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“The $59 Computer” — Riches coming?

By Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe, February 4, 2010

There’s a small stack of potential teasers just sitting and waiting for the attention of the Thinkolator, but your friendly neighborhood Gumshoe is but a humble servant to the masses of the assembled Gumshoe faithful … so when I start getting hundreds of questions about one specific teaser, that moves to the top of the list.

And so today, the $59 computer. This is a teaser for a newsletter we’ve looked at many times before, Phase 1 Investor from the folks at Stansberry — it tends to be a biotech and small-cap tech newsletter, but they also use it when they’re picking the smallest companies from any sector, including some gold miners last year … it’s their most expensive newsletter (retail price $5,000, though it’s of course “on sale” now for about half that), which keeps subscriber levels down and lets them recommend microcap stocks without sending the share price through the roof.

Unless, of course, the Gumshoe jumps into the party and we mess up the stock chart — so I’ll be telling you who this company is in a moment, but don’t go off and get all hot and bothered about it on my account.

What is the $59 computer? Well, they go into this for several pages of sales blather, but here’s a bit of the tease:

“‘Who makes the $59 Computer?’

“Not one single company owns sole rights to the ‘$59 computer,’ or the technology that powers it.

“As scientist Peter Meli of the National Institute of Standards and Technology points out, the ‘$59 Computer’ represents “the convergence of many technologies.”

“In other words, it’s all still very much up for grabs.

“As you’ll see, that’s great news for investors. Even better than if one single company owned the rights to it.

“As I write, companies are scrambling to stamp their name on some part of this new computer.

Dell — the world’s 3rd largest computer manufacturer – recently tried to steal the whole thing for itself! The Texas-based company quietly filed an application with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

“Of course, Dell’s application was denied. Too many technologies have gone into the evolution of this computer for any single entity to claim sole rights.

“But the purse is so large that companies – big and small – are fighting to develop their own versions of the ‘$59 computer.’

“IBM has invested at least $360 million, according to public records… and has assigned 200 researchers to work on its own ‘$59 computer’ project.

“Google – the Palo Alto search engine giant – has invested $600 million.”

OK, so that lets us at least explain the basic marketing conceit here — when they talk about the “$59 Computer” they’re really just talking about the general concept of cloud computing. And yes, Dell did try to trademark the term “cloud computing” a couple years ago, an attempt that was thankfully turned back by the USPTO.

And yes, almost every company in the computer business is investing in cloud computing, either to develop services or use the cloud for their own data or work. Cloud computing, if you’re unaware, is a very broad term that encompasses everything from remote storage to software as a service to web-based email, it’s keeping more data and applications in the “cloud” of remote servers rather than on a personal computer or on an office mainframe, and it’s part of what we’re probably all doing with our electronic lives, with some of us more gradual than others. Heck, I do it too — most of the data and the website files for Stock Gumshoe are sitting in data centers in the Midwest that I’ll never see, and I use Google Docs to share my tracking spreadsheets and other files with folks.

The cloud has been coming for a long time, and it has also been the source of a lot of investment teasers — but the strongest pusher so far has been the Motley Fool, which has been teasing cloud computing as the “two words that Bill Gates doesn’t want you to hear’ and teasing a trio of cloud-computing companies in a dozen different ways. If you’re curious about the Fool’s take (this was a teaser for their Rule Breakers newsletter), you can see the older Kings of Cloud Computing article that I wrote here, the companies were (and still are, I assume), Google, VMWare, and Akamai.

But who is this little cloud computing company teased for us today by Phase 1 Investor?

The ad goes on to provide a few clues, though they’re definitely making the Gumshoe work on this one.

First, they tell us that this company was a critical omission in the recent Barron’s cover story on cloud computing — that this little firm is half the size of the smallest company they listed in that article, Terremark World. That article is a good place to start if you don’t know anything about the “cloud,” by the way, but we can at least take away from that the clue that Terremark has a market cap of about $500 million, so this little company must have a market cap in the neighborhood of $250 million.

So that’s one clue. What else? We get one more bit of teasermania that includes some good clues, here it is in their words:

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“They’ve developed proprietary software that makes the ‘$59 computer’ faster.

“What they offer is one of a kind…

“Basically, their new technology allows them to speed up the Internet – and GUARANTEE fast and failsafe delivery of Web-based applications to the ‘$59 computer.’

“Their new technology is so good at doing this they’ve developed a stranglehold on a niche within the ‘$59 computer’ market…

“‘After unsuccessful attempts by nearly a dozen other companies, the results from implementing [this company’s] solution were both effective and dramatic,’ said Stuart Ross, President and CEO of a private ‘$59 computer’ company.

“‘It’s like having a license to print money,’ said Dave Kochbeck, Director of Technology at Friendster, a privately owned social networking site in Sydney.

“In the technology world, if you have something valuable, you’d better build a moat around it.

“That’s exactly what this tiny little firm has done.

“They’ve received SIXTEEN patents in total—seven in the past year alone:

“November 26, 2009
“October 20, 2009
“September 1, 2009
“July 14, 2009
“June 30, 2009
“February 12, 2009
“February 10, 2009

“Because this technology is so valuable…

“This tiny company’s been lining up contracts with major ‘$59 computer’ players – Hewlett-Packard, Microsoft, Motorola, and Sony, to name a few.”

So who is it? Well, we can throw all that info into the mighty, mighty Thinkolator, and out the other end comes the answer:

Internap Network Services (INAP)

Why Internap? Well, those two quotes in the teaser are from customer testimonials that INAP includes on their own website, so that’s pretty solid confirmation. And the company and its employees and officers probably hold a lot more than 16 patents, but Internap did receive patents on those dates given — at least a half dozen or so of them, I didn’t check each one. And no, I don’t understand much of the actual patent language (September 1’s patent, for example, was for “topology aware route control” to help route data in networks).

And that’s a large amount of what Internap does — they run data centers and provide content delivery network (CDN) and other IP services that try to make data routing faster and more reliable, much like other companies do (including Akamai, which is the giant of the CDN business and a stock I’ve profiled for the Irregulars as well as an oft-teased Motley Fool pick). I don’t know a lot about INAP, but they seem to be effectively a turnaround story in a business where investors have been fairly cautious over the past year.

Part of Internap’s turnaround strategy is a move to do less reselling of data center services and start providing more of those services themselves — which means building up their data center footprint, something they’re trying to do over the next year or so (there’s a quick article about this strategy here, and they went into more detail in their last conference call, you can read the 3Q transcript here). There may be reason for some skepticism about INAP and their expansion and strategic plans, at least if you’ve been following them for a while — INAP is a new stock for me, but they’ve tried to remake themselves and refocus before, as this fairly critical article details from Nortia Research.

And just as an FYI, some of my readers might be interested to know that Weiss Research is actually an INAP customer, and allowed their name to be used in press releases — they use INAP for their video distribution, all those “special events” that they invite you to attend online.

So … is Internap the heretofore unseen winner in cloud computing-related stocks? They do have patents and services in data routing and deliverability, but I have no way of judging whether their technology or services are any better than anyone else’s, and the industry is getting more competitive in just about every segment these days. There is often chatter about a possible takeover of Internap, in part because they have a nice big chunk of tax losses built up over their many years of unprofitable operations, but that’s rarely a good enough reason to speculate — if you do decide that Internap is for you, it will probably be because you’ve got some faith in their turnaround plan and think it’s cheap enough to take a chance. Internap does trade at a low price/book valuation of 1.2, but that’s probably largely due to goodwill on the balance sheet — they made a big acquisition of VitalStream back in 2006 to get into the CDN business, a buy that cost them more than $200 million (and might now be laden with some regret), which is awfully close to their current market cap.

Internap hasn’t exactly been building wealth for investors to this point, but if it is going to be a big cloud computing winner it’s at least running a bit below the radar — it’s not just Barron’s that failed to include INAP, I don’t think I’ve seen any other high profile analysis that looks at INAP as a high potential “cloud” play, though obviously any company that does internet routing, content delivery, and data center hosting is, technically, worthy of being called a “cloud computing” company (there are a lot of companies offering these and similar services, Dan Rayburn maintains a list of the CDN companies, at least, on his website here if you’re curious about researching some of the other firms).

Think INAP is worthy of a gamble as they attempt to turn the business around and leverage their technology? Do the Phase 1 folks have a beauty here, or a beast? Let us know what you think with a comment below.

And of course, if you’ve subscribed to Phase 1 Investor, we’d all like to hear if it’s worth the price — please click here to share your opinion at Stock Gumshoe Reviews.

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Tim
Guest
Tim
February 4, 2010 1:46 pm

Apparently the company did away with a poison pill shareholder protection at the end of 09 that wasn’t supposed to originally be terminated until 2013. If their technology is as good as the teaser implies they will undoubtedly be bought out sooner rather than later, imho. Probably when the current market fears drive the sp down further with the rest of the market. March? hmmm, deja vu.

cretus
Guest
cretus
February 4, 2010 10:12 pm

HUGE TSUNAMI IN BATTERIES— EEStor is backed by VC firm Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers WOW U KNOW THIS IS SILICON VALLEY’S BEST VC! they are legendary backers of huge successes. As I told U I am a tech guy and I owe you this one…. this if it happens is world shaking news! Good luck and I wish I could learn how to capitalize on your savvy! Hey man I owe U for juicing me up…

EEstor will change everything !!!
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http://www.wired.com/autopia/2009/10/eestor/
How to get in on this is via http://energytechstocks.com/companies/zenn.htm
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Zenn Motor Company Inc ZNNMF:OTC

Phyllis Mikell
Guest
Phyllis Mikell
February 5, 2010 7:45 am

Just some heartfelt thanks for helping me to avoid being taken in by some new persuading newsletters.

You have not only saved me money by not buying the newsletters but also in not buying the stocks recommended had I bought the letter. Thanks for being there for us.

John Wilkinson
Guest
John Wilkinson
February 5, 2010 9:52 am

I totally agree with Phylis’s comment above. I have a had a teaser today which is the never dying battery, the nano battery. Do you know the company who has supposedly come up with this world changing item? I’m sure the thinkolator will be able to help us out.

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Dr. Henry M. Chakoian
Dr. Henry M. Chakoian
February 5, 2010 12:17 pm

Nano Battery,
Altair Nanotechnologies, ALTI.
Great story. Bought at 3.35, 9-6-06.Sold at 2.40, 3-21-08. I share good, bad and ugly. The concept could elevate battery powered vehicles on a practical basis——
if they ever get it into production. I keep watching it, with a jaundiced eye. Herach.

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Kevin
Guest
Kevin
February 5, 2010 8:06 pm

The thing with Altair is that they are providing the batteries for Proterra, a privately held firm that just announced they are opening a factory in Greenville to build their electric busses. Busses powered by UQM motors (who Altair has a strategic alliance with… it seems the motor company likes Altairs batteries and vice versa).

And, UQM gets research contracts from the Navy (oh, and so does Altair), which recently announced a plan for electric motor driven ships.

You see where I wish we were going with this.

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Doug
Guest
Doug
February 6, 2010 3:55 pm

A bit more digging around on this one reveals:

1) One of the INAP customer testimonials (from 2007) mentioned in the newsletter, was for a company called PlanetVu. They specialized in TV show delivery over broadband … nothing whatsoever to do with a $59 computer. Oh, and PlanetVu now appears to be out of business.

2) If INAP was awarded these patents in 2009 … that would likely mean the patents would have to have been submitted in 2005 (the USPTO process is typically 3-5 years long). If they had some sort of groundbreaking technology in 2005, you’d think it would have proven itself in the market by now.

It’s just a pump and dump scam. Google the following: stansberry aidsvax vaxgen

Nobuyoki Ozawa
Guest
Nobuyoki Ozawa
February 8, 2010 1:22 pm

Fundamentally Internap Networks is a fair stock play at current prices with much upside potential. The stock has been beaten down in recent years for good reason. I believe the turn-around progress is tremendous as the new CEO is a speak little, do more person. I like these kinds of CEOs. Good company with a poor track record = current valuation relative to peers.

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James Faller
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James Faller
February 9, 2010 11:49 pm

I will take a hard look at INAP. Back in the late nineties i had stock in a company that did the same thing as INAP and it failed. I just can’t remember the name of the company, symbol started with an F. I will have to dig through my records and see it still exists under another name.

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Jim in Edmonds, WA
Jim in Edmonds, WA
February 10, 2010 2:16 pm

Over the past year or so, I have subscribed to a couple of Stansberry & Associates “Investment Letters”. They are interesting reading, I keep them in my magazine rack in the “john”. Although, the majority of the email I seem to get from them, is trying to entice me into buying just one more of their financial letters/reports.

This was the case this afternoon. They tried to “hook” me with their special information regarding the “$59.00 Computer” etc., which of course sounded interesting. When I found out how much they wanted for their subscription, I had to laugh. Even their discounted offer seemed ridiculous.

After reading about their special offer to subscribe to “Phase 1 Investor”, I decided to google Stansberry & Associates, to see if there was any adverse press, regarding their company on the internet. In the process, I came across an answer to a question, by at someone from “Stockgumshoe.com”. The answer sounded honest and to the point. I decided to click on your website. I liked what I saw and signed up for your free email addition.

After completing the signing up process, I came back to your home page, an “Lo and behold”, I discover your discussion about Stansberry & Associates, Phase 1 Investor and the information about the “$59.00 Computer” company they were referring to. Then to find who the company is, that S&A was dangling out there like some golden carrot, that was just icing on the cake!

Now I’m sorry, but to me that qualifies as a “completed circle” with regards to information gathering, along with adding some unexpected enjoyment to my Saturday afternoon.

Thanks a lot, Stockgumshoe.com

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Jim in Edmonds, WA
Jim in Edmonds, WA
February 10, 2010 2:18 pm

Over the past year or so, I have subscribed to a couple of Stansberry & Associates “Investment Letters”. They are interesting reading, I keep them in my magazine rack in the “john”. Although, the majority of the email I seem to get from them, is trying to entice me into buying just one more of their financial letters/reports.

This was the case this afternoon. They tried to “hook” me with their special information regarding the “$59.00 Computer” etc., which of course sounded interesting. When I found out how much they wanted for their subscription, I had to laugh. Even their discounted offer seemed ridiculous.

After reading about their special offer to subscribe to “Phase 1 Investor”, I decided to google Stansberry & Associates, to see if there was any adverse press, regarding their company on the internet. In the process, I came across an answer to a question, by someone from “Stockgumshoe.com”. The answer sounded honest and to the point. I decided to click on your website. I liked what I saw and signed up for your free email addition.

After completing the signing up process, I came back to your home page, an “Lo and behold”, I discover your discussion about Stansberry & Associates, Phase 1 Investor and the information about the “$59.00 Computer” company they were referring to. Then to find who the company is, that S&A was dangling out there like some golden carrot, that was just icing on the cake!

Now I’m sorry, but to me that qualifies as a “completed circle” with regards to information gathering, along with adding some unexpected enjoyment to my Saturday afternoon.

Thanks a lot, Stockgumshoe.com

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George Bancroft
Guest
February 10, 2010 6:59 pm

Love your analyses. Good and valuable work.

Alan in Los Angeles
Alan in Los Angeles
February 10, 2010 8:40 pm

I too have received the Stansberry $59 teaser and found Gumshoe while researching the teaser. Glad I found this site. As for INAP, if this is truly the stock that Phase 1 is touting then I’m surprised it hasn’t moved at all since the article was published, and volume is incredibly low for such a “hot” stock. I’m tempted to buy some anyway, but the low daily volume worries me. I do find it hard to believe that this premium Stansberry newsletter would promote INAP.

I did subscribe to Frank Curzio’s Penny Stocks, having been a subscriber to his SUT newsletter, and just on his IMAX short play made enough for my subscription many times over. I like Frank’s work. Maybe INAP should be a Curzio pick instead, makes more sense.

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Alan in Los Angeles
Alan in Los Angeles
February 13, 2010 11:58 am

They have an introductory offer good to the end of next week (Feb 19) for $99/yr. You call Dan Ostrowski at 866-783-4141. I covered my IMAX short at about 12, shorted at 13.50 so did ok. Now trying to short again at 13. I’ve got 5 stocks long from his list and I’m up about 4%. I like his work from his SUT newsletter so I followed him over to Stansberry. Figured for $99 it would be worth a try. After next week they say it will cost $249.

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Alan in Los Angeles
Alan in Los Angeles
February 13, 2010 12:01 pm

Wow, Stansberry sure likes to spam you once you’ve signed up for anything. I’ve gotten 5 emails about the $59 computer today alone.
I’m curious about the really low volume on INAP. I’d figure if Stansberry was pumping it this hard it would be higher. Unless either INAP really isn’t the one or no one is pony’ing up $2500 for their newsletter (which I can believe). Anyone have ideas on INAP or invested in it yet?

Kyle
Member
Kyle
February 14, 2010 11:01 am

As a technology expert, I really doubt INAP has any special claim to cloud computing. The idea and techniques to implement have been around over 10 years. Remember “the network is the computer”? If Oracle/Sun couldn’t pull it off with a $billion investment, how would INAP?

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Bill In PA
Guest
Bill In PA
February 14, 2010 1:22 pm

I too was with Frank C @ the street .com under$10. What great reccomendations he made. I recently found him at Stansberry and I too am recieving sales pitches like the $59 computer. This is too speculative a pick for Frank.

Jim in Ajax, Canada
Guest
Jim in Ajax, Canada
February 14, 2010 3:09 pm

I just got an email from “The Daily Reckoning” by Agoroa Financial with the lengthy $59 computer pitch from Stansbury & Associates. I like Doug Casey’s International Speculator, published by Agora, but I usually just delete their promo emails. But the $59 computer piqued my curiousity.

I Googled ‘$59 computer’ and this page came at the top of the list. Great stuff. I agree with Doug about them filing patents in 2005 without doing much since then.

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Mike Flynn
Guest
Mike Flynn
February 14, 2010 4:24 pm

Thank you for your detective work on S/A $59 computer. (I just wasted 18 sheets of paper printing it out.) As a subsciber to S/A the most memorable emails I get are about the dog eating his homework

George in Santa Rosa
Guest
George in Santa Rosa
February 14, 2010 6:22 pm

My Charts show that this stock is following the general trend. There is a Reversal due in 3-4 days, which I see as a High. That Reversal will create a 2nd Reversal, which will likely be a Low — in several weeks. I expect the 2nd Reversal to target a Low in the 4.0 area. THAT will be the time to jump on. Reply privately if you want to see the Charts, and I will forward.

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