Lichtenfeld’s “Killer Hiding in Your Medicine Cabinet” — what’s the “new breakthrough” that will lead to explosive profits?

What's Lichtenfeld pitching as “The Safer Painkiller: How to Capture a 1,000% Profit on the Next Biotech Blockbuster.”

By Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe, April 23, 2018

The beginning of the latest ad from Marc Lichtenfeld’s Lightning Trend Trader is good and juicy, at the very least… how could you not open up the ad and pay attention?

“The KILLER Hiding in Your Medicine Cabinet

“These Common Drugs Take a Life Every 12 Minutes (Who’s at Risk?)

“Here’s the NEW Breakthrough and How You Could Collect $220,000 Starting on May 10, 2018”

He goes on to talk up the risks of opioid drugs, and the ongoing horror of the opioid epidemic… which is certainly being helped along by the fact that yes, the marketing push from Purdue Pharma a few years back helped to make sure that lots of folks had OxyContin in their medicine cabinet.

So that’s the basic back story — in case you happen to have missed the stories of the opioid and heroin epidemic, or in case you’re one of the few folks not to have had family or friends touched by this awful addiction, yes, the estimates are that 137 people a day die from overdoses of prescription painkillers, heroin, or fentanyl… a lot of them initially “hooked” by a legitimate pain prescription from a doctor who thought he was doing the right thing.

And Lichtenfeld goes on to tease the stock of a company that he thinks will profit from going after the opioid addiction problem… something that there are certainly hundreds of researchers working on at this moment (and public policy folks, and health insurance companies, etc. etc.)

Here’s a taste of the ad:

“There’s ONE company tackling this problem…

“They stand to replace these deadly little pills with one that’s better in every imaginable way.

“And it could hand you up to a $1.6 million fortune….

“One tiny Massachusetts lab owns the exclusive patents to this revolutionary treatment for the next 18 years.

“Soon, its discovery will go down in history books…

“It could change modern medicine forever… save millions of lives… and make investors incredibly wealthy.”

We know, of course, to take such dramatic claims with a huge grain of salt… but still, we want to figure out what the company is, and give us a chance to research the full story, before ponying up $4,000 for a subscription to his Lightning Trend Trader. So… what other clues do we get?

“Revenue is set to surge as much as 907%.

“And on May 10, a special announcement could make this company’s shares explode.

“If you get in now, you could buy this stock for around $20…

“And watch with excitement as it climbs to $80… jumps to $140… and rockets past $200!”

And the promises are not at all subtle, no surprise there…

“The Best Painkiller Ever Invented…

“I believe this obscure company could become the No. 1 performing stock out of every publicly traded company in 2018….

“… it uses an abuse-deterrent, extended release technology.

“And because of that, insurers absolutely love it.

“Cigna, Humana, Navitus and other top health insurance companies have inked deals with the producer of this drug.

“These deals could be worth as much as $3 billion based on the revenues of previous top-selling medications.

“You can imagine what $3 billion in NEW revenue will do to a company with only $27 million in revenue right now…”

Other clues? He tells us a little bit about the actual technology…

“Packed inside every capsule are tiny microspheres.

“These microspheres are like miniature versions of the painkiller itself.

“They’re made of hard, waxy materials designed to release more slowly than traditional painkillers.

“Thanks to this patented technology, it takes longer to break down and releases into the body much more slowly.

“It also sustains its pharmaceutical profile, meaning it doesn’t turn into an ultra-addictive substance.

“It may be the only drug in its class that can make this claim.”

And we’re told a little bit about some of the bigwigs who already own shares…

“… one small Massachusetts lab holds the exclusive rights to it until 2036.

“The Biggest Names in Venture Capital Are Already on Board

“It’s no wonder the biggest names in venture capital have already claimed their stakes.

“A $50 million funding round for this tiny company included investments from Frazier Healthcare, Skyline Ventures and Longitude Capital….

“… it’s Skyline founder John G. Freund’s involvement that I’m most excited about.”

So what’s our little secret stock? Thinkolator sex we’re being steered toward: Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL).

And yes, there could be news that moves the shares on May 10 — they release their next earnings report on May 9, so if their revenue growth is faster than expected, or they say anything else about future growth accelerating, perhaps the shares will rise. I don’t know what the likelihood is.

And Lichtenfeld has certainly pitched massive returns (and claimed huge profits) by using options trades in the past, so it’s possible that those huge numbers he’s touting for possible returns include some options speculation on a big jump after earnings… that’s just a guess, he doesn’t mention options in the ad.

Their primary drug, the time-release oxycodone that they call Xtampza ER, was approved by the FDA almost exactly two years ago, so it’s important to note that this is not the only abuse-deterrent opioid or pain medication, and it’s not guaranteed to win over the whole pain market overnight. If that were the case, it would already, two years into its commercial life, be posting those billion-dollar revenue numbers.

There’s a good piece here from STAT (from late last year)that goes more into the story of Xtampza ER, both the hope the company has for market share inroads against other abuse-deterrent or long-term opioid prescriptions (including variations on OxyContin, by far the market leader), and the challenges it faces in ramping up to scale. I don’t know if the piece is fair, but it seems reasonable to me and might help to provide some perspective.

And yes, their extended-release technology, called DETERx, is patented, and they do claim patents that expire as late as 2036 (thought some of their patents expire as soon as five years from now, too, I have no idea which patents are significant or pivotal for this particular technology). Xtampza ER is still an opioid drug, it’s just that it benefits from a delivery system that slows the absorption of the drug and makes it harder — though certainly not impossible — to abuse.

So this is a real company, they do have an abuse-deterrent oxycodone that is approved for sale (and has been for a while)… and they’ve recently expanded their pain medicine portfolio by licensing in Nucynta (another opioid pain drug, from Depomed), which, according to their announcement in January, will be “immediately accretive” and will accelerate their “time to profitability.”

The company looks like it’s not in terrible shape financially, with more than $100 million in cash and sales and cash flow sufficient, they believe, to keep them operating at least until 2020… but that’s not the hope being pushed here. The hope, expressed between the lines of Lichtenfeld’s ad, is that Extampza ER will become a blockbuster drug, and that sales will be shockingly strong and cause the stock to surge higher in short order. I don’t know what the odds of that might be, or whether their deals with insurers will push the volume of prescriptions as folks look for pain solutions that are less dangerous, but it is an established company with a real business, and the company itself says they’re on a path to profitability.

Beyond that, I have no idea what the full story is for Collegium Pharmaceutical, and haven’t researched them before… so I’ll pass it back to you, dear readers, to see what wisdom you might find. Have any thoughts to share about Collegium or Extampza… or about Lichtenfeld and his Lightning Trend Trader, for that matter? Feel free to toss ’em on the pile for consideration with a comment below. Thanks for reading!

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16 Comments on "Lichtenfeld’s “Killer Hiding in Your Medicine Cabinet” — what’s the “new breakthrough” that will lead to explosive profits?"

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Earl McHugh
Guest
0

Thanks for the tip on this atrocious service. I was briefly a member of the OxfordClub, which flashes a false dignity and upper class manners, it seems, to disguise the fact that it is really a front for various very pricey investment advisories. You have shown clearly that the advice is not at all what it purports to be for the prices it charges.
The false front is supposed to ease the pain of the suckers who stay in this club, I assume.

GERALD FILARDI
Guest
0

Happy to know that there is someone else out there who has outed the Oxford Club! Fortuntely, I never joined the “elite” group of suckers! Sorry you had to pay to find out the real story about them.

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Dave S.
Guest
0

I had thought that most deaths from opioid OD aren’t due to opioids prescribed to patients who are in legitimate need of pain relief, but rather to illegal and more potent opioids used for “recreation” by people who haven’t necessarily ever had a Rx opioid. Can Doc Gumshoe weigh in? At the start of the article I was thinking that perhaps this was a pitch for an opioid “rescue” drug to prevent deaths from fentanyl and worse, but no. The stock is down 1.7% today, thus far (7:40am PST).

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saint stephen
Irregular
173

I read that 200,o00 people die each year from prescription drugs. The drug and FDA alliance is killing people to make money.

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Jami
Guest
0

There are already several extended release narcotic pain meds on the market. They work very well and offer good relief with a slightly lower abuse risk. There is just one problem…

The insurance companies and government won’t pay for them.

OxyContin (the er version) and Oxycodone (the ir) which are mostly in the news are RX’d so much because they are the only ones covered.

Doesn’t matter what a company brings to market… nobody is going out of pocket for $300-600/month for it…

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yukonjack
Guest
0

Well, lets say that 100,000 investors read the newsletter and they all decide to invest to make that $220,000, starting on May 18, 2018. Heck, who wouldn’t want to make that kind of money? That means a payday of $22 billion for all those “lucky” investors. I’m in!

bob
Guest
0

I have owned novartis for many years and the claimis 152%return. no time in the last 10 years has it increased by that much. So Travis is right, options are a big part of the claim but nowhere is that mentioned. That is simular to most letters with big claims and likewise they are all winners.

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popeye
Guest
0

In the past year stock has been as low as $8 and a high of $30.
Enough to make you dizzy.

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seminole2
Irregular
46

Opiates and “sex” in the same article. I am on board 🙂

Thinkolator “sex” we’re being steered toward: Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL)

Elliot
Guest
0

Saw that too!

charlie1030
Irregular
19

Should Washington take action on opioids instead of talking, it could be a big positive for Collegium.
P.S. My profits in LTT have far exceeded the cost of this subscription.

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Hugh R.
Guest
0
As one poster already pointed out, the proper use of OxyContin is not killing people, it is the drug being purposely abused. The abusers have already figured out how to get past the “patented” technology, they simply crush the pills and snort them. Furthermore, the real issue has always been the intentional over prescribing of these pills to individuals purely for illegal r re-sale by corrupt doctors and pharmacies. Example: Between 2006 and 2016, out-of-state drug companies shipped nearly 21 million opioid painkillers to two pharmacies in Williamson, West Virginia, population 2,900. That would be 2 doses per person (including… Read more »
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saint stephen
Irregular
173

If you have a friend or family that overdoses on opiates you might try throwing ice on their genitals. It saved my life once back in the 80’s.

dave925
Irregular
11

Oxycontin now has an abuse free formulation much like the one described for this formulation. Whereas addicts used to be able to crush and snort (or dissolve and shoot), OxyContin now has a gummy consistency that defeats that. This is then a redundant drug with little upside that I can see. I’m a long term pain sufferer and I have seen it all and on this subject, know what I’m talking about.

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ibberman
Guest
0

As a long term pain sufferer myself (cervical spine surgery w/implants) I can safely say with 10 years experience, It’s all about the $$ and the h**l with the true sufferers.
But you all knew that I’m sure.

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