I’m finishing this Friday File up on Thursday afternoon, since Stock Gumshoe will be closed for Veterans Day (observed) tomorrow, and I’ll be traveling, which means I’m not going to be able to share my thoughts on a few key earnings reports that will be coming after the close today — particularly of interest to […]
Six months ago, I don’t know if anyone would have believed that we could have a seriously weak Apple (AAPL) quarter, continuing to demonstrate their failure to grow as China challenges continue and the latest iPhone fails to excite customers… but that the stock market would have one of its best weeks of the year, […]
Let’s start with insurance, because I love nothing more than putting everyone to sleep at the end of a long week… Kidding! These are the companies that actually often get me excited, running through numbers in my head as I try to fall asleep at night — not many business models offer better long-term returns […]
What’s going on these days? It feels like the world is on fire, and that the divisions encouraged by extremist entrepreneurial politicians around the world are pouring gasoline on every spark, helped by “curated” and targeted social media and “news” sources that destroy even any common understanding of what’s factual and inflate opinion and perspective […]
Talk of the real estate and corporate debt apocalypse continues, as rates remain high and investors begin to believe that they will remain “higher for longer,” and the lagging impact of that on some types of investments continues to hit the markets — especially with REITs and utilities and other very interest rate-sensitive businesses. There’s […]
I’m on the road to Parents Weekend at my daughter’s college, which is certainly making me feel old as she chugs along in her sophomore year, so we’ll get this out a bit early today… Lots of ugliness in the market over the past couple weeks, which means a few of my long-term favorites are […]
With oil prices rising, our minds might reasonably drift back to the half-dozen or so energy companies who were teased earlier in the year… particularly because despite the spike back up in oil prices, most of them are still trailing the S&P 500 returns since they were teased, and those higher prices could have a […]
There is a lot of financial uncertainty in the US right now, with the UAW strike potentially leading to some major slowdowns if it continues, the resumption of student loan payments next month that will squeeze a lot of household budgets, a rising oil price and some worrying signs about inflation staying persistent, and the […]
A couple minor updates this week… then I’ll dig into my theme of patience — which of my investments that fall into the “long duration stories which require patience” are really worthy of that patience right now, given recent updates? That’s a loaded question, but thinking it through led me to sell two positions, add […]
It’s been a pretty wild couple years since I launched our $100K Lock Box portfolio, which is essentially designed to choose small growth stocks and ignore them for five years… and the stories behind some of those stocks have changed dramatically in the interim, so I’ve gotten a lot of questions from newer readers about […]
The market seems to be able to focus on only one thing at a time these days, so now the focus shifts away from NVIDIA and its booming AI business, the obsession until Wednesday… and on to Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where Jerome Powell spoke this morning, somewhat more hawkishly than the market had hoped but […]
Well, here comes the inflation fear again. A few weeks ago everyone was quite certain that the Fed was all but done raising rates and had beaten inflation… now the Fed Minutes tell us that the governors are not entirely sure, and they’re worried about the lingering inflation pressure and might have to raise rates […]
We had an interesting variety of earnings reports this week — some that I thought were good, but that brought the stock down anyway… some that were big “beat and raise” numbers that delighted shareholders… and, as usual, at least one real stinker, and some that were just “meh.” “Good earnings that brought the share […]
Over the past decade or so, I’ve had a meaningful hedge position in my portfolio a little more than half the time, mostly because the cost of hedging has been too high (and because I don’t hedge at times when I’m not worried about the valuation of the broad market). Right now, as we chug […]
Earnings season is really swamping us with information now, so I’ll spend most of my time running through the stories that caught my attention from the Real Money Portfolio this week… including most of the earnings reports from our companies. Some of those are quite boring, which is fine, we love steady-as-she-goes businesses, so I’ll […]
It’s been a pretty full-throated celebration in the stock market as inflation finally comes down to a reasonable-sounding number, and as that gives hope that next week’s likely quarter-point increase in rates will indeed end up being the last Fed rate hike. Add that to wild enthusiasm continuing to percolate through anything related to artificial […]
Earnings season is right around the corner, so pretty soon you won’t be able to shut me up about the latest income numbers and balance sheet updates from our portfolio companies… but as we wait for that, we do have some snippets of interesting news about some of our portfolio holdings to share (Intuitive Surgical […]
We’ve now crossed the halfway mark in 2023… and what a year it’s been. We came into the year with almost every pundit worried about the rapid rise in interest rates but also hot-and-bothered about artificial intelligence, following the blockbuster release of ChatGPT in November, and by energy stocks, promising another year of great returns […]
Another big player is leaning into ad-supported streaming, and that has helped out The Trade Desk (TTD) and Roku (ROKU) in recent weeks — Amazon (AMZN) has now talked about adding an ad-supported version of its Amazon Prime Video service, though they also own several ad-supported streaming services already, so it doesn’t seem like that’s […]
Porter Stansberry knows that controversial and religious and political stuff draws eyeballs, and that if you’re trying to sell something, being controversial is way better than being boring. So his latest big “documentary” video sales pitch, which is an ad for The Big Secret on Wall Street ($1,000/yr, 30-day refund period with 10% charge), is […]
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