Crisis Speculator

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dfiel
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dfiel
August 17, 2015 7:04 pm

I’m looking at Crisis Speculator as a trial. The archives are very limited, only going back with October 2014 with one article from May 2014. So, it is hard to determine their track record very well. At the end of 2013, they bought a bunch of Cyprus stocks. Unfortunately, that meant you had to open a cash account at a Cyprus brokerage, so no value to IRA holders. However, those stocks did very will, up 40% over two years. And they are still holding two other Cyprus stocks that are up 200%.

For the non-Cyprus stocks, there is only one sell, a Kurdistan oil company that lost 56% in less than a year. Not surprising given the track record of oil stocks lately. The open picks are down only 3% and most of that loss is from another oil stock. They include stocks from Gibraltar, Columbia, Russia, Canada, Zambia, and Cyprus; covering Shipping, Oil, Telecom, Gold, Food/Farming, and Banking.

Many of the names are hard to buy, being listed on the Toronto, London, Stockholm, and Athens exchanges. But many of these are also available as pink sheets in the US, though the tickers aren’t provided by Casey’s team. The recommend using Fidelity as an international broker, but they don’t allow foreign trading in IRA’s either. So InteractiveBrokers is the place to go.

The letter has lots of information especially about crisis countries and their current states. It also includes updates on the portfolio on a monthly basis. They do not appear to do any flash alerts, so you will be on your own to sell when your stops are triggered. FYI, they recommend 35% stops on most positions.

Overall, it seems pretty good with some unusual picks. I’m not sure it is worth $199 annually, maybe if they have a 50% off sale…

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