Stock Gumshoe is closed in honor of Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. today, as the markets are also closed, but for those looking for a little reading… I’m sharing here a taste of the Friday File from a month ago. What follows was the final section of the Friday File I published on December 18 […]
I don’t know what’s going to happen to interest rates, taxes, GDP growth or the stock market, all of which are intertwined, but right now the sentiment expressed by the market seems still to be vaccine-driven optimism about economic recovery from the pandemic, which implies that the renewed push to speed up vaccinations will lead […]
As we close in on the end of the year, with the market still rallying so fiercely, I’ve begun to think about risk management a little bit more — I’ve been using the stellar performance of many of my options speculations this year to take profits and “let out the steam.” As I see it, […]
First, a hearty welcome and “thank you” to all the new Irregulars who joined us during the Gumshoe Gives Back campaign this week — we did set a new record, and the money is still rolling in… but you’ve got until midnight tonight to talk the rest of your friends into joining 🙂 And now, […]
Today I wanted to start by looking at an abrupt move from a stock I’ve been watching in recent months. Lemonade (LMND) soared 20% yesterday and a bit more still this morning, on no news… the stock is not quite back to its post-IPO highs of July, but it’s awfully close now. What the heck […]
We won’t be posting a Friday File next week due to the Thanksgiving holiday, and publishing will be light in general for the next few days for the same reason (though we will, of course, feature our annual Turkey of the Year) … so perhaps you can take some solace in the fact that this […]
Narratives and emotion drive the market in the short term, so last week we saw the tech stocks and COVID winners take another surge higher, perhaps in some surge of “election finally done” relief or just from the indications of a likely split government ahead… this week, some combination of Joe Biden’s election victory being […]
Quite a week, no? As expected, my predictions about the election were wrong… and, perhaps more importantly, even anyone making a prediction about how the election returns were going to come out would have probably been wrong in guessing what might happen to the market in the wake of those results. I expected there to […]
Kind of seems like everyone wants to run away and hide until after the election, no? I can’t emphasize enough just how happy I am that this will all be over a week from now… or, at least, that the voting and the initial results will be over, I hope the polls are correct and […]
Time for an unusual mid-week Trade Note for you, dear friends. I have a few cute little limit orders who had been sitting in the back of my brokerage account for a while, gathering dust and muttering about valuations, and the recent market weakness woke them up… so they just came running in to tear […]
Let’s start with the obvious, just to get my weekly brain dump underway for you: We don’t know what the election will hold, or where the market will go from here… I continue to think stocks are pretty expensive, particularly the hottest tech stocks (and I still own a lot of them), but I also […]
President Trump’s “germophobia” and longstanding reluctance to shake hands or hug people hasn’t saved him from exposure to the coronavirus, we learn this morning — both the President and First Lady have tested positive, following the announcement yesterday that Hope Hicks was going into quarantine after a positive test — but perhaps it will help […]
Here’s the way the world looks to me right now: The combination of a highly emotional Supreme Court fight, the failure of the government to agree on more stimulus/rescue money, and the way all that plays into the upcoming election and the virulent “end of the world” posturing we’ll hear from both major parties, means […]
Interest rates will be near zero for three more years now, we expect — that’s the basic takeaway from the Federal Reserve’s press conference this week. So what does that mean? In order to make money to meet their future obligations, retirees and pension funds and other investors have to take more risks. That’s ugly […]
My spirits have been lifted a bit in the last week… not so much by the general state of the world (unemployment is horrifying, the pandemic remains scary, politics has sunk even further into the gutter, a big chunk of the world is literally on fire, again), but by the return of some seasonal patterns […]
This would have been a good week to take a vacation. Market soaring on Tuesday, market crashing on Thursday, but when we look back on the whole thing it almost evened out — any ebullience we might have felt in the up days was matched by the panic as the market crashed back down on […]
Shall we stop for a moment to sing an early “Happy Birthday” for Warren Buffett? He will turn 90 on Sunday. And maybe another surge in Berkshire’s share price will get his fortune up to $90 billion before too long, fingers crossed on that (OK, probably not, he’s giving away his money so quickly that […]
Every once in a while I cite the DALBAR studies, or other indicators and reports that can serve as reminders that each of us is his own worst enemy in the market — and there was another such release of data this week. Vanguard looked at the small subset of its investors who were active […]
As I noted yesterday, I added to my Teladoc (TDOC) position because of the Livongo Health (LVGO) acquisition. That acquisition doesn’t make this less of a risk, Livongo was one of the few companies trading at an even more lofty valuation than Teladoc during this COVID-19 crisis (on a price/sales metric, at least — though […]
Stock Gumshoe is in hibernation for our summer vacation — we may pop in for a quick moment if there are any critical updates, but you’ve mostly got a break from my blather for the next couple weeks… I’ll be back by August 3.
Next Page »
We use cookies on this site to enhance your user experience. By clicking any link on this page you are giving your consent for us to set cookies.
More Info