Safe Money Report

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Hanrod
Guest
Hanrod
December 18, 2010 6:23 pm

I subscribed to Safe Money and Real Wealth for a few years, several years ago; and though I let my subscriptions lapse I still regularly read the e-mailed version of M&M, which I think useful.

I read with interest, but did not act on, the Weiss recommendations over the years; instead chasing CD rates, etc. and so I lost nary a dime during the “great recession” and market crash of the last few years. Of course, I missed the earlier “boom years”, and the more recent partial “recovery” too.

Saving, not “investing”, has kept me at least solvent; and today continuous active “trading and hoping” (i.e. speculating on the future actions of expert, professional, traders and on the trends of popular emotions) is all that is left of the old concept of sober “investing”; except in your own property, business or education.

Reading not only Weiss, but also much mainstream business, market and investment news over most of my 73 years, has been a real education, and a sobering one. I have watched both businesses and the financial markets become increasingly more deceptive, fraudulent, corrupt and volitile, over the past thirty years particularly. This was facilitated (and thus in the resulting increased competition, mandatated) by a deregulating government that has acted in the narrow interests of the lobbying and campaign funding corporate organizations that buy, and now effectively own, that government; and against citizen interests.

I am currently considering the $600. “one-time” packaged service, and at least re-subscribing to SM and possibly RW; and particularly to the newer Nilus Mattive Dividend Superstars and Dad’s Income Portfolio letters. Of course, I may do as little in acting on these as I have done in the past, however, unless I come to feel better about some coming new honesty, stability — and re-regulation. [I do want to get hard copies in mail as well as e-copies, however, and am not sure that they now continue to provide that, anymore.]

The Weiss Ratings services are, I think, exemplary; and an important alternative to the “pay to play” ratings of Moodys, S&P, etc.; a fact that does not get nearly enough popular investment news publicity. However, I have to think that the Weiss people often know no more about future market performance than we do; and when they venture into historical “trend charting” as a predictor, it becomes humorous.

Too, I have to give Weiss, generally, a poor grade for consistency, as I think that the varied recommendations of his various newsletters are often quite inconsistent between them; and that the Weiss organization should be consistent throughout in its recommendations to its clients.

Still, we can’t blame Martin for agressive “sales” efforts (providing he is not deceiving); this is only a necessary part of business. We can blame him for not prominently posting the historical results of all recommendations, in order not to be deceptive; but maybe he will change that in future, remembering that “past performance is not indicative of future results”.

_____

[My response to an invitation from one of my “financial gurus”, Martin Weiss, Phd, of the Weiss Group (publishers of Safe Money and other financial publications) to contribute our own subscriber “financial / investment” thoughts to his website; in honor of his birthday, 2008.]

THE INVESTOR, (ANALYZED AND) ARRESTED

Some years ago when I was young,
My life a song, as yet unsung,
Important though I thought wealth was,
I did not know its path, its cause;
I undervalued wealth, at best.

I knew, at heart, to save a part
Of all I earned, as mine; but art
And life and love were most in mind;
And though I saved, another kind
Of cost — life’s own, was time, at risk.

But stocks and options, puts and calls,
Slow, breathless, climbs, then frightful falls
Made me decline their profits, thrills;
I thought much more of Treasury bills,
Or bank CDs, a safer buy.

My savings grew, but then I knew
Of all I’d not done, ne’er would do;
The cost to me, deposits lent,
Deflated funds I should have spent;
Time valued cash far less than I.

As Weiss reminds us, you and me,
Investments not a guarantee
But speculation — former are
No better than the guarantor;
The rest is but deception, lies.

The brokers are the wealthy ones,
No mutual in mutual funds;
Though in the last analysis
All life and love, all time, has risk;
The Weiss’es tell it as it is —

So, Happy Birthday, Martin Weiss!

HANROD

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Ken Berns
Guest
Ken Berns
January 6, 2011 3:25 pm

I have been with the Safe Money Report for over 10 years. I have found Martin and his writers to be very interesting and fairly accurate when it comes to picking stocks, but what I like best are the areas of investment that I would have never discovered on my own. Their predictions on major events tend to be real early but surprisingly accurate. Not all picks work out and I don’t trade every recommendation either, I use the service more for direction and timing. I have found SMR and their other publications to be a big help in managing my portfolio.

david robinson
Guest
david robinson
February 8, 2012 5:41 pm

very important to me—-

al brann
Guest
al brann
June 24, 2012 1:09 am

There is some interesting reading, but the endless pitches for bigger and better ideas for just a few dollars more is a real putoff. I’m already paying for the advice, what kind of clown admits he’s peddling mediocre goods?

jrlowelljr
Irregular
February 28, 2013 2:46 am

This letter saved my butt twice when it was written by Dr. Weiss. Not as good or as interesting since Mike Larson is writing it. Guarantee is outstanding.

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miltonmoney
Member
February 5, 2014 7:41 am

Well written, and great service WIEES dish out..very professional.

👍 16
D
Member
D
April 22, 2017 10:03 pm

Investment performance spotty. Good during crises, but overly conservative in the great 2012-2015 QE bubble and the 2016-17 rebound.

Good instincts, though. Like many, Larson was lacking in the imagination to foresee just how far central banks and financial markets would take asset prices in a world where economic reality has limited influence over, say, stock prices. As he himself named it, we’re living in the “everything bubble.”

Larson concentrated on credit markets, which is a good place to start any analysis and much better than starting with equities. That alone made it worth reading. And it did use the respected Weiss rating system, which often stood in contradiction to the gloomier mood. Sound rules and methodology beat would-be gurus and shamans any day.

SMR is now edited by Bill Hall and I’m waiting to see what happens. I read newsletters partly for the thinking they provoke with their distinctive methods and approaches. Not necessarily looking for a guru with pretensions of clairvoyance to tell me what to do.

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WILLIAM K. HAYES
Guest
WILLIAM K. HAYES
May 26, 2017 6:33 pm

Last year Mike Larson predicted that bank stocks were going to tank disastrously and recommended significant investment in financial reverse ETFs. As a result I bought SEF, only to lose a big hunk of my investment when financials went sharply UP with the election of President Trump. Larson’s reasons seemed plausible at the time but I don’t pay him to be plausible. It was the capstone of my experience of a long number of years as a SAFE MONEY REPORT subscribers, during which my total results were at best borderline. They recently phoned me about renewal and I told them I’m done.

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Mike
Member
Mike
June 10, 2017 8:52 am

In my opinion, Weiss has missed many investment returns because they seem to favor Conservative Republicans when history has taught us otherwise… In my opinion, they were very negative during Clinton which was wrong, then positive in Cheney/bush which was wrong, then negative during Obama which was wrong and now positive during Trump, which may also be wrong…

Publications such as Forbes, Fortune and the Huffington Post have written articles which demonstrate that the markets do much better during Liberal Progressive Democratic Administrations with Majority Democratic Congresses , yet Weiss seems to be going the opposite direction, again, in my