Become a Member

“Drive-Thru Retirement Project: Monthly Dividends” Solved

Whatever they’re paying the copywriters at Stansberry & Associates, it’s not enough. This stuff is pure gold! Drive-Thru Retirement … now that’s a good idea. I’ll take the Super Size Value Combo, please!

The latest ad from S&A is for a new service they’re providing, a monthly dividend tracking system of some kind, which essentially looks like a special report that you buy for $250, then periodic updates to their list of the best companies to buy, all of whom apparently pay monthly dividends.

The idea of getting a monthly dividend, instead of the more typical quarterly (or, for foreign firms, semiannual) dividends, clearly holds a lot of appeal for people. I don’t know if it’s just the satisfaction of getting that dividend check every month, or the convenience for people who actually live off their dividends, or if it’s the fact that these companies tend to be very dividend-focused, which is also usually an indication of shareholder-friendliness. Of course, the actual yield you get as a dividend is the really important thing, whether it’s annual, quarterly, or monthly, is what should be of preeminent importance — but there’s no denying the fact that lots of investors love monthly payments.

So essentially what’s being teased here is a service that will help you find the best companies that make monthly dividend payments, in order to help you build a portfolio of these high dividend companies. That’s obviously not for everyone, but clearly dividend payers (though not necessarily high yielding dividend payers) should be a significant portion of most peoples’ portfolios — if we’ve learned anything from the gyrations of the market, it should be that there is nothing new under the sun … and for the last century, a huge portion of the overall returns from the stock market have been thanks to dividends.

But the prominent tease is of one particular investment — the “Drive Thru Retirement Project” of John and Helen Scott. Here’s the story in a nutshell:

“In short, John and Helen Scott figured out a financial secret of the fast-food industry, which pays an absolute fortune over the long run. They started nearly 40 years ago, with a local Southern California restaurant you’ve almost certainly heard of: Taco Bell.

“Essentially, the deal went like this…

“Back then, Taco Bell was a young business. They were doing well, and wanted to build more stores. To expand, they needed cash.

“So the Scotts offered a simple proposition: In exchange for ownership of the Taco Bell building, the Scotts gave the Taco Bell owners the cash they needed.

“As part of the deal, the Taco Bell owners agreed to lease the building back from the Scotts for a period of 15+ years. And… get this… the Taco Bell owners agreed to pay for EVERY SINGLE BUILDING EXPENSE: maintenance… taxes… insurance… upkeep… plumbing… everything from changing a light bulb to repaving the parking lot.”

That’s just a net lease arrangement, which is not that unusual — and I don’t expect that the Scotts, whoever they are, invented it. But it certainly holds appeal for landlords, for obvious reasons. Not doing much management work on the building means you lose some opportunity to increase your profits, but it also means you have almost no expenses and the people who really care about how the building looks and works — the folks who are using it — are responsible for that upkeep. This kind of sale/leaseback arrangement is not that unusual today, it’s used across industries for all kinds of expensive capital goods and property, anything that companies need but that would prefer not to carry on their balance sheets.

The lessor, of course, gets a pretty good deal, too — if it’s a growing company, or a company that wants to grow, they get to sell their building but keep long term access to it, and they can use the money they got in the sale to expand elsewhere.

So … they focus on retail establishments, not just fast food joints but all kinds of “life maintenance” retail — grocery stores, pharmacies, etc. The company’s idea is that this keeps things simple and reduces risk, since there is always local demand for local services like food, medicine, and the other necessities of daily life.

The firm has delivered 453 consecutive monthly dividend payments, which, for the arithmetically challenged, is almost 38 years (just a couple months to go).

That’s enough to identify them, so let’s feed this data into the Thinkolator …

This “Drive Thru Retirement Project,” apparently having some relationship with John and Helen Scott, is …

Realty Income (O)

Cool ticker, huh? By the way, I just checked, and there is a security with the ticker “OOO” — but in a great lack of imagination, there is not yet an “OOH” or, on the Nasdaq, an “OOOH”. Too bad.

This company may sound familiar to Stock Gumshoe readers from way back — it has been a favorite of Tom Dyson, who runs the 12% Letter over at Stansberry & Associates, for quite some time, and I’ve noted it once or twice before.

And this is a situation where they haven’t dramatically overpromised — Realty Income is really a monthly dividend payer, they really have paid a dividend for almost 38 years and grown the dividend very dramatically over that long timeframe (though they’ve only been a public REIT for about 14 years — they ran a series of real estate partnerships before that), and they are extremely focused, from top management down, on being an income company. Their goal is to grow the dividend, pure and simple. So that’s certainly something many folks appreciate.

In some ways, this is probably a very effective way of doing what local folks in cities across the country have done for generations when they build up a little bit of family wealth — buy a little strip mall center or other commercial real estate and slowly grow the net income that you get from that center. And as you might imagine with such a situation, it’s not a way to get rich quick — it’s a way to commit your capital in a way that maximizes your income and, hopefully, continues to grow and provide income for future generations. Realty Income yields about 6% a year at the current price, but do keep in mind that it’s a REIT so this is a dividend that’s likely to be taxed as income, not eligible for the lower 15% dividend tax.

A quick look at the corporate website will tell you quite quickly that this is a company that has investors in mind — it’s clearly geared to individual investors, and they’ve even registered the name “The Monthly Dividend Company” to make clear what their purpose is. They do a pretty good job of explaining themselves, so I won’t recap all of it for you.

I have nothing particularly bad to say about this company — they are widely seen as a low-risk, capital-protecting, yield-producing company that is focused on individual investors. That doesn’t mean that this is the best time to buy the shares, or that this type of investment is for everyone, of course. It also doesn’t mean that there’s no risk — they try to stay balanced, but from time to time they make pretty big acquisitions (a few years ago they bought a huge number of CVS locations, for example) that give them outsize exposure to a particular company’s fortunes. They claim to be very careful about managing this risk and trying to rediversify after such large transactions, and they research their tenants carefully, but no one is perfect or perfectly prescient.

Are you getting our free Daily Update
"reveal" emails? If not,
just click here...


The shares have been fairly volatile in the past year or so, trading between $20 and $30, but are now right in the middle of that range at about $25. Institutional interest has grown signficantly in the last few years, from probably 20% or so up to the current level above 40%, so I have no idea whether that contributes to the volatility. My assumption is that most of the income-oriented individual investors in this one just buy and hold and are unlikely to trade in and out very often, but perhaps that assumption is wrong.

They have raised the dividend religiously, bumping it up every quarter for the last 12 years, though usually by very tiny amounts each time. In terms of historic valuation, the shares look a little bit cheaper than they have been for much of the past five years, but not dramatically so. Analysts are not crazy about the firm, and they’ve gotten a few downgrades in recent months, but that seems to be largely because analyst expectations for the net lease industry are pretty low.

Realty Income is reliant to some degree on the financial markets — they carry a line of credit that allows them to buy properties, but they then try to quickly sell common or preferred stock or bonds to finance acquisitions for the long term, so they do carry about $1.5 billion of debt — not particularly a lot, that’s a debt/equity ratio of about 1. The debt level is similar to near-peer Kimco which focuses on similar kinds of properties to some degree, but much, much lower than the big shopping center/regional mall owners like Simon Property Group or General Growth Properties. And as they issue stock they technically dilute ownership, but usually it’s just because they’ve bought more properties so it’s rarely dilutive to earnings for long, if at all. Given the turmoil in financial markets, it would be foolish to say that there’s no risk here, though this type and level of risk wouldn’t worry me too much (keep in mind that I might be very different than you).

As to the Scotts — to tell the truth, I’m not sure if they exist or not, or whether this is a pseudonym or if John and Helen Scott are just early players in the company’s history in some way. It doesn’t particularly matter, the other clues are right on target for these folks, and it’s a fairly unique company.

There is, by the way, a growing and similar company in Canada that coincidentally carries the Scott name — Scott’s REIT (SRQ in Toronto) is much smaller and more focused, owning as they do almost nothing but fast food restaurant buildings, but they also pay a monthly dividend and try to grow that dividend. Might be worth a look if you’re interested in this concept — the dividend is higher, closer to 10%, but they are also a bit riskier because of the lack of diversification (they essentially hold real estate that’s tied to just one company, a large franchise owner that runs fast food restaurants across Canada). Maybe there’s some connection between these Scotts and the Scotts teased by Stansberry’s folks in this ad, maybe not.

So … I know a few of my readers hold shares in this one, and others have at least looked at it. What do you think?

P.S. There were several other monthly dividend payers briefly teased in this ad — if there’s a lot of interest I’ll try to track them down. I expect that many of them will be trusts, REITs or publicly traded partnerships, with probably a fair proportion of North-of-the-border firms since Canadians particularly having a tradition of income stocks that pay monthly dividends, but I haven’t checked them out yet.

guest

12345

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

44 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
VM
Guest
VM
April 3, 2008 5:12 pm

Gumshoe, thanks for the sleuthing!

Dividends4Life
Guest
April 3, 2008 6:08 pm

I currently have a position in O, but I am not adding to that position based on their current valuation.

One interesting note about O is that they usually have the most entertaining annual report that I receive. Last years report’s theme was a board game to retirement and actually included a fold out board game.

Best Wishes,
D4L

Add a Topic
1209
TSmith
TSmith
April 4, 2008 12:33 am

Dividends4Life,

As a longtime investor in Canadian oil and gas trusts, I have been looking at other income stocks to invest in and I wanted to ask you what your top 5 income stocks are you like?

Regards,

TSmith

Add a Topic
359
Add a Topic
996
Add a Topic
996
Bruce
Guest
Bruce
April 4, 2008 9:36 am

A major risk factor for O is that their largest single tenant (Buffets) is teetering on the edge of bankruptcy. If they file, O will take a significant hit.

Bruce

brenda
brenda
April 4, 2008 9:50 am

Thanks Bruce. It’s true that the Buffets chain is a significant client, though they believe it won’t be a big hit (you may take that with a grain of salt if you like). O owns about 2,200 properties overall, here’s a quote from the 10-K about Buffets:

“Realty Income owns 116 properties and Crest owns three properties, all leased to subsidiaries of Buffets, Inc. (Buffets) and guaranteed by Buffets. Buffets is a subsidiary of Buffets Holding, Inc. (“Buffets Holdings”). On January 22, 2008, Buffets Holdings, together with each of its subsidiaries, filed voluntary petitions for reorganization under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code. As of February 12, 2008, Buffets’ lease payments to us are current. Based on our analysis of the Buffets’ locations owned by Realty Income, we believe that the Chapter 11 filing will not have a material adverse affect on our operations or financial position.”

Generally, O’s tenants are low or mid-market — they’re not fancy or upscale, but more regional retail, fast food and “family” restaurants, convenience stores and the like. Their assumption is that these businesses are good bets because they provide necessary local services, but there’s also the flip side that some of their clients might not be the strongest companies in the world, so a soft economy might hurt some of them or cause some pain for the companies that are more indebted than others.

I certainly haven’t looked at all of their clients — but thanks, Bruce, that was a good point to bring up.

Add a Topic
673
Add a Topic
996
Add a Topic
5916
👍 7
A Ghuman
Guest
A Ghuman
April 4, 2008 9:57 am

Any thoughts/analysis on Kimco? The company seems a little bigger (and has done better over the last 5 years, though with more volatility, more institutional investors, and less of a dividend focus). What is their track record on dividends/raising dividends?

Add a Topic
152
Shawn
Guest
Shawn
April 4, 2008 10:06 am

Scott’s is a canadian REIT. Scott’s pays 7.08 cents a month. They pay out 97% of their free cash. Based on the current price of 6.04, that is a 15% dividend. However, two years ago it was at 10+ and it has been a pretty steady down ride since then. This may be a result of the dividend which is nearly two thirds return of capital. The dividend hasn’t changed but if you invested with US dollars you have noticed a big improvement.

On Yahoo the symbol is srq-un.to or soref.pk .

Add a Topic
372
brenda
brenda
April 4, 2008 10:16 am

Thanks Shawn — appreciate the comments on Scott’s, you clearly looked more closely than I did. The combination of return of capital and a single dominant client makes this one much riskier, thus the huge dividend. Not necessarily bad, but riskier, in my opinion.

👍 7
Massey
Guest
Massey
April 4, 2008 10:17 am

I’ve received a half dozen ‘Drive thru’ teasers from Stansberry in the last 2 days.
Great job, Gumshoe!

brenda
brenda
April 4, 2008 10:24 am

And Ghuman, I have only ever heard good things about Kimco — their yield is very low for a REIT right now (just under 4%) because people like them a lot and they’re pretty big and stable, but they do grow the dividend nicely.

Though similar to O in some ways, they are much more entwined with insititutional investors and they aren’t just a net leaser — they’ve also done development on their own. Kimco primarily owns shopping centers, while O primarily owns single tenant properties. Kimco’s share price has certainly done much better over the past several years, I haven’t checked to see what the comparative return is if you include dividends.

That’s just my back-of-the envelope thoughts on Kimco, I haven’t looked at their filings.

Add a Topic
5916
Add a Topic
152
👍 7
MKochanowski
Guest
MKochanowski
April 4, 2008 11:37 am

Great sleuthing! I would very much be interested in the other monthly dividends mentioned in the teaser. I’m always looking for good dividend stocks to add to my portfolio.

Add a Topic
675
Add a Topic
152
investorgirl
Guest
investorgirl
April 4, 2008 11:43 am

I just put srq into mey scottrade trade area, and it shows a div of 0.489 not monthly but quarterly, and not 7.08 per month a listed above. Would like clarification please.

investorgirl
Guest
investorgirl
April 4, 2008 11:50 am

I forgot to mention I think probably the reason for the taco bell idea, could we assume that the scotts or a relative or business partner owned and leased back the building to taco bell so they could write off the rent as a business expense either way. I have BIF it is a monthly dividend payer. It is cheap and has consistently paid dividends, and if you get in soon, they are going to have another 1 for 3 ownership deal. The release of info has been made, the date is unsettled as of my knowlege today.

Add a Topic
152
Questionit
Member
Questionit
April 4, 2008 12:04 pm

StockGumshoe I have receintly found your site, good work. I have been receiving information from ‘Money and Markets.com’ they deal mainly in ETF’s. One service is ETF options to which they claim have out paced all other options types (stocks). Can you shed any light on this service?

Add a Topic
900
Add a Topic
570
Add a Topic
570
Richard E. Lowman
Guest
Richard E. Lowman
April 4, 2008 12:09 pm

Still wondering if doublingstocks.com is a scam???

Desertspeaks
Guest
Desertspeaks
April 4, 2008 12:21 pm

One of several large oil companies in Canada are under a similar trust, paying monthly dividends. My present favorite is Harvest Energy (HTE) paying approx. 17.5%!

Add a Topic
359
Add a Topic
1515
Add a Topic
5916
Richard E. Lowman
Guest
Richard E. Lowman
April 4, 2008 1:12 pm

Thanks Gumshoe your archives answered my questions about doublingstocks.com Looks like others also believe it is a scam. Maybe I can get my 47.00 bach thru ClickBank. Live and Learn.
Richard

brenda
brenda
April 4, 2008 1:35 pm

Investorgirl, that BIF is one odd bird — a closed end fund that holds a lot of Berkshire Hathaway and has a huge payout, but almost no current income. Interesting article on them from TheStreet.com here:

http://biz.yahoo.com/ts/070511/10356250.html?.v=1

Add a Topic
996
👍 7
Gaucho
Guest
Gaucho
April 4, 2008 1:50 pm

I got my $47.00 back thru ClickBank. I called and they gave me credit on my credit card…

Cocoon
Guest
Cocoon
April 4, 2008 2:07 pm

FWIW…some Blackrock funds pay monthly.
I’m familiar with rule of 72s, which is based on an annual interest rate, what does a monthly payout result in the doubling of the principle?
My math. books are long gone.
Thanks Gshoo.

Add a Topic
372

We use cookies on this site to enhance your user experience. By clicking any link on this page you are giving your consent for us to set cookies.

More Info  
7
0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x