Oxford’s “Single Stock Retirement Play” (Solved and Revisited)

Alexander Green's "Perfect Stock" -- updating our look at the "$3 stock" that he says "should be the cornerstone of your portfolio."

By Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe, January 26, 2020

This update was originally posted on October 27, 2020, and the teaser pitch was originally solved a couple years before that. The stock had its first surge of enthusiasm in many years in December and January, so it is now a “$4.50 stock” ($9, really, but each share equals two shares… more on that below). The recent enthusiasm comes both from the resurgence in Apple iPhone sales, since Foxconn is the largest outsourced assembly partner for Apple (Apple suppliers are hitting all-time highs right and left, with Taiwan Semi’s (TSM) record sales announced a few weeks ago also providing a strong indicator of volume growth), and the news in the past month or so that Foxconn is also working to build an electric vehicle assembly business. What follows has not been updated since it was originally published three months ago.

Many of you have read our past coverage of this teaser ad, but I got a recent version of it that hinted that “an obscure $3 tech stock just crushed earnings” … and that “earnings beat estimates on booming 5G demand” and it’s expected to “blast off before November 1″… which makes it sound like an exciting new idea. So I thought I’d update my article a bit, check into the company a little more, and get the discussion going again about this “single stock retirement plan” stock being teased by Alexander Green.

The ad is for membership in The Oxford Club, which is basically an entry-level basic investment newsletter (the letter is called The Communique, price pitched is $99/yr this time). The ad itself is also still dated May, 2018, so most of Green’s promise hasn’t changed, it’s just that different email lead-ins to the ad in recent months have supplied more urgent and timely hints.

So here’s our coverage of that teaser ad, soon to provide you with those answers you seek, and, at the end, I go into the details much more and update my thinking… here’s the part of the ad that caught most peoples’ attention:

“I’m going to show you how a modest investment in a single $3 stock could generate a multimillion-dollar dream retirement in the coming years.

“I call it the ‘Single-Stock Retirement Plan.’

“Some might find the idea of retiring on one stock outlandish, yet many thousands of Americans have already done it.

“In fact, as you’re about to see, the 20 wealthiest men and women in America today made their fortunes thanks largely to a single stock.”

And he says that if you’re going to retire on one stock like those wealthy men and women did (though they mostly built businesses, they didn’t invest passively in one stock), Green says it has to be “the perfect stock.”

He’s even got a checklist for what “perfect” looks like when you’re seeking this “dream stock” for a one-stock retirement… which is when the clues start to drop in about what stock he’s pitching:

“Leader in cutting-edge technology….

“products used by billions of customers…

“profit margins protected [patents, trademarks, etc.]…

“hundreds of billions of dollars in future sales and profits… contractually guaranteed…

“pay an enormous dividend.”

And he says this “perfect” stock should have catalysts — upcoming announcements that could drive the share price — and that the “one key element” is that the stock must be “undiscovered.” And that it should “trade for a just a few dollars a share.”

The per share business is silly, of course, but investors do get hung up on the idea of paying a low per-share price as a prerequisite for huge future gains. Different countries and different eras have different expectations for “per share” pricing — some large Australian companies trade at what we would think of in the US as “penny stock” prices, for example, and it used to be that most large US companies would aggressively manage their share price, using stock splits, to keep it in the $40-100 range. The market cap and the valuation of the company are what matters most, the price per share is mostly irrelevant.

But anwyay, that’s all a lead-up to this stock that Alexander Green is teasing… what other clues do we get? From the ad:

“I only recently uncovered it.

“And if you move quickly – before an upcoming announcement set for August 20 – this $3 stock could hand you the kind of carefree retirement most people only dream about.”

And then some specifics…

“The company has inked deals with Cisco, Microsoft, Intel, Sharp, IBM, Hewlett Packard, Nintendo, Sony, Nokia and Apple…

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“In total, I expect it to receive more than $34.5 BILLION from these partnerships alone….

“According to data from Intellectual Property Watchdog, the firm has quietly amassed one of the largest tech patent libraries of any company in the world.

“It has 29,187 patents inside the United States and 49,599 registered globally.

“You can see why the world’s most famed tech companies are all signing blockbuster deals with this little-known firm trading for $3.”

And it sounds like this is not a small company, despite that $3 share price…

“And I expect the company to hit $179 billion in annual sales this year.

“The company pays a big dividend too… 189% bigger than the S&P 500 average.”

Why is this stock “unknown?” Green says it “does not trade in a normal way” and it’s not on a US exchange… and, far more mysteriously, that it “literally trades under a secret name.”

So that’s enough