The response of the market to the slightly-better-than-expected CPI number on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday really tells us all we need to know: When it comes to investor sentiment, it’s still all about interest rates. Slightly improve the probability that the Fed will cut rates at least once or twice this year, with a […]
I’m starting with a quick teaser solution for you, since we’ve got more people asking about this latest James Altucher ad today than anything else. I’m not going to go through all the detail for you, due to a lack of time, but it seems like folks are feeling itchy about this one so we’ll […]
Boston Omaha Settles Down… For Now Boston Omaha (BOC) shares have had a bit of a recovery from the angst-ridden lows caused by the departure of their Co-CEO a few weeks ago… partly because a couple insiders have stepped up to do a little insider buying, with a decent first quarter also in the books, […]
I first bought shares of Markel Group (MKL) about 22 years ago… but I sold them on a stop loss trade in 2004, because I didn’t really understand the company very well and it was going down in a rough year (turns out, 2004 was the last year that Markel reported adverse development of its […]
I posted a long Trade Note in the form of a Tuesday File piece earlier in the week, since the announcement about Boston Omaha’s (BOC) executive departure caused me to do a deep dive into the company and rethink my investment… I won’t repeat that entire piece here, but I generally think Boston Omaha is […]
A few hours after I posted the Friday File last week, we got some surprise news from Boston Omaha (BOC) — one of the co-founders and co-CEOs, Alex B. Rozek, has abruptly left the company, leaving CEO Adam Peterson, the other co-founder, in charge, and with control of all the super-voting shares. That brings up […]
We’re back in a “bad news is good for the market” mood this morning, it appears… a weak employment report means that investors can again have a little bit of hope that the Fed might cut interest rates sometime this year, and that means investors felt free to bid stocks up a bit. We have […]
Lots of stories this week in the world of Gumshoe, as earnings season really hits full swing, and lots of our companies reported earnings this week… I’m not going to get to quite all of them, but I do have updated thoughts and opinions to share on a bunch of stocks this week, and we’ll […]
Earnings season is officially sputtering to a start in the Real Money Portfolio, so we’ve got some meaningful new numbers from one of our favorite stocks. And it’s nice to have something real to talk about, instead of having to fret all day about whether the latest clues dropped by the latest hot company mean […]
If you think about inflation and interest rate risk, you can sometimes see how that plays out in a portfolio in real time — particularly if you stare too closely at that portfolio every day, like I do. And it can remind you of the value of real diversification — you want to own a […]
We’ve had another up and down week, dominated by daydreams of artificial intelligence riches… and nightmares about the Federal Reserve maybe not cutting interest rates anytime soon. The big picture remains inscrutable, with an economy that continues to hum along well, with low unemployment but inflation that continues to make people nervous, a Federal Government […]
Getting this out a bit early because everything’s closed up for the Good Friday holiday tomorrow. What’s up with the Real Money Portfolio? We did get a few final 2023 reports… and that led to some investment decisions on my part. The Boston Omaha (BOC) annual report came in a little later than last year, […]
We’ve still got a month or so of “lull” before the first quarter earnings season starts to perk up for our Real Money Portfolio companies, that usually begins with Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) and W.R. Berkley (WRB), who will probably have updates for us in the third week of April… but we haven’t had much chance […]
You’ve already heard quite a bit from me this week, since I shared the latest buy news from the $100K Lock Box portfolio yesterday… but I’ve still got a few things to share with you to close out the week… including one more add-on buy. We’ve got news from a few of our Real Money […]
Almost no professional stock picker or forecaster was expecting that 2023 would be a boom year for the stock market, and I don’t imagine that many folks were predicting that February of 2024 would be the best February for the markets in a decade, but still, we crave predictions. People are endearingly ridiculous, and markets […]
I’m on vacation this week, but still have a few thoughts to share on some of the earnings reports and other news items that we’ve seen since last Friday… I’ll try to keep it quick, and there are still plenty of earnings updates and news items I haven’t caught up on, so we have something […]
Inflation may not change that quickly, but inflation expectations can change very abruptly — like this week, when a hotter-than-expected CPI number finally pushed the market over the edge and convinced investors to stop expecting a rate cut in March, or five+ rate cuts this year. That relatively small shift in sentiment, with the market […]
We’ve got a couple trades this week in the Real Money Portfolio, as well as some updated thoughts on portfolio companies who reported recently, so let’s just skip the jibber-jabber about the S&P 500 hitting a new round number (closing above 5,000 for the first time) and get into the details. Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) […]
OK, so my Detroit Lions aren’t going to win the Super Bowl this year, thanks to that teeth-gnashing final loss last weekend. But it was a heckuva ride, my son and I had a great time and built some great memories watching the season and going to a playoff game in Detroit, and it’s been […]
Sheesh, Netflix (NFLX) reports a great quarter, enthusiasm for AI remains high, and we get new record highs for almost everything again this week. Things were especially lusty for most of the big tech names, including AI darling NVIDIA (NVDA) and Alphabet (GOOGL) in our portfolio, but also Microsoft (MSFT), which just bumped up against […]
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