Million-Dollar Contrarian Portfolio

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Dave
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Dave

I have recently subscribed to the million-dollar portfolio because it offered a 90-day money-back trial. I have noticed a few disturbing things: (1) Responses to the “blog” are moderated, and 2 of my recent comments [mildly critical of the negative returns thus far considering that stops were not specified] were filtered out. (2) The investment returns are not honestly presented: only 10% of the $1M has been invested at an overall loss of about 12-13% last time I calculated it, but because the other 90% has been “invested” in short-term treasuries, that 90% (with minimal or no loss) is included… Read More »

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Dave
Guest
Dave

Update: now down about 15% in current positions (no gains in any of the current investments), and having ignored a 25-30% INcrease in the market, the MCP will need to appreciate substantially just to get back to where we would have been (had we not followed Martin’s advice a month+ ago to exit the market) and to recover current losses. The hype for subscribers is, in part, the intention to stay “flexible”, but flexibility was not in evidence during the current very substantial run-up in the market–not one iota of advice to gain from the run-up (the advice was to… Read More »

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momzilla
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momzilla

Dave, I am sorry to hear about your experience. I was very interested in the million dollar contrarian portfolio because it sounded so good and I wanted to make up for some of what we had lost in our accounts. But after talking it over with my husband I did not do it. After reading the blogs, I was glad I didn’t. It was a too good to be true scenario for me. But my spouse broke it down for me like this. (I am NOT stock market savvy. Just a stay at home mom that saw Martin Weiss’ ad… Read More »

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UnderstandWeiss
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UnderstandWeiss

There are some misunderstandings of this Weiss portfolio. The portfolio has apparently been gingerly dipping its toes in the short side (i.e. negative expectations) which turns out to have restrained the portfolio from larger losses. Weiss and Vogt’s expertise is understanding the big picture, the economy, and looking past the fluff presented by the dominant media. They are not week to week market timers, and they are sure to get that wrong like anyone else. There is no reason to expect them or anyone to have predicted that the last few weeks period would be a sudden melt-up in the… Read More »

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Gravity Switch
Admin
👍7

He owns at least a billion (with a B) shares, so selling five million is probably just something his accountant told him to do — or maybe he just wanted to buy a few new suits or another yacht. I wouldn’t assume that it means anything, though I don’t know Oracle well and have never owned the shares (unfortunately).

Bob S
Guest
Bob S

I am a charter subscriber to the Million Dollar portfolio. I have invested in some of the recommendations, but with all of them in the tank, have stopped doing so. I have to echo many of the critical comments above. It is likely I will cancel in the next several weeks. I am looking to unwind from some of these positions. I, too, think I finally understand how inverse ETFs work and now agree that we have no business investing in them for long term plays. Thanks “UnderstandWeiss” for noting this. There was an excellent analysis of the dangers of… Read More »

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stars1234
Guest
stars1234

I signed up only because of the 90 day money-back if I don’t like it. I’m about ready to request the return of my money. Hopefully, I will get it and without any hassle. So far all the rally opportunity has been missed. One of the stocks recommended seems to be doing okay, although that’s only because I bought more after a substantial decline after originally purchasing it on the recommendation–somewhat of timed, dollar-cost average. The same thing is true for a reverse ETF in the S&P 500. The initial buy turned out bad. With my own research, I picked… Read More »

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MikeW
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MikeW

Thanks everyone. I too get Martin’s free email service. His MCP was too dear for me @ $1,500. Some people however, did catch this rally, notably Peter Grandich (his service is free) and Chris Weber. Incidentally, both Grandich and Weber have turned bearish again as of this past Friday (so maybe Martin will make up some lost ground).

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Gravity Switch
Admin
👍7

Hi Mohammad — no, sorry I don’t think I’ve ever heard of either. I’ve dipped my toe into a few Chinese ag companies over the last year or two, but don’t know those.

SnoopyJC
Guest

I answered his ad by asking what is their performance to date, and he wrote back that he is “down by 2.05%, but mostly still in cash”, so he must be down a pretty penny on the investments that he DID make!!

He’s excellent in his Macro views, but not in playing them properly in a dynamic portfolio – this is a very challenging market, though, especially with his self-imposed rules of giving his subscribers 2-days notice before he makes the trades!!
–joe

Dave
Guest
Dave

>>So far this should all be obvious — even to the whiners who expect perfection from everybody except themselves. So lets get to the less obvious.<< As a non-stop whiner about Martin and Claus’ failures in the MCP [and BTW I regularly whine about my own lack of investing smarts, nicely exemplified by my much-regretted decision to follow Martin’s advice and divest at the recent market bottom; and actually I do expect both Martin and Claus to be better at this game than I an–otherwise why would I fork over $1400 to get their advice?], I’ll continue the whine by… Read More »

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capcdoc
Guest
capcdoc

Another charter subscriber here. I have also been disappointed in the total miss of the recent 30% run-up in the market. Our short positions are still under water, the stock picks are barely positive (finally), and now they are recommending another short ETF. In the past I jumped on the recos (and paid the price), this time I will wait to get a hint on the the market direction before grabbing this short. If things don’t rapidly improve in next 2 weeks, I will bail.

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Gravity Switch
Admin
👍7

I see that promo is again making the rounds — that’s Groote Resources, I wrote about it here: http://stockgumshoe.com/2010/12/which-tiny-70-company-found-the-supernova-gold-mother-lode.html As far as I know there haven’t been any big developments of late about possible permits since some of the native population voiced objections about seashore surface mining late last year and drove the price down. It seems, like so many of these stocks, to be a pretty binary play — if they eventually get approval to mine in this spot the stock will be worth a lot more, if they don’t get approval it will be worth essentially nothing, and… Read More »

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Sam
Guest
Sam

First off, I would like to say Martin is a genius for calling the crash way before it happened. However, the new MCP that started in March 2009 was misleading and has cost me a lot of money for the following reasons: 1) One of his first war-room/free 1 hour marketing webinars (11 laws to bear market trading) was like screaming fire in a crowded theater when there was no fire. His first war room meetings took place when the Dow and S&P were at the bottom (around beginning of March). This scared me so much, I sold all of… Read More »

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Patrick
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Patrick

I too am a charter member of the M-D C P. Unlike most of the people commenting above I’m not ready to pronounce judgement after only 2 short months. I do believe that Claus makes educated, well thought out recommendations and backs up his selections with great analysis and support. If your idea of a market trend is 1 week, 1 month or 90 days then this service isn’t for you. It was never touted as a trend trading program (whether day or swing) but an investment program based on fundamental research and the macro economy. If you disagree with… Read More »

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Koko LaRue
Guest
Koko LaRue

I subscribed on March 16’th 2009 and am currently still a member but am re-evaluating my subscription as I have 10 more days remaining to qualify for my 100% refund. Martin is very intelligent and perhaps a macro economic genius. He’s excellent at informing the subscriber in layman’s language what’s happening to and with the economy and what the probable economic and market scenarios will be as a result of actions taken by the government and others. That said he peddles his goods (stock market subscription services) in a Chicken Little ‘The sky is falling’ manner. Each new email bringing… Read More »

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Damien
Guest
Damien

Original member still with the program for now. I paid for lobster and got bottom feeding suction eel. Martin’s emails are like reading a horror story in National Enquirer. The only thing missing are the aliens. I can’t afford one of those family size underground nuclear bunkers he almost infers we’ll eventually need when society breaks down and the banks all close down with our money inside. You know, they’re called banking holidays. I don’t think I’ll be with them past Thursday. Not a single pick making money, not a one. 9 picks /9 losers and a 38% market gain.… Read More »

Gravity Switch
Admin
👍7

As I’ve noted with DEER recently as well, there’s no analyzing the price action on small cap Chinese stocks anymore — the stocks are extraordinarily jumpy on any news whatsoever, with most of the action coming from bloggers who allege fraud, with widely variable amounts of real analysis, and from company reactions to those allegations. And as with all the other Chinese reverse merger small cap stocks, it’s absurdly cheap if their accounting is legit, but none of these stocks are trading on fundamentals right now and that may be a pretty big “if”. I don’t know what the end… Read More »

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travisandjen@mac.com
Guest
travisandjen@mac.com

Based on the news reports and releases from the company – it appears that someone put out an advisory to short the stock based on totally erroneous information and to cash in on their own short position.

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Capcdoc
Guest
Capcdoc

Finally gave up on this one last week. All the picks are negative now except for the Treasuries! Yikes, how do you miss a 3 MONTH trending up market? The inverse ETFs are of course all down big, took a bath when I dumped them. As mentioned above, no specific price targets or stop loss levels have been provided, so the hits just keep coming. Claus is quite educated & very interesting, but the markets have their own logic and they have been almost 100% opposite of his vision.

Tom
Guest
Tom

This service wins the award for losing the most amount of money in the shortest time in strongest bull market in over 70 years. All this in under three months, thank you Martin and Claus. Edward Scissorhands would have done less damage to my money than the MCP did. If red is your favorite color than this service is right up you alley cause that’s all you’ll see for as far as you can see.

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Gravity Switch
Admin
👍7

Growth in these kinds of african infrastructure assets should be strong in general, I think, but I haven’t heard any specific connection to Lonrho — the last thing that I’ve seen in terms of them sniffing out new port business was the Ghana visit above, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they’re talking to lots of folks. I would be surprised if they build out the airline into another new country this year, given the huge headache that buiding out in Angola brought and the need to ramp up service in their existing hubs and invest in airplanes for the… Read More »

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John H.
Guest
John H.

I am an MDCP subscriber and like the others that have posted here have incurred losses. After initially investing in the first 5 recos, I have not invested in the last 3. While I can accept that no one can get everything right almost all have gone south at least at this point in time. Because of the long term strategy MDCP failed to take advantage of bear rally which if done would have helped mitigate the other losses and probably would have not caused such a reaction by many. Note I am not stating that he is wrong in… Read More »

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Kevin
Guest
Kevin

Don’t know what to say as others above have nailed it with their reviews. How do you miss the biggest rally in 70 years!!!! Martin scares the heck out of you in the webinar and war rooms about the sky is falling at Dow 7,000 and to SELL SELL SELL!!!! Claus tells you how the world is coming to an end and that he is not concerned about short term blips (bear market bounces) in the market and to trust his approach and strategy. So far, all of my inverse funds are in the red big time. What is the… Read More »

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Diane
Guest
Diane

Just look at my satisfaction reviews for this service and you’ll know exacly what my experience and feelings have been and are. Even from Germany almost everybody, except for Claus, realized that we had a serious bull market upswing in a bear market. Not after one month, not after two months, not even after three months did we participate in the upswing. I’d like to see Claus’s own personal portfolio compared to this Nightmare From Hell portfolio I currently own thanks to the MD-CP.

Gravity Switch
Admin
👍7

Not that I’m aware of — this is still effectively a startup company with no real revenue yet, and with the chance of hitting any kind of profitability probably coming next year. Both Sandstorm Gold and Sandstorm Metals and Energy adopted “shareholder rights” plans that are effectively poison pills against hostile takeover attempts, so that removes one potential catalyst (they could certainly still be taken over, but the company could fight it if they wished). I like the basic structure of the Terrex Energy deal, and it doesn’t change my opinion that these shares are reasonably priced, but since they’re… Read More »

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