I’m on a plane to Omaha as I finish up this week’s Friday File, ready to jump into another “Woodstock for Capitalists” weekend with the Annual Meeting for Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) and, more quietly, some other investor events and the Markel (MKL) Brunch. This pilgrimage often helps me to reset my thinking as a long-term […]
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I haven’t covered many Motley Fool pieces in recent weeks, so I thought I’d do a quick dive into one of their recent ads — it’s a pitch that promises “3 Top Non-Tech Stocks Under $30,” I guess appealing to investors who have been burned by the collapse of tech stocks, and they hint at […]
You know how people always say you should “invest in yourself?” Well, given now irrational and emotional we can all be from time to time, when it comes to investing I think there’s also a pretty good argument for diversifying away from yourself. Several times over the years I’ve written about that general idea of […]
As we’ve seen the world get shaken up over the past few months, it’s pretty likely that my internal biases are impacting my assessments of companies — I always intend to be rigorous in setting “buy below” prices for myself, which I hope will be useful for you, but it’s very likely that my rosier […]
Price targets are starting to come down for a great many stocks these days, and that’s a reminder that analysts, who issue those price targets, essentially do the same thing you and I do: They try to figure out how much money a company is going to make in the future, and then decide what […]
Merry Christmas, Happy New Year and a lovely solstice and holiday season to you, whichever traditions you choose to embrace. It’s awfully dark and cold here in New England as the year begins to turn, and I hope you’ve got enough love and friendship to keep you warm… I’m having a nice end of the […]
Infrastructure week! Looks like there’s a big ol chunk of cash that will be rolling downhill in the coming years for all the construction companies, broadband companies, materials companies, etc. after Congress finally passed the bipartisan infrastructure bill that they’ve been sitting on for months. Certainly our roads and bridges and public transport systems and […]
I thought we’d start out today with a quick teaser solution — Altimetry, one of the Stansberry/MarketWise publishers, is selling Joel Litman’s Microcap Confidential for $2,000 (“on sale” from $5,000, naturally, no refunds), and they’re doing so by hinting at a high-potential buy… here’s the intro: “Forensic Accountant who’s been followed by the Top 10 […]
Today we’re starting with a little update on the portfolio, and that’s going to give me a chance to follow up on some reader questions about gold and cryptocurrencies. Then we’ll move on to Toast (TOST), a company I like but a stock that I can’t justify yet, a bunch of other minor updates on […]
Happy Friday! We’re coming to you pre-open instead of after the close today, for a little change of pace. I’ve mostly got some relatively optimistic comments to share, including a bunch of small purchases I made as stories shifted a little, so I thought I should start you out with some pessimism from someone else […]
So what’s up this week in the Real Money Portfolio? Quite a bit of news for our companies this week, so I’ll spare you any ranting about politics or current events for the moment (you’re welcome!) First, the ugly news. GAN (GAN) reported pretty much what they said they would report, strong growth fueled by […]
I’m of many minds about the market, depending on how I feel in a given moment, so I try to avoid prognosticating… but if you want to force yourself to think about risk, as we all should do at least some of the time, one of the best go-tos is John Hussman, who has a […]
I’m celebrating my birthday tomorrow, so this Friday File comes to you a bit early — call it a Thursday File, I guess. That means I won’t be catching any interesting news that might come out of this evening’s conference calls, as earnings season continues to progress, but I’ll catch up with those next week… […]
The Gumshoe family had a fun adventure over the past couple weeks, covering about 4,000 miles on our first big road trip since 2019… and every town and state we saw was a little different. Hotels are full, but wildly understaffed in a lot of places — we stopped at a beautiful historic hotel in […]
No real buying or selling this week… a peaceful few days of zen-ful “don’t just do something, sit there!” as we head into the holiday weekend. But I do, of course, have some updated thoughts and news items to share. Boston Omaha (BOMN) Boston Omaha’s (BOMN) earnings finally got restated and released, with adjustments being […]
The Motley Fool got into real estate investing last year with a service called MillionAcres, which largely focuses on buying into real estate more directly, but they’re now building on that service with some newsletters and portfolios. The one they launched recently is called Real Estate Trailblazers, with a focus on investing in real estate […]
There are two conflicting drivers of my thinking right now: The notion that I should be conservative in cutting my losses on stocks that are losing money; and the fact that all of my largest mistakes have been made in selling stocks far too early. Yes, I’ve lost plenty of money in speculations or […]
I thought I’d start with a “benchmarked returns” question, since a couple readers have asked recently how the Real Money Portfolio’s returns compare to the broader market. In general, I have usually done a little better than the US stock averages (I use the S&P 500, just for convenience), but sometimes I’ve done a little […]
We’re now a year past the beginning of the real full-on panic about the coronavirus, and just a year past the worst drop in the stock market in March of 2020, so I went back to read my stuff from last April to see what I was doing and how I was feeling. Here’s a […]
With each passing day this week, I became more and more interested in “boring” stocks — there is ALWAYS a temptation to chase hot ideas, and I’m certainly not immune to speculation, but the GameStop (GME) craziness is too much. Plenty of folks have asked me about it, so I’ll just blather on about that […]
Bad news… Dream Finders Homes (DFH) did not partner up with Boston Omaha’s Yellowstone Acquisition SPAC (YSAC) to go public, as I had harbored some small hope they might… but good news, too, because DFH did go public this week, which came as a surprise to me on Thursday, since I hadn’t noticed the original […]
I’ve gotten a lot of questions in the past couple days about Jeff Brown’s “Pre-IPO Code” presentation, in which he teases the idea of this “Pre-IPO” investing strategy as he pitches his new Blank Check Speculator newsletter. And I’ve got good news… and bad news. The good news is, I can explain what he’s talking […]
First, a hearty welcome and “thank you” to all the new Irregulars who joined us during the Gumshoe Gives Back campaign this week — we did set a new record, and the money is still rolling in… but you’ve got until midnight tonight to talk the rest of your friends into joining 🙂 And now, […]
We won’t be posting a Friday File next week due to the Thanksgiving holiday, and publishing will be light in general for the next few days for the same reason (though we will, of course, feature our annual Turkey of the Year) … so perhaps you can take some solace in the fact that this […]
Narratives and emotion drive the market in the short term, so last week we saw the tech stocks and COVID winners take another surge higher, perhaps in some surge of “election finally done” relief or just from the indications of a likely split government ahead… this week, some combination of Joe Biden’s election victory being […]
Let’s start with the obvious, just to get my weekly brain dump underway for you: We don’t know what the election will hold, or where the market will go from here… I continue to think stocks are pretty expensive, particularly the hottest tech stocks (and I still own a lot of them), but I also […]
As I noted yesterday, I added to my Teladoc (TDOC) position because of the Livongo Health (LVGO) acquisition. That acquisition doesn’t make this less of a risk, Livongo was one of the few companies trading at an even more lofty valuation than Teladoc during this COVID-19 crisis (on a price/sales metric, at least — though […]
We saw a big recovery over the past week or so from those cyclical stocks that were hurt by coronavirus, as the excitement about reopening and vaccine development sends people out of direct beneficiaries of the outbreak like Teladoc (TDOC) and the stuck-at-home names and into the stocks that were most hurt by the shutdown. […]
I’m still able to generate some enthusiasm about specific stocks that I think are appealing enough to buy at these prices… but I find it very hard to be optimistic in a macro sense right now, it really feels to me as though the market is whistling past the graveyard and being far too sanguine […]
What will probably serve investors best right now is patience. Don’t sell all at once, don’t buy all at once, and don’t feel like you have to do something every day. If you’re someone whose heartrate climbs as you open your brokerage account website and feel the urge to buy or sell every few minutes, […]
I knew to buy like crazy last Friday morning, because people say that I am the SMARTEST INVESTOR IN THE WORLD. Woohoo! Oops, sorry, I forgot that I wasn’t selling myself with hype-filled puffery. That’s obviously not true, I did some buying last week and opened a few new positions that have done well so […]
It’s time for part two of our Annual Review, this week I’m getting to a few of my largest holdings, including some that reported earnings recently and have had a big impact on the market. In the big picture, we’ve seen what impact a surprise event like the viral epidemic in China can cause… and […]
Let’s start with the bad news… we got quarterly updates this week from Charlotte’s Web (CWEB.TO, CWBHF) and II-VI (IIVI), both stocks I’ve bought fairly recently (IIVI just a few weeks ago, CWEB a few months ago), and those are both in the red. Neither one hit a stop loss yet, but what did we […]
Gold had its worst day yesterday since 2016, so that was a little shock to the system — mostly, I think, because the latest leaks and Tweets about the China trade dispute were relatively optimistic, with meetings scheduled for next month. It’s hard to imagine we’re going to have a “real” trade deal before the […]
What’s going on with the market this week? Well, the accepted narrative keeps shifting — first we had trade war panic as Trump announced new tariffs last week, then celebration as those tariffs were delayed to ‘save Christmas’, and the market is overly obsessed with the high-level game of chicken being played by Trump and […]
I don’t usually make a point of meeting or interviewing executives, mostly because I don’t want to be swayed by personal impressions of people who probably wouldn’t be in their position unless they were personable and appealing… but when you’re really dealing with a “bet the jockey” stock like Boston Omaha (BOMN), it is important […]
It seems we’ve officially entered a period of another “Fed Put” — Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s statements yesterday were widely interpreted to mean that there will be no interest rate hikes this year, or maybe ever again, and that the Fed will stop its “quantitative tightening” in six months or so, leaving a huge and […]
Since the other part of today’s Friday File is all about a biotech stock tease, I thought I’d start out this week’s look at my Real Money Portfolio stocks in that sector. I avoid the drug developers, for the most part, but health care should be a huge sector and a growing one, in general, […]
Lots to discuss this week, mostly because several Real Money Portfolio companies reported earnings… and because I added money to two positions this week, and brought a new company into the portfolio. Enjoy! Shopify (SHOP) had reasonable earnings when they came out, but “reasonable” isn’t enough for a high-growth momentum stock that’s trading at almost […]
Sometimes we just need to take a step back. On Tuesday, we were headed into a devastating trade war, with a third of our exports to China subject to punishing tariffs (in response to the tariffs proposed on more than 10% of their exports to the US)… by mid-afternoon on Wednesday, the trade war is […]
What do I think? That’s what a lot of readers are asking during these volatile days… and there is, of course, no easy answer. My thoughts are all over the place, so today’s Friday File musings are going to run the gamut. Tesla (TSLA) is a good example of how the market is treating investors […]
So… what’s been happening to the Real Money Portfolio stocks this week? What else caught my eye? No transactions this week, but plenty of stuff to think about… Clean TeQ Holdings (CLQ.AX, CLQ.TO, CTEQF) announced a somewhat surprising equity raise a couple days ago. It seems inspired largely by urgency — they can’t really claim […]
So… what’s happening this week? I have a few updates on Real Money Portfolio investments, including some updates following earnings releases this week and some notes about my hedge position, as well as some thoughts on a few insurance companies that are catching my eye and making their way onto the watchlist… and I also […]
Annual Review time! Earlier today I covered the changes that were actually made to the portfolio this week, and now I’m starting at the top of that portfolio with insurance stocks, and staying with that theme to also include a few insurance-related stocks that are smaller positions. Three of my top five equity positions are […]
Annual predictions time! People are feeling a bit wealthier after this long stretch of bull market, I imagine, though the Fear and Greed Index is highly volatile and and has swung back and forth between extremes at least a couple times a year over the past few years, with 2017 being no exception, and that […]
So… what’s going in in the Real Money Portfolio this week, as we close up shop and get ready for a bit of time with family and friends? I do have one buy to share with you today, I decided to pick up some shares of the stock that I wrote to you about a […]
How about that bitcoin, eh? Those of you who’ve been following my personal portfolio and reading these Friday Files closely know that I sold pretty much all of my cryptocurrencies back in September, when it got to be a large enough position that I found the cash more valuable. Lots of you think I’m crazy […]
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Love your Friday files. No kidding but this morning I was thinking "I wonder how old Travis is. I'm guessing he's 49." ...
BOMN, BUR, CSGP, DESP, DFIN, KKR, LBRDA/LBRDP, LMB, PFMT, RADI, RMNI, WCC...
BOMN bought their DFH position years ago, when it was private, they’re up more than 500%. What’s going on now? ...
You have touched on this before, but what is wrong with DFH. The chart looks horrible and I can't see BOMN touting thi...
$BOMN is flying!...
They did get an investor presentation out, belatedly, but it’s more about the investment potential of the business tha...
Yeah I thought for sure this was going to be BOMN as well, just based on the terminology used rather than the underlying...
BOMN is a company started by two guys, one a grandson of Warren Buffett, and modelled after Berkshire Hathaway. They ar...
Thanks to this site, I learned about BOMN, and jumped in back in approx 4 months ago a bit under $26, currently at liltt...
I like and own Boston Omaha (BOMN), and they do "talk the talk" kind of like great uncle Warren (though they don't highl...
At first blush, i thought of Boston Omaha Corp because MF does, in fact, refer to it as "baby Berkshire". Buffet's grand...
Yep, the hedge funds run by the two CEOs are selling some shares on behalf of (other) shareholders of those funds (about...
Trade Note: As I mentioned above, I had limit orders in for small additions to my positions in Roku (ROKU) and Goose...
I have not heard any rumors, and there has been no actual news. I expect they'll end up with something much less sexy t...
I covered BOMN a few weeks ago, sorry if that didn't show up properly but ...
Yes, but not because of PSTH. I think PSTH at $30 is absurd... if a SPAC trades at a premium, I'd much rather own the S...
Here is a sample for you all: SHSP, BOMN, PAR, CWH, FLGT, NCNO, API, INSP, MGNI...
Not really. I'd guess it will be something in the financial and/or real estate sectors, I'd particularly like to see th...
Trade Note Boston Omaha's (BOMN) new Special Purpose Acquisition Corp. (SPAC), call...
I shared my updated thoughts a couple weeks ago here: https://www.stockgumshoe.com/2020/08/friday-file-mostly-boring-rea...
Would anyone recommend buying BOMN at its present $16ish price? Thank you, Steve...
Looking to double my tiny entry position into $TIPT on Monday, liking them more than $BOMN which I sold out of last summ...
I add a couple of $BOMN shares in my Robinhood hobby account every time it gets close to the $24 mark. Thank you for sh...
Thank you for this detailed look at BOMN. I feel like I understand the company better, especially the non-billboard part...
Glad to hear you're planning to attend the $BOMN get together in June, would love to hear your feedback on that. It's a ...
And yes, I’m noticing now that Boston Omaha is down about 18% today — no news drove the shift, and that doesn’t re...
Boston Omaha dipped again today, any chance you're thinking of adding again or are you waiting to see if your guess that...
Thank you for a further detailed look in on BOMN...
FYI, Barron's had a note last week on BOMN that basically says what most of us have probably been thinking (the stock go...
Yes, both founders have been rumored to have Berkshire connections -- one is the grandnephew of Warren, the other was ru...
One interesting note about Boston Omaha is that one of the heads is the grandson of Warren Buffet himself....
And no, it's not responsible to be calling Boston Omaha a "Baby Berkshire" ... though I imagine some folks will be doing...