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Starting to look at the “Mining Titans of Tomorrow” from Sean Brodrick

What's being teased by Red-Hot Resource Millionaire?

Sean Brodrick has a new ad out recruiting charter subscribers for his new Red-Hot Resource Millionaire newsletter ($2,500/yr), and in the ad he’s pitching a bunch of his favorite gold juniors. The questions are piling up here on the doorstep at Gumshoe HQ… so let’s see what we can find.

As with most of these lists of “top ten stocks,” there will be quite a few that are referenced very obliquely — and often even the Mighty, Mighty Thinkolator can’t ID all of those stocks without a few decent hints.

But I’ve at least got a quick answer about “Red-Hot Mining Stock #1” for you and, well, perhaps I’ll try to dig into the others if folks are excited about them.

The basic argument is that junior gold miners are going to soar because “gold is on the launch pad” — the headline pretty well sums it up:

“Gold Profit Bonanza

“It’s Time to Buy Microcap Canadian Mining Companies and Go for Massive Gains as High as 974%, 1,481%, even 5,237%!

  • WITHOUT risking more than a tiny fraction of your capital …
  • WITHOUT using debt, options, futures or margin accounts …
  • WITHOUT expiration dates — no time limiton your opportunity, and …
  • WITHOUT the hassles of in-and-out trading!

“Gold is on the launch pad … buyout announcements are already sending some tiny stocks soaring … and my proprietary ‘GOLDS’ system is flashing green lights on a short list of mining shares with life-changing profit potential!”

And yes, you can eschew options, futures, or margin for these kinds of investments — because junior miners themselves are generally super-levered to gold and to exploration success. When you’re dealing with little baby companies that have market caps of $50 million or a few hundred million, with hoped-for claims on large gold deposits underground, then the shares can move dramatically either because the gold deposit gets firmed up or proven, or because gold itself moves higher (that’s just the upward moves, of course — failed drilling or falling gold prices can send these stocks dramatically lower as well, as we saw for almost all junior miners from 2013 until about February of 2016, when gold and gold mining shares bottomed out and started a huge run into last Summer).

So what’s that first one on Brodrick’s list?

“Red-Hot Mining Stock #1: Is a Gold Explorer in ‘Elephant Country’

“This company is currently working a stretch of land that is considered the richest area of gold in the Western Hemisphere. And, not surprisingly, this company is FINDING yellow metal at a rapid clip.

“It has already gotten big investments from two different majors and I think that could be the prelude to a future bidding war for the rest of this small firm.

“All told, I see the potential for a jump from the $2 range to the $7 range as this story plays out … creating the possibility to triple money invested right now.”

Going by those clues and by the chart shown in the ad, the Thinkolator tells us this is almost certainly Gold Standard Ventures (GSV in both NY and Toronto), which now has two substantial properties in Nevada, including, after the Battle Mountain acquisition announced last month, in the Carlin Trend where so many massive gold mines have been pulling ore out of the dirt for decades. It also and does have two gold “majors” with strategic investments (Goldcorp and Oceana Gold).

The stock has come down almost 25% in the last few weeks, perhaps partly because of the acquisition (and gold stocks in general have been drifting down), so I was actually looking at it myself earlier this week. Gold Standard is in an awkward spot in some respects, they’re too big to be an explosive explorer (market cap is about $365 million before the Battle Mountain Gold acquisition, which will boost it by $20 million or so) and they haven’t yet released their preliminary economic analysis for their first mine, so they’re still quite a long way from making money…. but they’re also often talked about as an acquisition target, since there’s a real demand for the kind of long-lived well-understood deposits that Gold Standard thinks they’ve found in Nevada, and Gold Standard has worked for years to assemble their huge and contiguous land package in what they call the “last window” on the Carlin Trend.

They do already have several meaningful discoveries, with initial resource estimates, but they also say they’ll be updating those resource estimates in the second quarter and doing a lot of drilling in 2017. I’m tempted to wait until those resource estimates or PEAs come through to see how much actual gold is really being found, particularly because it doesn’t look like the gold price is going anywhere in a hurry, but I guess the cost of waiting is that they could always be acquired at a premium while you’re thinking it over.

That’s a risk I’m happy to take at the moment, but I have been a bit tempted by this one when it falls and I’ll probably check in on it from time to time — the large land package near to those producing Nevada mega-mines is pretty compelling as we look at the years when Newmont, Goldcorp and the rest will be thirsty for new reserves, and they do have some nice discoveries so far in terms of relatively high-grade intercepts in what is usually a bulk-mined, low grade part of the mining world. There are catalysts coming with their drilling this year, so there might be news that moves things, but a lot of the near term story, of course, is just going to be about the gold price and about takeover rumors and speculation.

If you’d like to start digging into this one, their investor presentation is here, and the Streetwise summary is here (GSV is a favorite of many newsletter pundits, and also has an enthusiastic analyst following). Frank Curzio, who also teased this stock for his pricey Stansberry newsletter when it was in its prior run in early 2012, interviewed GSV’s CEO and co-founder Jonathan Awde a few weeks ago on his podcast, so you can hear that here if you’d like more “color” on the story.

Oh, and Sean Brodrick himself, before he moved from the Oxford Resource Explorer back to Red-Hot Resource Millionaire at Weiss, also pitched GSV as one of his great opportunities almost a year ago, back in June of 2016. The price was about the same then as it is now, in the $1.60s, though it went up to almost $3 and then back down in the interim.

So… whaddya think? Revved up for Gold Standard Ventures? Not so excited? Let us know with a comment below.

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Link Quist
Member
May 3, 2017 5:35 pm

Travis
Thanks for taking this tease on. I actually was able to discern GSV as it was the only one of his ten miners that he provided enough info about to sleuth out. When he mentioned ‘Elephant’ country, I first thought he was referencing Africa and specifically Asanko Gold (AKG), but then it mentioned Nevada and it occurred to me that the ‘elephant’ was the Carlin trend in Nevada, the ‘elephant’ of gold production was Nevada and knowing about GSV, I figured it was likely his first tease-THANK YOU for confirming that. However, when I sent this, I saw SO FEW CLUES that I needed at least one more piece of data to begin discerning, and I have no doubt Broderick put a conscious effort to keep ALL his picks vague and opaque as I’m sure all these Newsletters are undoubtedly aware of the power of your mighty Thinkolator. Thanks again Travis!

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lepirdj
lepirdj
May 3, 2017 5:41 pm

Is Trek Mining (lwlcf) a viable alternative? I picked up this stock before the merger, and it’s been on a march downward. If gold is going to go up, I have to wonder if jumping into another mining stock is better then increasing my position in Trek. I admit getting into trek at a much higher price, though I’m fine holding onto it and waiting to see what happens with gold. I haven’t sold, so I haven’t lost in my mind yet.

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Dave S.
Dave S.
May 3, 2017 5:59 pm

No doubt most jr miners will appreciate considerably if gold ever does what the gold bugs relentlessly insist it must do. But until then, shirts can be lost buying them, as anyone who bought GSV above $2.50 is aware. Weiss Inc has been hyping junior miners since Larry Edelson (RIP) missed the bottom in gold in Jan ’16 and, imo, needed to distract subscriber attention from that failure and did it by starting a new high-end high-greed service hyping jr. miner warrants. That service (now managed by a different fellow, of course) has not done well at all and is in the red (https://www.weissresearchissues.com/trading-history?prod=GMM&brand=mam), but perhaps Sean will do better with his service. My experience with Weiss is that the expensive services do not do any better than the cheap ones, and the latter don’t do all that well.

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vivian
vivian
May 3, 2017 6:16 pm

a gold mine is a hole in the ground with a liar on top of it

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Olya
Irregular
May 3, 2017 8:07 pm
Reply to  vivian

…with a liar on top of it, ready to hide it’s golden traesure again underground.

Andrew Page
Member
Andrew Page
May 3, 2017 6:33 pm

I think waiting is a proper stance. I have been burned by several of these before regaining my prudence by looking at stick gunshots before making any large investmsnts

Andy

777stock777
Irregular
777stock777
May 3, 2017 7:03 pm

Travis, many thanks. Love this for the right time. Indeed, yes, any others that you can identify is most appreciated. Specially with prices Down!

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Andrew
Member
May 3, 2017 8:48 pm

Excellent info Travis, just wondering if the mining titans of tomorrow are new players from Asia, particularly with rare metals http://eqibeat.com/top-20-asian-mining-stocks-by-market-cap/

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Gary A.
Member
Gary A.
May 3, 2017 9:44 pm

Thanks Travis. Bought this stock last year at 90 cents. I’ll hold it for a while. I haven’t loss any money on its of yet so we’ll see if a major buys them out in a year or so.

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Larry
Guest
Larry
May 4, 2017 12:19 am

The metals are usually flat or down during the summer months. Take your time and buy when things are cheap and hated. Sell when everyone is greedy and is expecting the prices will reach the moon.
Thanks Travis for your insight. I have been watching GSV also.

hoss316
hoss316
May 4, 2017 3:49 am

Thanks Travis!!! I was waiting when you would have time to reveal these mining stocks. You read our mind. Please keep going . Weiss research is asking almost 3000 dollar for membership!

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Rusty Brown in Cda
Member
Rusty Brown in Cda
May 4, 2017 8:41 am

“…it doesn’t look like the gold price is going anywhere in a hurry”.

Unless, of course, there is a nasty surprise in the French election next Sunday (May 7) à la Trump last November or Brexit before that, all of which seem to have been thoroughly discounted by all and sundry at this point.
May you live in “interesting” times.

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john
Member
john
May 7, 2017 5:39 am

There will be no surprises. One long term development is we are seeing the end of socialism. (Brexit, Iceland, Holland incomplete but clear trends, Hungary, Germany, France, USA, Canada, China, and all this started in Russia) Keep your eyes on the ball. Equity will be better long term then any gold miners. Only our timing is uncertain. Implosion of Europe not too far off. USA looks fine for a spell.

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thinairmony
May 4, 2017 10:09 am

Paper gold just don’t believe if the markets crash the gold warranties and investments in paper or depositories will crash with them. Is this not true. And if you buy actual gold for your IRA you must put it in a certified facilities for holding. And if you buy it in large bullion amounts don’t you have to register it with the government to hold it privately. Which is not private. Is this not true? If you buy small ungraded gold coins like 1/10th oz of a American gold $5 coins you don’t? Just wondering.

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thinairmony
May 4, 2017 10:14 am

One more question Travis. Symbol (GSS),Golden Star Resources, LTD. Your thoughts on this and is it like a EFT?

Thomas B. Israel
Thomas B. Israel
May 4, 2017 2:41 pm

I just purchased some stock in Pretium Resources, Inc. (PVG), despite that I am very ignorant about junior mining companies. The apparent quality of their management and the fact that Pretium just wrapped up a $100 Million warrant issue gives me a gut feeling that this (new to) mining company may be a winner.

Sooo, I bought some shares, and NOW I am interested in insight and knowledge of fellow/gal Gumshoe adherents regarding PVG.

Blessings

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jempsall
jempsall
May 4, 2017 6:49 pm

As an investor, you’re at a big disadvantage if you don’t understand this industry. A good place to start is to get the book”Mining Explained” published by the Northern Miner.

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Sandman852
Member
Sandman852
May 9, 2017 11:38 am

i too bought pvg recently and am hoping their expertise takes this stock to its promised heights. The key for me is the seasoned/ proven Quartermaynes’ involvement, getting operational in less than 7 years, the low cost production and very reasonable gold price of 1100 in their projections.
At the 500k oz per year estimate they should be able to create strong sh value. Sprott loading up recently also allayed concerns. Fingers crossed and gl all

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TraderHorne
Guest
TraderHorne
May 7, 2017 10:31 am

I got burned by so many junior goldminers over the years (too many to list) (with a few exceptions like Northern Orion, Medusa, Centamin, Klondex), I’m sticking to to my London-listed Junior Goldminers ETF, and leave them to figure out which ones are the best to hold.

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mike1atgum
mike1atgum
May 7, 2017 5:24 pm

ck. out some of the other miners ( if time permits) thanks mike

Donald Duck
May 8, 2017 1:05 am

This comment by Dave S. on May 3rd should go in your Comment Hall Of Fame and is why I am a paid subscriber to Gumshoe. You are doing wonderful work.
Thank You.:
“My experience with Weiss is that the expensive services do not do any better than the cheap ones, and the latter don’t do all that well.”

Nancy
Member
Nancy
November 8, 2019 5:43 pm

What strikes me us when I found out how much of the price of a unit of mined gold is expenses! whether Dr. Thinko dug it out or not it was from a legitimate info source!
It kind of took the yellow glow off the stuffMaking me want to find old scrap gold with the old cheaper overhead long worked off! Like being a member of an auto union and buying s foreign car which was at least USED once over! The losses to labor are well gone by then, and my bending my rules was purer and free of most guilt!
That production cost reality was stunning.! You are investing in the labor production overhead costs, think really what does that do to the intrinsic value of the yellow stuff! Its’ intrinsic price of labor cost is not cheaper “freshly”
mined! If the high production cost is about 3/4 of the value of a unit what happens after that cost gets ignored and the 1/4 of a unit is all that isctrslly of worth! Strange!
May be I am just stupidly uninitiated in the investment world!
Great job! Marion from MI

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