Author/Editor
Harry S. Dent and Rodney Johnson
Publisher
Boom and Bust Investor
Description
Uses demographic trends to identify economic booms and busts.
Overall Rating
Rating: 3.0/5. From 55 votes.
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3.1
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Rating: 2.8/5. From 68 votes.
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Rating from 63 votes
Rating: 3.6/5. From 63 votes.
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Rating from 61 votes
Rating: 3.1/5. From 61 votes.
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Rating from 55 votes
Rating: 3.0/5. From 55 votes.
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My wife subscribed to Harry’s newsletter. He predicted that in the fall of 2011 that the S&P would reach just above 1200 in October or November and then plunge below 700. Base on this perdition my wife took all her money out of the stock market and put it in cash. Needless to say, she lost over a 100K by missing the big stock market rally. Harry Dent has cost subscribers a lot of money with his wrong predictions.
Have been a recurring subscriber for several years and am a satisfied subscriber…Harry Dent even recently issued an apology for being off on his stock market prediction which actually went against his prediction…am a big believer in demographics moving the markets historically and Harry Dent performs meticulous and well documented research backing his pronouncements…his Boom and Bust portfolio picks and updates have done well for me and my portfolio
I have subscribed to Boom and Bust for justvyhispast year and don’ t plan to renew. I find that in general, these newsletters have some utility in getting different points of view and then making your own analyses by cross referencing and checking with comments on such sites as Alpha , Guru Focus, Valuentum and Cabot Benjamin Graham Value. The information overload is very high and I am now weeding out most of the newsletters.
I’ve been a subscriber to Boom and Busy for several years. Overall, I’m impressed with the quality of analysis and writing. Its *specific* investment advice, presented mainly by Charles Sizemore, is mostly sound and has worked out pretty well. Sizemore has a good track record of his own, independently of Dent Research.
Harry Dent’s reputation and meta-cosmic musings (or ravings, if you don’t like him) are another matter. He has a good record historically. He correctly predicted the boom of the 1990s, the tech crash of 2000-2002, the housing bubble, and the 2008 crisis. He more or less predicted the European debt crisis correctly, as well as Japan’s stagnation, long before most analysts did. Dent’s demographic approach is sound, and one wishes mainstream economists would take more notice.
Like almost everyone else who assumes a stable relationship between the real economy and the financial markets, Dent’s predictions have foundered a bit since 2014. The culprit, of course, is unprecedented monetary ease, for which there are no good historical analogues. It has transformed financial markets into a largely momentum-driven and psychological phenomenon, with almost no connection to economic fundamentals. Technical analysis reigns.
That’s why the specific investment advice from Dent Research has been generally good. It’s based on market internals, with only loose connections to fundamentals. It’s a sound approach: keep the full truth in the back of your mind — financial markets are massively distorted by central banks — even as you play their game in the meantime.
Harry’s right, though: we’re already paying a serious price for a generation of financial insanity, and the ultimate cost will be ugly. In the meanwhile, enjoy the ride and make some money.
(Compare: the Elliott Wave International people have a generally bearish outlook. But that doesn’t stop them from following the current trend and successfully applying their particular rules. They keep the larger picture in the background, and they know the trend will eventually turn in a devastating direction.)
I subscribe to Harry Dent’s newsletters because he is such a gloom and doomer. When everyone says UP!, he says DOWN! So, it is good to learn from both camps. Each of them will be right at some point in time.
Yes Dent is convincing with his demographic cliff argument but touvWOULD have kissed the bull run of the century if tou hadvavidly followed his advice! Whats worse is he is now reconnending BUYS. Arrgh. I have unsubscribed
This guy Harry Dent has been wrong more times than a professor at a for profit college grading papers. Yes, a lot can be explained by demographics, and he certainly stirs the honey pot but the stock picks are fairly useless. Good contrarian indicator. He recently turned bullish on stocks just as valuations are reaching nose bleed levels, consumer spending is getting scanty and the market has way over valued a “Trump Premium” on pro business initiatives like cutting taxes and stimulating the economy with guns and butter via a war with ISIS and Major Infrastructure. The sausage making sycophants in Washington will assure that he gets nothing accomplished. We are getting late in the business and real estate cycle, rates are rising: margin of safety warranted.