What’s Nick Hodge’s “Proven Golden ‘Loophole'” that “Magnifies Gold & Silver Gains?”

What's the unknown gold "land bank" being hinted at by Hodge's Early Advantage?

By Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe, April 5, 2016

Nick Hodge is pitching his Early Advantage newsletter (about $800) with a story about a “golden loophole” that he says provides your best path to profits in the precious metals business — and lots of readers have asked me about that “loophole” this morning, so we’re going to put the Thinkolator to work identifying the truth behind the tease.

The basic idea is that gold mining is a terrible, expensive and difficult business… but that discovering gold and holding onto gold-rich lands and waiting for someone to want to buy your potential mine when prices are soaring again someday is a great business, with low costs and huge potential returns.

Which makes some sense, though it skims over the cost and time commitment, and high failure rate, of the discovery process.

But the ad also isn’t really hinting at finding a grizzled old prospector and staking him to a burro and some beans so he can make discoveries for you, and it’s also not really about buying the early stage “prospect developers” who are out scouting and claiming potential discoveries. It’s really more about buying the counter-cyclical land bank investors who are acquirers, not discoverers. The companies who buy up those discoveries before they’re fully defined and well before the mines are funded or developed, and just sit on those assets until the market turns in their favor to make those assets much more valuable again so some other sucker miner can get involved and actually build a mine.

So that’s the basic theory, at least — interested in finding out the name of the stock? Me, too, let’s get to the clues — this bit is from the order form and sums things up:

“The land banking strategy has routinely delivered percent gains ranging from the thousands… to the hundreds of thousands.

“Luckily, I’ve found a small company — backed by some of the best people in the industry — that sports a large, high-grade gold ‘land bank.’

“And hardly anyone else knows about it. Its value isn’t even close to being fully realized.

“But in the coming gold bull market, it will be.

“Just one of the NINE gold assets it has in its land bank was recently valued by an independent engineering report at $233 million — 17 TIMES more than what they paid for it.

“This firm is trading right now for less than $1 per share. But I don’t expect it to stay there for long.”

That’s probably enough to ID the stock, actually, since I happen to know this one, but let’s check a few more clues so we can be certain… here’s some more of the basic argument, which hinges on the “Peak Gold” assertion that there are many, many fewer big gold discoveries than there used to be, and that the big miners will be desperate to add reserves at some point:

“The risks of investing in ‘land banking’ companies is far, far, far less than your typical mining stock (which spends millions of dollars developing one or two mines that may or may not be winners).

“And now that ‘Peak Gold’ has arrived, big miners will be more desperate than ever for gold-rich land… and willing to pay substantial premiums for it.

“But you don’t need to go out and buy any land. Or buy “stakes” in any claims.

“Thanks to this ‘loophole’, you can safely double, triple, or even quadruple your money… even if you don’t know a gold mine from a rabbit hole.

“All you have to do is simply piggyback off others who have done it before… and have made a ton of money doing it.”

And then some more specific clues:

“The Single Best Gold ‘Land Banking’ Play You Should Buy…

“This CEO is a huge name in the business.

“He has been recognized by Fortune magazine on its “40 Under 40: Ones to Watch” list of North American executives.

“In his first public resource company he produced gains of 3,673% for his shareholders….

“This is a tiny company that holds valuable resources in one of the greatest gold belts in the world… and it could easily become a 10-bagger down the road.

“It has a ‘land bank’ of NINE gold assets in Brazil, a mining-friendly nation that has attracted over $15 billion worth of investments in this space in recent years.

“In fact, this firm is financially backed by one of the wealthiest families in Brazil… and one of the wealthiest in the world for that matter.”

OK, so I can stop torturing you now — this is Brazil Resources (BRI on the Venture Exchange in Canada, BRIZF OTC in the US).

Which is indeed the baby of Amir Adnani, who also built Uranium Energy (UEC) and serves as CEO for that uranium company. Before that he and his family started Blender Media, which is an investor relations/media company, so it should come as no surprise that both UEC and Brazil Resources have been pretty aggressive at marketing themselves, even using paid promotions that are very similar to the “pump and dump” operations that we all hate (they aren’t really pump and dump campaigns, since they’re paid for by the company and they aren’t designed to let sleazy offshore funds cash out big and take profits, but they do pretty effectively “pump and raise money with secondary offerings or private placements”). That’s probably my biggest qualm with Adnani’s companies — it isn’t necessarily evil that startup companies who depend on raising capital by selling shares want to keep their share price up by promoting themselves to shareholders, but it doesn’t taste so great in my mouth.

Still, I do continue to have some warrants on Brazil Resources because I expect it probably will be a rapid mover if gold prices recover dramatically OR if uranium goes on another crazy bull market run (their most popular asset over the past couple years, while gold was weak, was their Rea Uranium project in the Athabasca Basin).

Brazil Resources is often teased and hinted and and reported on by newsletters, particularly all those who talk to each other and poach ideas from each other — Frank Curzio had a big teaser push for this stock for his Phase 1 Investor letter in 2014 when he was still at Stansberry, Brien Lundin has been a big fan in the past, and the Doug Casey/Rick Rule cabal have gotten behind the stock several times and own the shares — Marin Katusa, who used to be at Casey, has even distributed information to his followers to get them in on private placements for Brazil Resources (including the most recent one, back in February).

And, indeed, Nick Hodge himself has teased the stock before, starting about a year ago — though at the time he said he was recommending it because of the Rea Uranium project’s potential (he called it “Obama’s Secret Pipeline”, if that rings a bell, and promised that this “$1 Stock is about to go vertical.”)

It hasn’t quite “gone vertical” yet, though it has doubled from the early January lows — which means it’s back to being a little bit of a win for Hodge, since he first teased the stock last May when it was near C$0.70 and it’s at about C$0.80 now.

Where will it go from here? Well, I stand by my thoughts of two years ago — the company is so promotional, and so tied in with newsletter groups, that I think it’s very likely it will move sharply higher if we’re really in a new bull market for gold (or uranium)… but if those commodity prices don’t rise sharply over the coming year, the stock could easily wither. They do have some work going on, they are doing exploratory drilling to try to increase the attractiveness of their projects for potential acquirers or partners down the road… but they’re not going to actually generate any earnings until things get hot enough for them to find those acquirers or partners. And in the meantime, they’ll probably continue to trade shares for projects, and to raise capital with new share offerings — over the last six years they’ve raised anywhere from $2-6 million a year to keep the company going.

And though there have been lots of big moves over the past five years, largely driven by headline deals or newsletter attention, there is a pretty clear and close relationship between the gold price and the share price of Brazil Resources, here’s the chart (both in US$)

BRIZF_IGPUSD_chart

And as you can see, that relationship with gold has continued through this year, with the stock surging as gold bumped up early in the year.

So over the long term, absent a big surprise deal for one of their properties, I expect it will still be outsized attention from the newsletter jockeys that keeps awareness high, and long-term advances in gold (and maybe uranium) prices that drive the shares higher (if it’s higher that they will go). But over the short term, the next year or so, my best guess is that the shares will mostly track with the gold price. Which might mean, since gold has turned over a bit lately and Brazil’s promotional campaign around their private placement is over, that the stock could turn down a bit after the run of the past few months. That’s just wild guessing, I left my crystal ball in my other trousers.

I did take some losses in my Brazil Resources Warrants late last year to harvest some tax benefit, and repurchased a small position in those same warrants early this year, so I continue to have a small “bet” on the table that Brazil Resources will be above a dollar or so by late 2018 (that’s when my warrants expire), but I wouldn’t call it an investment based on fundamentals — I’d call it a levered speculation on the potential of another blowout gold price surge in the next couple years. That’s fairly similar to my rationale for holding shares of another “gold land bank”, First Mining Finance, which I’ve written about a few times.

I wouldn’t bet the farm on either of those or on any small natural resources firm, but I like having small bets on levered “possibilities” as part of my exposure to mining — partly because it means I can have some appreciable exposure to a potential future bull market without a large capital commitment, even though that works both ways. Levered exposure in microcap companies means the risk of a huge percentage loss is far higher than if you just bought a big, profitable gold miner or royalty company — so instead of a large position on which you might hold a 25% stop loss (for example) to protect your downside, with these kinds of little guys I think it makes more sense to have a small position, give them a lot of room as you wait for your next bull market in gold, and assume that the potential for a 80-100% loss is quite real if you’re wrong or that bull market takes too long to arrive.

Being a “Land bank” kind of stock, without raising huge amounts of capital or taking on lots of debt to build a mine, might mean that there’s some floor to the shares if we assume that gold stays flat or recovers, since they’re not spending a lot of money… but since the companies are so small, acquisitive and dilutive (Brazil Resources has almost tripled their share count over the past five years to fund both operations and acquisitions), I still think it’s wise to assume the worst in sizing your position.

That’s what I think, anyway. How about you? Interested in Brazil Resources or anyone else as a “land bank” gold stock? Let us know with a comment below.


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76 Comments on "What’s Nick Hodge’s “Proven Golden ‘Loophole'” that “Magnifies Gold & Silver Gains?”"

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hullevad
Irregular
24

Beware! The bottom is not in yet!

johannes
Guest
0

I like the CEO and I have made money in the past on both of his companies.
When your ahead sell. When it drops, buy again. Of course, should the stock go down, just hold. It has worked for me. Ave cost on BRIZF is .80 cents. Yes, the bottom for gold is not in, but the miners are showing life. If they go down, I will add to the position. This could be a Home Run. Johannes

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Bill
Guest
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Hah hah… another guy that missed out on the historic bottom in Gold and Silver stocks! These fools caught with their pants down havel already missed out on 100% gains and leg 3 about to begin shortly!

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Deborah Flynn
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Every portfolio should have a normal exposure or some hard assets. Prudent. What I do is as my portfolio increases I buy some Gold and every week I buy some silver .

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takeprofits
Guest
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You could be right, but what do you base that assumption on. Is the claim that you are an expert at picking tops and bottoms. If you are waiting for the perfect time to et in, isn’t it possible that you will miss some major profit potentials, whether on the way up or the way down

Crickety
Guest
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I’ve been burned — no, make that fried — by some of Nick Hodge’s other recommendations, so I will pass on this one. I would rather just buy a bunch of Sandstorm Gold (SAND) stock.

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Brent
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My father owned several operating gold mines. As he was born in 1902 and actually met many of the original “1849’ers” when he purchased and began operating his first mine when he was young. When I was growing up in the 1960’s and early 1970’s, every week mining engineers came by the house to ask his advice on the local underground formations. He was the only person alive who had been in all the local mines before the tunnels collapsed. I spent most of each summer at the mines. Naturally, my father was full of stories and I grew up… Read more »
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Patricia
Member
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Wow Brent, what a phenomenal post. These are bedrock principles for anyone considering speculating in this sector. Those who’d like to expand their inside look at how unscrupulous promoters have always conned people in the mining and energy fields would do well to read some Rex Beach novels too. He was a very business-savvy guy who was there during gold runs in the North. I just finished “Flowing Gold” about the huge Texas oil boom in the 1920s – magnificent. None of the films made from his books came close to revealing what a fine writer he was, and what… Read more »
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frahman
Irregular
3

Thanks for the author tip there Patricia. I just checked and there are 16 Rex Beach ebooks free for download at http://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/author/4000 ! If I do book a flight to escape the pollen attack this month, I’ll have my reading sorted.

Gui_
Member
778
Well done Brent, I’m of the mind in this algo alternate universe it’s futile to resist the trends, investing is for younger men than I, maybe even the market in general at the moment. Maybe I should stop hanging out at the Oasis and looking for ideas in low places, but I’ve been reading money managers say for months that retail have sold out of their positions leaving institutions, HFTs and dark pools just wacking anything that flinches. That may be a little overstated not to mention glum, but it sure feels that way to me having to resort to… Read more »
ELISSA JUNG
Guest
0

YOU ARE MOST FORTUNATE TO HAVE HAD A FATHER WHO WAS ABLE TO SEE THE BIG PICTURE AND PASS IT ON TO YOU. THE NEXT BIG THING HAS AN INVISABLE, ESTABLISHED BUSINESS THAT WILL BE A CLEAR PROFIT…IF YOU CAN SEE IT. THE TALKING HEADS WILL NOT EXPOUND ON THIS ” TINY COMPANY THAT WILL MAKE YOU RICH” BECAUSE THEY DON’T SEE IT. UNDER THE RADAR YOU SAY. NO WAY, YOU HAVE TO KNOW HOW TO POSITION THE RADAR FIRST.

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hendrixnuzzles
Irregular
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BRIZF…I have a small position in BRIZF but not for gold. To me it is more of a stealth uranium play. First, if you check a map of their Canadian claims, there is cause for optimism that their uranium claim is where the big money would be made. Second, Adnani is a uranium guy. He’s the big at UEC. Why would the CEO of a uranium mine take the reins of a junior gold speculation ? I like the strategy of the first reader….Swing trade with a long bias. Easy entertainment without a lot of risk. I did this a… Read more »
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David Walker
Guest
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Well it is a Mineral Land Bank…And Will Rogers did say “ Don’t wait to buy land, buy land then wait”.

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jjdent
Member
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I am holding some of BRI and there is another one I would like to recommend to you guys take a look at Goldresource ( V.GXS, GXSFF, OTC). Low cost and gold production is imminent. It is great opportunity get in before break out, just humble opinion. Thanks

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Richard
Guest
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You mean GXS.V Goldsource Mines Inc.?

Bernie
Guest
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When you look at their gold properties, what stands out immediately is the low grade. It would take a big jump in gold prices to make these claims profitable.

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Gr8Full!
Irregular
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frahman
Irregular
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Note that’s Adani, not the same as Amir Adnani’s surname.. so nothing to do with BRI / UEC.

dbt
Guest
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Just remember what Mark Twain said. “A gold mine is a hole in the ground with a liar on top.” yes, you can make money on these little miners but Jack be nimble, Jack be quick. Limit your losses and your capital in. Good luck!

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Al b
Guest
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I’ve watched my account disappear under Nick Hodge’s recos. You can’t trust an “adviser” who pitches penny stocks.

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takeprofits
Guest
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Indeed Nick Hodge has a somewhat “checkered record” but at least his teasers help keep Travis and myself busy separating truth from fiction or hype. Obviously you have a bias in your closing statement. lots of people have made great returns with penny stockd depending on your definition of the term. There are some that in the 09-10 run up reached stock prices in the $20. range, some of which I have bought again in the past year. Check my Gumshoe records, I can point to at least 20 stocks in the past year that are up at least 25%,… Read more »
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John Duncan Innes
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i notice from the two right hand scales that a 50% change in gold is a six fold change in the share price. So buying shares is a geared bet on gold. The newsletters tend to say this – so it all depends on what happens to the gold price. Given UK government ewffectively forced pension funds to buy government securities rather than shares, and other governments will probably try the same, and at ever lower interest – gold may well go up – as it falls in price when real interest rates go up and rises when they fall.… Read more »
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Clint Hubbard
Guest
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Does anyone have any knowledge or advice on Wellgreen Platinum?

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takeprofits
Guest
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YES, long term a potentially great stock, some of these penny stocks just take longer to develop than others, It is on my list to profile when market conditions warrant.

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tcarpy
Irregular
11

Myron, why did you quit writing on your blog Myron’s juniors?

Steven
Guest
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I guess marketing is working. BRIZF stock is 40% up since a week.

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Gui_
Member
778

I’ve been playing DUST recently, an inverse (Bear) miner ETF. Miners have been on a huge run after being nearly dormant for ages, their PEs look out of whack to me. The mistake people make is to assume miners move with gold, for the most part they do not. If you think the market is due for an adjustment, not necessarily a correction, expect the miners to take a hit as well…that will be my bet.

I’m a swing player in this space.

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david
Guest
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MAW toronto MWSNF otc
Huge stake in Scandinavia and very high grades of gold. Is 3 months from filing resource report but it can already be guestimated from 3 year drill history. Current stock price at 22 cents can or 19 cents usa for total cap value of 20 million dollars. Big opportunity IMHO.
I own some yes.

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hendrixnuzzles
Irregular
9778
Attention all gold speculators: Tell me if I am off base on this. When I look at small miners, some of the first things I look at are: 1. The extent and grade of the deposits 2. The status of the mill or production facility and its financing 3. The risk in the jurisdiction It is very hard for me to get excited about a lot of the small caps I see , because I have been spoiled by the mind-boggling grams-per-ton coming out of the Pretium drill samples, and the enormous reserves they have already proven, the huge area… Read more »
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alberta doc
Member
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To me the most important thing about juniors is the management. If the management doesn’t know how to develop the deposit you have nothing, but here are the 5 things I look at when investigating a junior mining company. I assign each step a value from 1 to 3, with three considered as the strongest. ie: 1 – is Weak, 2 – So So, & 3 – is the Strongest value. Than I total the five areas up and base my decision on the results. I’ve been doing this for a long time and have found these criteria to be… Read more »
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hendrixnuzzles
Irregular
9778

Hi Alberta Doc, and good picks for us ?

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Patricia
Member
688

I would put your #3 as # 1, but we’ve talked about why in the past at some length. Otherwise it looks great to me based upon my limited financial analysis skills. I occasionally wonder if I’m wrong in considering SGDJ as safe as trying to pick any one of the big miners, but with much greater upside potential should be have another bull run in gold.

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takeprofits
Guest
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Are you aware that it is not only Pretium’s Brucejack that still has plenty of exploration potential in the immediate vicinity but many other companies as well are active in the area as well in what is known as the “Golden Triangle of B.C., details in my next column.

goldstockbull
Irregular
62
I looked into Brazil Resources after a subscriber asked about them. With the stock up over 120% YTD, I was sure there would be a compelling story. I was looking for a good reason to buy shares and ride the momentum higher. But in my view, there was no great story and I couldn’t really see why the share price had been climbing so fast. Low grades, not very economic, nothing standout about management IMO other than ties to Brazilian banking and political figures, no clear path to near-term production???? Then I found out that Stansberry, Casey, Marin and crew… Read more »
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Lawrence Lieberman
Guest
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ON BRIZF, I agree with respect to gold. I do not consider it a first-class speculation with respect to gold. However, I do think it is a first-class speculation with respect to URANIUM, for those inclined to speculate in uranium.

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jjdent
Member
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Hi . Uranium price will be going up as well as demand is increasing.
I do own T.DML, T. FCU for investing and might be take over target by Cameco.
I also own V.FUU for speculation as well. If I have more fund to buy for Uranium stock, I will buy T.AZZ, UEC and so on.

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hendrixnuzzles
Irregular
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U308 is going up…but when ?

takeprofits
Guest
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Based on your chosen handle I fail to see why you are so NEGATIVE about Brazil Resources just because of the people involved, after all, they have put their money where their mouth is by investing substantial sums of money, probably more than what you and I have, so whats wrong with investing alongside millionaires an even billionaires with good track records?

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frahman
Irregular
3

Totally agree, I don’t understand the ‘dissing’ of BRI – they quadrupled from the low in a handful of months. I guess time will tell – but I consider the “nothing standout about management” completely off the mark.
Kindest regards -fr

Charles
Guest
0

I agree too. I have been tracking 52 junior and midsize miners since 29oct16, and BRI is the the 9th best performer as of today. You said “There are lots of better junior mining stocks”, maybe it’s not the best, but how can you be sure you’re buying the best one? You’ll never know. BRI seems good enough, plus drawing up the 5 year chart against other junior miners, it’s held up pretty well! So you’re probably wondering whose outperforming BRI from the 52 i’m tracking? well, in order are GPY.V, REX.V, AGC.V, FPC.V, LEX,TO, BCM.V, GRR.V, and GPL.

Lawrence Lieberman
Guest
0
Hi David, MAW Mawson Resources may hit the jackpot someday, and I certainly wish you well with it. But this is an exploration company. They are years away from producing anything. There is no mill nor any plans for one in their flagship claim. The headline news on the website was that there was a drill intercept of 19.5 meters of 7.5 grams per ton gold. I am not slamming Mawson, but it is hardly a stock one would buy in anticipation of a dramatic increase in gold prices. Mawson will succeed for investors only if there is a gigantic… Read more »
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jjdent
Member
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I agree with you L Lieberman. Under uncertain of gold price ( looks like gold price will be going up), I would buy near gold production rather than speculation.
Like V.GXS. GXSFF.OTC is $450 low cost ( currently $1245) and production is expecting soon. Once V.GXS is fully producing end of this year, the s/p will be dramatically appreciated. The management is same as T.SVL ( Silver Crest Inc). What if gold price is going up $2000? The s/p will be unlimited. Just my two cent.

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david
Guest
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I appreciate your comments and do have an open mind so I consider all opinions not just my own.
Some of your concerns are valid but I think this one mine operator is going to hit the jackpot.
Good Luck David

hendrixnuzzles
Irregular
9778

Good luck, hope it hits for you.

hendrixnuzzles
Irregular
9778
FRANCO NEVADA $FNV…I’ve changed my mind and I am going to find a way to add $FNV to my overbloated gold holdings. I knew it was the grand-daddy of the streaming royalty companies. But I never checked into them very deeply. So while I was surfing around I went to their website…and guess what I discovered ? They have some nice “tombstones” of construction deals they have financed with premier miners like Barrick and Glencore and others. And who did I see there ? (Drum roll) PRETIUM RESOURCES…$500 MILLION FINANCING FOR BRUCEJACK PROJECT Interesting in the press releases and news,… Read more »
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Gr8Full!
Irregular
11280

$FVN, $PVG, $SSRI, Great find hendrixnuzzles. I may well follow you in sometimes this week after personal DD on $FVN. Long $PVG

hendrixnuzzles
Irregular
9778
$FNV…gold ETFS…core positions….for those looking to invest in the precious metals sector, $FNV seems like a great core holding that I missed. They have many deals with many premier miners. Like I said previously, their due diligence on geology and mine finance is certainly going to be way better than what amateurs can put together. Their website is not very slick, but the content is meaty. On one page, the headline is: WHY BUY AN ETF ? (…when you can invest in FNV). This is a very good question. When you buy FNV, you in essence have an ETF of… Read more »
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Gr8Full!
Irregular
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Gr8Full!
Irregular
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takeprofits
Guest
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A cheap way to acquire Francu-Nevada is by buying the Sprott Gold Miners ETF as SPDM where it is among their top holdings along with Royal Gold another highly successful royalty company.

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takeprofits
Guest
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OOPS, misspelled, should be SGDM and they also a have a junior version holding many of the juniors I have in my own portfolio. SGDJ is a great vehicle for those with limited capitol who do not trust themselves to pick individual stocks and prefer to leave that to experts such as Sprott.

dxeplt
Member
1

hey Sherlock
different topic – Digital Fortunes is really pushing Virtual Reality and AR development which seems valid. Of course for a price, they want to tell us who the chip maker or at least some vital subcomponent maker is. Could you please solve this one. I believe there is something to it, but I don’t want to pay the $1300 to find out.
Best regards – your tops!
dxeplt

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Thomaskutty
Guest
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Does anybody have any idea about Cctc a clean coal tech company

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