I thought I’d start with a “benchmarked returns” question, since a couple readers have asked recently how the Real Money Portfolio’s returns compare to the broader market. In general, I have usually done a little better than the US stock averages (I use the S&P 500, just for convenience), but sometimes I’ve done a little […]
Blather alert… skip down a ways to the ***** if you want to get right to the specific investments I’m talking about today… The market feels very uncertain, despite the massive stimulus and reopening boost that we all expect to see in the real economy this year, and the doomsayers are clearly out in strength […]
We’re now a year past the beginning of the real full-on panic about the coronavirus, and just a year past the worst drop in the stock market in March of 2020, so I went back to read my stuff from last April to see what I was doing and how I was feeling. Here’s a […]
Markets are people, and people overreact — bull markets get too excited and people pay irrational prices for popular stocks sometimes, and bear markets get too fearful and people sell regardless of company fundamentals and drive prices down to silly levels at other times. We can come up with some assessment of what we think […]
Will this year bring a “wealth wipeout” as President Biden makes some effort to roll back the tax cuts of a few years ago, or as interest rates rise? Or will it be a massive rebound year thanks to government stimulus, really strong balance sheets among regular folks who have kept their jobs through the […]
I’ve been doing my once-a-year assessment of every stock in the Real Money Portfolio over the past few weeks, and this documents pulls all of the quick summaries of those together into one file, to make it easier to keep track of them. What follows is in alphabetical order…. I think I got to them […]
Let’s jump right into it this week… I’ll get our latest tranche of the Annual Review started with one of the smallest companies in the Real Money Portfolio…. Tiptree (TIPT) Buy below 75% of book value if you can be patient, with the 3% dividend yield making the wait a little easier — I expect […]
None of us who speculate or invest in individual stocks in a volatile market are really managing money with the dispassionate application of numbers and analysis, a computer could do most of that better than humans can… no, what we’re mostly managing is our emotions. It’s been a wild week, and it’s often hard to […]
Crazy week, eh? I guess it’s telling that it was really only the most boring positions that stayed in the green during Thursday’s tough sledding. In my portfolio the only little signs of green that day were Five Point Holdings (FPH), which is basically a land bank, Kennedy-Wilson (KW), which is a real estate asset […]
Finally we get a kind of almost bad week! Nasdaq 100 down 1%! Remember your stop losses if you use them, remember your plan for how to handle risk and your promise to yourself to have some discipline, and remember that when everything falls at once, that’s when you get to buy the things you […]
I’ve been falling behind on my Annual Review summations, so we’ll try to get to a bunch of them today for you… starting with what has usually been the largest holding in my portfolio over the past 15 years… Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) — I still consider Berkshire to be an attractive buy at 1.3X book […]
It’s been a phenomenal couple years for the Real Money Portfolio, but I should also note that this has been to some degree a “monkeys throwing darts” kind of market — as long as you did more buying than selling over the past couple years, and as long as you kept your exposure to some […]
With each passing day this week, I became more and more interested in “boring” stocks — there is ALWAYS a temptation to chase hot ideas, and I’m certainly not immune to speculation, but the GameStop (GME) craziness is too much. Plenty of folks have asked me about it, so I’ll just blather on about that […]
Bad news… Dream Finders Homes (DFH) did not partner up with Boston Omaha’s Yellowstone Acquisition SPAC (YSAC) to go public, as I had harbored some small hope they might… but good news, too, because DFH did go public this week, which came as a surprise to me on Thursday, since I hadn’t noticed the original […]
Stock Gumshoe is closed in honor of Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. today, as the markets are also closed, but for those looking for a little reading… I’m sharing here a taste of the Friday File from a month ago. What follows was the final section of the Friday File I published on December 18 […]
I don’t know what’s going to happen to interest rates, taxes, GDP growth or the stock market, all of which are intertwined, but right now the sentiment expressed by the market seems still to be vaccine-driven optimism about economic recovery from the pandemic, which implies that the renewed push to speed up vaccinations will lead […]
As we close in on the end of the year, with the market still rallying so fiercely, I’ve begun to think about risk management a little bit more — I’ve been using the stellar performance of many of my options speculations this year to take profits and “let out the steam.” As I see it, […]
First, a hearty welcome and “thank you” to all the new Irregulars who joined us during the Gumshoe Gives Back campaign this week — we did set a new record, and the money is still rolling in… but you’ve got until midnight tonight to talk the rest of your friends into joining 🙂 And now, […]
Today I wanted to start by looking at an abrupt move from a stock I’ve been watching in recent months. Lemonade (LMND) soared 20% yesterday and a bit more still this morning, on no news… the stock is not quite back to its post-IPO highs of July, but it’s awfully close now. What the heck […]
We won’t be posting a Friday File next week due to the Thanksgiving holiday, and publishing will be light in general for the next few days for the same reason (though we will, of course, feature our annual Turkey of the Year) … so perhaps you can take some solace in the fact that this […]
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