindgame and you are the worst enemy of your success. Adopting buy and hold as a strategy is a process that has to grow on you. I remember when I started swing trading fifteen years ago that like-minded trade[...]
Posted on December 11, 2021
Very interesting observation on ROKU's volatility, thanks for pointing your followers to that MF article. High volatility is just a feature of reality for growth stocks: if you are scared of it, you will lose; if you learn to embrace it, you might win.[...]
Posted on November 26, 2021
Hi Tim,I do not remember giving any clues before, but I have one for you today as I am living in the city where option contracts were invented and first traded (in the beginning of the 17th century)! How fitting, isn't it?Yes, 'time in' rather than[...]
Posted on November 26, 2021
Hi SillyRabbit,You are welcome. I will analyze both positions more extensively in February, when I am exactly one year in both trades. The goal of this microblog has always been to demonstrate how selling options can be used to manage risk within a lon[...]
Posted on November 16, 2021
Rolling out the cash secured puts on both $NNDM and $OPTT in order to avoid gamma fear and (early) assignment risk this week. Below the specifics (for whoever might be interested):NNDM: Buy Nov19'21 strike 5 put for 0,05 debit Sell Feb18'22 strike 5 [...]
Posted on November 10, 2021
The more LMND shares drop in value by the time the deal closes (Q2, 2022), the cheaper the deal becomes and hence the bigger the holdup on MILE shareholders. What a perverse situation! For sure, I’ll vote against the deal, like many retail investors will[...]
Posted on November 9, 2021
What to think of the MILE-LMND 19-1 stock deal? At yesterday’s closing price of $70.5 per LMND share, it apparently values 1 MILE share at $3,71. Seriously? How many months are we after the SPAC deal and the consequent mania running it up to $20? Did the[...]
Posted on September 16, 2021
Wasn't MF 10X darling DNMR supposed to be promising in this space? Good example of spac mania, post-spac nightmare currently though.[...]
Posted on September 3, 2021
“And the options play I’m recommending with it, although higher risk, also comes with 7X potential in the next five months.”I don’t know how advanced this author is in his option recommendations, but if 7X potential is explicitly promised, the [...]
Posted on August 18, 2021
$NNDM: with elevated implied volatility (because earnings report today), strike 5 nearing ATM (yesterday's close 5.39) and an oversold RSI(14) reading (29.21 to be precise), maybe a good time for some action, so:Sold Nov19’21 strike 5 put for 0.8 cre[...]
Posted on July 12, 2021
Good to hear from you, Tim, thanks for your message! I'd love to visit Alaska with my family one day, it sounds great. Here in Europe travel between countries is still restricted with regulations changing by the week, so our holiday plans are still uncerta[...]
Posted on June 10, 2021
Indeed. To find the correct strike that yields 900%, you need to solve ((x-360)-11.6)/11.6=9 for x, which is 476. Of course, this result only holds on expiration day, when all time premium in your call option has evaporated.[...]
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Peculiar stock, this OPRA. 5y sales CAGR of 20%, no debt, buybacks and a 5% div yield, yet trading at a P/E (NTM) of 16. Still under the newsletter radar. A baby GOOGL of the AI era?[...]