Weekly comments from Stock Gumshoe, almost always published on Fridays (plus some occasional extra notes as news warrants)
Let’s start with the bad news… we got quarterly updates this week from Charlotte’s Web (CWEB.TO, CWBHF) and II-VI (IIVI), both stocks I’ve bought fairly recently (IIVI just a few weeks ago, CWEB a few months ago), and those are both in the red. Neither one hit a stop loss yet, but what did we […]
Earnings season is clobbering me with news once again this week, so there’s a lot to share… I’ll start with the actual transactions I made today, and move on to look at a dozen other stocks I own or am watching… buckle up! We’ll start with the one that probably most of you can’t easily […]
Happy Friday! I’ve got another reading assignment for you today… the researcher behind the Dunning-Kruger effect posted an interesting article called “We Are All Confident Idiots” a couple years ago that just came to my attention (I think someone posted it on Twitter, but forgot to jot down the original source). Here’s a little excerpt, […]
This week brought yet another push-pull to the markets as investors attempt to figure out whether Lucy is going to pull the football away from Charlie Brown again in the China trade talks, but the narrative that struck me as most interesting on the week was the line that was drawn in the economy by […]
A pretty quiet week as I try not to overreact to market gyrations, so we’ll be briefer than usual this Friday… but there are a few interesting things to talk about…. Crown Castle (CCI) reported a “beat and raise” quarter this week, if just barely. They raised their dividend roughly as expected this week, bumping […]
Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) hit a stop loss yesterday thanks to a sector-wide collapse of marijuana stocks. The big news that hits IIPR directly this week was that MedMen dropped its plan to buy PharmaCann, which is IIPR’s biggest tenant, so I did take the somewhat cautious step of buying a few protective puts just […]
The competition for your brokerage account has gotten fierce again, which is great news for investors. There’s no longer any reason to pay brokerage commissions for buying or selling stock… which makes it so much easier for small individual shareholders to be slow and gradual in their portfolio-building, and I think that’s great — don’t […]
President Trump and his team have reportedly been talking about ways to “delist China” from US stock markets or otherwise put up some barriers to prevent US investors from putting money into China, which put a scare into pretty much all the US-traded Chinese stocks and ETFs… I have no idea if that’s going to […]
Let’s start with some selling this week, a mix of profit taking and stop-lossing for you… I sold a bit more of my Apple (AAPL) position today, as it tickles the $1 trillion level of market capitalization (and the only company as large is now Microsoft… who would have thought, decades after the rivalry began […]
Here’s what I’m trying to avoid: Predicting the direction of the markets because of my deep understanding of US-China trade dynamics. Every time I read an article that asserts “China trade deal more likely because of Bolton firing” or something like that, I throw up in my mouth a little bit. The market is way […]
Gold had its worst day yesterday since 2016, so that was a little shock to the system — mostly, I think, because the latest leaks and Tweets about the China trade dispute were relatively optimistic, with meetings scheduled for next month. It’s hard to imagine we’re going to have a “real” trade deal before the […]
Things began slowly this week after a weekend of decadence in Las Vegas… what impressions did I have of Sin City? People aren’t gambling as much as the last time I was here a few years ago, the tables and slot machines were not so crowded, but there were still some big crowds of people […]
Today I’ve got a few portfolio moves to share with you that go against the Wall Street mantra (“sell your losers, let your winners run”)… last night I sold my position in Kweichow Moutai in China — this is a fantastic company, mostly because they have insanely high profit margins on their signature Moutai liquor… […]
What’s going on with the market this week? Well, the accepted narrative keeps shifting — first we had trade war panic as Trump announced new tariffs last week, then celebration as those tariffs were delayed to ‘save Christmas’, and the market is overly obsessed with the high-level game of chicken being played by Trump and […]
I covered a “powdered plasma” ad from Michael Robinson just yesterday, but it turns out the he’s also flogging “cryogenic blood” separately, in different ads for his same Nova-X Report newsletter, so I thought I better follow up to get rid of any confusion. The Thinkolator concluded that yesterday’s ad, teasing a Pennsylvania company, was […]
Another week of fussing about macro issues that we can neither control nor predict, what fun! The Federal Reserve did exactly what the market demanded in cutting rates, but the market was still mad because they failed to promise that they would give us each a pony. President Trump seemed angered by the lack of […]
Thanks for your kind wishes (and patience) as I took a couple weeks off with my family — we had a wonderful and relaxing getaway in a few of the jewels of the Rocky Mountains as we toured through some northern national parks, most of them blessedly devoid of cell phone service or wifi, but […]
I’m off to spend a couple weeks walking in the woods with Mrs. Gumshoe and the Little Gumshoes (though they’d probably want me to note that they aren’t so little these days), so we won’t have much in the way of new content at Stock Gumshoe for the next two weeks, and the next Friday […]
Happy Friday, friends! I don’t have any big news on the Real Money Portfolio to dig into at the moment (though the updated portfolio is here, FYI), so I’ll spend my Friday time with you sifting through another teaser pitch and getting you some answers… then we’ll get to a couple quick updates and thoughts […]
Indulge me for a moment, dear reader — I’m going to wander around thinking about valuation and about short selling, then get into talking about a current situation that closely mirrors some of the long/short pairs trades I’ve done in the past year or so. Then we’ll talk some about gold, since that seems to […]