Fleckenstein Capital

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DB2776
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DB2776

Bill Fleckenstein’s newsletter. Before I begin, let me state that I contacted Mr. Fleckenstein and politely detailed the concerns that you are going to read below. Mr. Fleckenstein replied to my email almost immediately and in the subject box in capital letters called me a “cry baby” for contacting him with my concerns. This is how he reacts to a paying customer, he calls them names. $120 many be a drop in the bucket to a successful former hedge fund manager but it is a lot of money to me and likely many others out there. It is hurtful to… Read more »

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John
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John

DB 2776. Sorry about your experience with his newsletter. Don’t think anyone is your friend because you can call him “Fleck.” The truth is that this guy is a perpetual stock market bear who usually shows up on CNBC during days of great crisis. As a hedge fund manager, he will never divulge his true investment plays to the poor chlubs who purchase his newsletter. That newletter is just gravy money and a write off for him.

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tarveni
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tarveni

davisory service available. Fleckenstein made and saved me more money than I possibly an investor in Fleckenstein’s hedge fund I can tell you that he returned more than 40% for his investors in 2008 and more than 20% so far in 2009. Subscribors to his nightly espistles avoided the crash in 2000 and the debacle in ’07-’08. He correctly warned his readers of the tech bubble, the credit bubble and the housing bubble. He steared those who followed his reccomendations into gold and silver. If you didn’t benefit from his reccomendations and warnings, you obviously weren’t paying attention!

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tarveni
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tarveni

(previous review garbled) At $120 annual subscrition rate it is the bestadvice available for the money. Fleckenstein and Prector haqve made and saved me more money than I could have possibly made without their analysis. I have been a subscribor for more than 4 years ande an investor in his hedge fund for 2n years.

Gravity Switch
Admin
👍11

That’s true in some ways, though it’s also possible that the US is ahead of many other countries in the cycle and could recover from a potential global recession earlier than some countries. That big picture stuff has too many moving parts for me. I try to focus on buying companies I’m comfortable with (few and far between, sometimes), staying diversified and buying the market if no individual companies stand out, and not trying to predict when the market will go up or down — that only makes sense if you’ve got five years or more before you need to… Read more »

Amadeus
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Amadeus

DB2776 wrote over a 1000 words above to whine about a a brief response from Fleckenstein. What DB2776 actually demonstrated, however, was that Fleck was acutely insightful when when he diagnosed DB2776 as a crybaby.

Alex Thornton
Guest

I have been a subscriber to Fleck for almost seven years. I am careful not to part with my money especially on newsletter services that are commonly run by pump and dumpers. So why have I kept my subscription? I get insight into the mind of a seasoned investor. He helps me cut through a lot of the bad information coming from the media and brokerage houses. The previous commenter stated that Fleck criticizes CNBC – they are bubble heads! Fleck does not give many stock recommendations. He gives you big picture thought processes. At times, maybe it sounds like… Read more »

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ken
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ken

dividend to be suspended http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idINBNG39181320081105?rpc=44

Nicole
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Nicole

“To be exact, paying subscribers are lucky if they receive a paragraph of information nightly. The vast majority of this paragraph consists of a very superficial over view of the day’s market action, and for those that watch the market all day every day the information is pointless.” First of all, is this not what the point of a “daily rap” is? A daily commentary about what happened to the stock market over the course of the day. So, what else would you expect from him besides a nightly review over the events of the day. No one thinks fast… Read more »

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Parag
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Parag

Bill Fleckenstein offers a fantastic service for pennies. I’ve been subscribing since he started the site and I am certain that I will be a subscriber as long as he offers his service. My wife and I were not only able to avoid the damage that so many others absorbed in 2008 – we in fact profited handsomely. He doesn’t spoon feed ideas but instead helps you build a filter which you can then use for yourself. He has always been courteous with his time in responding to my emails and he’s generous to boot – matching contributions to his… Read more »

Professional Investor
Guest
Professional Investor

I took a class at University of WA and Fleck taught a class for his friend, the regular teacher had a Hawaiian vacation and offered Fleck as his substitute. I bought gold, silver and avoided the ATM housing bubble because of that class. The gold, silver and avoidance allowed me to purchase a small rental at the beach that has doubled in value, even with the real estate collapse because I was not caught up in the hype of borrowing and paid cash. The newsletter has made clear the confused government and the madness of the crowd and I’m glad… Read more »

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SageNot
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SageNot

Take a bow Mary Ann, that strategy is “right on,” Congrats!

Mahkel
Guest
Mahkel

Sounds great, Mary Ann…
I take it you sell Out-Of-The-Money options with the closest expiry-month, right? How about the killer-fees when you get exercised? Any wisdom there for a beginner?

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James
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James

Quite minimal commentary in daily market summary form. Often poor feedback with sophmoric questions in daily “Ask Fleck” column, typically answered with short quips and his “cute” nomenclature. Generally the same fodder about precious metals and the Fed., although never anything specific.
The daily market wrap could be attained from numerous business info sites for free and the balace of questions yields little. I was disappointed after joining to see what was given. Just read his MSN column if you want, I will not renew.

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Gravity Switch
Admin
👍11

$87 million is what they calculate as the “net present value” of the future earnings of the company — which, one assumes, must take into account capital expenses (the $140 million to build the mine and processing/refining capability) and other costs that are accounted for before revenues become profits. I assume future revenues, if the mine is developed and performs as they hope, would be dramatically higher than $87 million. If you look at what the possible revenues would be, they say 10+ years of 1,500 tons of cobalt produced per year, so that’s 15,000 tons of cobalt, or 30… Read more »

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snowywoods
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snowywoods

He has the same view as all the bears….buy gold and miners b/c the market and economy will impload once the Fed can’t save it with printing and zero rates. And then gold will soar. He just says this same thing in some format every day. Maybe he will be right.

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