Topic Archives: deflation

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  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    I agree that price deflation will continue, mostly because the black market will probably continue to be dramatically ch...

  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    Could be, deflation is definitely the trend for most commodity products. People still buy a lot of tomatoes, though....

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    First I am a little 'jealous' I did not get out in when you did :). I wish someone could tell me: (mild-severe) Inflat...

  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    In the short run, I have no idea but I expect gold to smooth my portfolio a bit. In the long run, deflation is a major ...

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    Gold was a deflation hedge when it was same as cash before FDR demonetized it domestically. (Nixon did it international...

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    Ordinarily, I would write a multi-page, glowing letter of thanks for this brilliant, incisive and on-target deflation of...

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    I would like to add a couple of thoughts and observations. Larry Edelson passed away. Also, if you don't think deflation...

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    Like the world really needs more people 90 years and older like me. I am going through my assets, and unless I get reall...

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    Looks like APRI had another premature deflation. Couldn't resist!...

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    Commodity risks...it is easy to forget but the commodity sector can get badly hit in an overall deflation. A lot of bub...

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    William, I think people are spoiled by the EUC sampling, waste dump, and channel sample grades. The drill grades were no...

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    HN, You have painted a very realistic picture of our country (and probably of several other countries, as well.) Our...

  • SoGiAm

    $BSTG np - Is getting it in gear this a.m. on 2-3x volume: http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=BSTG Returning to ~ purchase...

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    I work for an investment adviser so compliance is an issue. www.gemini.com which only gives you access to Bitcoin and Et...

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    This will eventually become a meme around here because of how often I've said this but... I agree with you Achandra. For...

  • AC/DC

    $BLPH Thanks Coyote for compiling and sharing that information with all of us. I think if Ph2 data are a success, we mig...

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    Martin A takes some time to understand, because unlike Dr KSS, teaching is not one of his talents. I subscribe to his ...

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    Hi Travis, I agree rising rates are a negative factor for gold. Rising interest rates, possible general economic d...

  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    Watsa got rid of most (not all) of the hedges and deflation bets as of the end of December, though the portfolio may hav...

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    $IVPAF Ivanhoe Mines...Attention : Dunnydane, Left foot, and those on the fence about Ivanhoe asking: "Am I too late...

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    Ironically I am thinking of lightening up a little around the edges on gold because I am ridiculously overweight there. ...

  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    Yes, they adjusted very quickly after the election -- which surprised me a little, and has made some investors worry tha...

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    What I don't get about Dent's forecasts is that even if he is correct about deflation, and that deflation affecting the ...

  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    Yes, he's looking for massive deflation driven by demographics -- older societies spend less. Which may be true, but I...

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    Thoughts on Deflation, Hedging and Gold - Brilliant piece and analysis by Travis....

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    What do you think of Harry Dent's prediction that deflation will cause gold to fall to $750 per ounce in 2017 on its way...

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    Ispy/TIA...No comment on Mr Pento but I have come to the same conclusion on my own. There are a lot of deflationary sig...

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    I am basically of the same view. Even worse, I do not see how the system will be reformed. In the U.S., the Fed masquer...

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    Dent has a new book forecasting deflation, including gold. Previously he was adamant about gold going down to $700 THI...

  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    Perhaps my wording was confusing, I think we'll see more commodity cycles. If that's not the case, and commodities are ...

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    "likely we’ll see more commodity cycles as we have for the past 20 years than it is that we’ll see a steady deflatio...

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    Myron, I miss your writing, look forward to more soon, and hope you are back "in the pink." To all, including Myron: I...

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    An understanding of deflation/inflation can be helpful to inform a view on PMs. It's like the 'climate' we are sailing ...

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    Each other? Yes, actually, that is what has been happening, the currencies have been 'sinking' in sync with each other...

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    Frahman, I recommend reading some of Martin Armstrong's take on currencies versus Gold, etc. I have been on the hunt f...

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    Thanks for the response HN. Your listing of possible problems from NIR is correct, but the one which would worry me mos...

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    damn you shouldn't have sold bro, now Fairfax is at 717.99 a share....Never bargain off your share because of temporary ...

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    Hi Hersh, I think there are a lot of good reasons to minimize exposure to stocks. As an investor I was of this o...

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    Thank you arch1 for including the symbols, I really want some more exposure to gold/silver, precious metals overall & mi...

  • jerickson68

    AW come on, a steeper angle on the panel is better in the winter months, the snow slides off. lol. I am more inclined t...

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    The incompetence would be readily apparent in several miles of ticker-tape the last four days -- if any of those machine...

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    Inflation/Deflation...I am just thinking out loud here about an insight and thought problem that came to me. So this i...

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    Hi Patricia, I also like uranium but I am fully invested (CCJ, UUUU, UEC) so there simply isn't much to do. When the se...

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    The impact of gold-backing money would be incredibly deflationary and austerity imposing. Hypothetically, gold-backing ...

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    I fear we are in a bear market. What is positive about the macro outlook, other than governments inflating like crazy ...

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    Hi Jo. That has been the dilemma: What does one do with the money ? An answer comes to mind from recent days: One ...

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    RICKARDS...Currency Wars update...Say, whether you like Rickards or not, whether you subscribe to his pricey stuff or no...

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    It's kind of looking like a bear market to me. The money rates have been at the bottom, all the buttons are already push...

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    Lucky to have sold a bunch of my UEC during the spikey thing a few weeks ago but still have a bunch. Like many of these ...

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    Hi Benny, The hyperinflation currency crisis in Germany was in the 1920s. The middle class was completely wiped out....

  • DBMD

    Frank and Hendrixnuzzles I've read through the tread and enjoyed the thoughts, as I have tried to figure if inflation or...

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    Hi Archuno, I think you are mixing up devaluation with deflation. Devaluation is when a currency is revalued lower to...

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    Relative to each other's currencies, no. Relative to the value of currency in general to the value of real goods and ser...

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    Long on Life...continuation of post #17 above We see things pretty much the same way. Same concerns, same observations...

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    Basically its a very real asset heavy (40%+) portfolio so any deflation or tight money will kill it. So it's hardly an ...

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    RE: rdbck, post #3 & Rickards recommendations Rdbck gave a good outline of Jim Rickard's recommendations from Death ...

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    That is the point. We are not that far from Greece. The Greek nominal dollar figure is low, but it represents a very hig...

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    3. You got me! I meant to say a DECREASING amount of goods/services. My point was that inflation and deflation affect ...

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    Machine Ghost... point 3. Increasing amounts of goods and services is DEFLATIONARY. So it's not bingo, nothing change...

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    DEFLATION AND INFLATION AT THE SAME TIME...hi all. Before going further, I admit my bias towards hard assets, though I w...

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    Rickard's....hi all. There are really different things that need to be separated. First, is Rickard's analysis of the ...

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    I've got a pretty weird portfolio. Trying to protect yourself against deflation and inflation at the same time can make...

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    Sure they are fighting deflation, and they will to the death. They will do anything to avoid it. They are petrified of i...

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    Jack: Good advice to US citizens maybe. But in the UK its variable rates....theres the problem. They catch you if its in...

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    The Fed is attempting to avoid deflation, they would love to see some inflation. Of course, the most apparent goal is t...

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    But you can pay off the debt with the new cheaper and easier to get dollars. If you believe we will have hyperinflation...

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    According, to Precheter (EWI),Dent, Weiss & the economist from Yale?? We're headed for deflation, or we are already...

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    Travis...True enough, and you could say the same for 2012, 2013, and 2014 as well. And some hard assets have done jus...

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    Today I just finished reading "The Death of Money" by James Rickards. It should be available in your public library. It...

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    As long as prices are stable or falling (no inflation), you are about as safe as it gets. If there is deflation you'...

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    Patricia, I wish I had the answer. The best advice I can give is to diversify and be ready for anything. Don't buy anyth...

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    Not wrong. Today I have $ 1000 and spend it on a basket of goods. In deflation I buy the same basket for $ 900 and kee...

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    Dear Patricia, I went through your thread, thanks for the heads up. I find it is rare for anyone to have a change of op...

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    Even Keynes decided his economic theory was flawed at the end of his life. No amount of money printing can make up for...

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    Before deciding to take a major position (for me) in precious metals, major miners, junior miners, and royalty companie...

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    A year ago I also was convinced that the Fed money printing would lead to price inflation and that real assets and com...

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    Generally this period of deflation should see gold going lower. The monthly gold graph in Dollars does not have any st...

  • Patricia

    Thanks Travis. I'm just working out the best way to do both: actively invest/profit, but also be hedged and ready ahead ...

  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    I haven't looked at GOV in any detail for a long time, sorry for not seeing your question earlier. There's a lot of def...

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    Old thread, new subscriber. I believe in the precious metals as some comfort for both deflation and inflation and I a...

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    I was getting a different Dent letter, which I found interesting but later a constant rehashing of the same ideas over a...

  • arch1

    Here s link to chart On Ger. deflation http://e.businessinsider.com/public/3740023...

  • arch1

    I have strong reservations in investing in anything EURO at this time, Germany has just this month officially passed int...

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    Seekng that patricia, sharon et all. what a bunch of hooey. It seems they all called the past corrections. All genius...

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    Thanks for your thoughts about deflation/inflation/taxes. One of the shocking things about 2008 was how shocked people...

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    Thanks for your thoughts about deflation/inflation/taxes. One of the shocking things about 2008 was how shocked people...

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    The fed doesn't know how to fight deflation, but they think they know what to do with inflation. Ha! The Black Obelisk b...

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    That is hilarious. Our governments are so funny - pay off debt with one hand and borrow more with the other. I wish ...

  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    You could very well be right, Schmitt -- I'm probably being optimistic on the per-chip price given the rapid deflation i...

  • DBMD

    Bradley, sorry so late in reply. It has to do with their overall view of cycles. They believe there are trends that eith...

  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    Good point on gold, though it has a thousand years or so more of human tradition behind it than any other currency -- wh...

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    Deflation is good for common people ,but bad for the ridge because they can't create wealth out of thin air ,a house is ...

  • takeprofits

    You end with a very good point, and that type of "chaos" is not likely 10 years away, whether it will actually happen in...

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    I held Fairfax for over 2 years, at a time when it did not budge from about $400/share. I bought on the advice of Ferri...

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    Comment to Myron Martin rather insightful remarks which I did enjoy. Yet I do not agree with all of his remarks. T...

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    We may well be on the cusp of an industrial revolution with 3D printing. But all the previous major industrial revoluti...

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    For most people who know what they are doing, the entire point of acquiring and holding precious metals is as a hedge fo...

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    Travis, I don't see why asset inflation and CPI deflation is a problem, that is the situation happening right now, with ...

  • Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe

    Both those predictions (and the many similar ones from other analysts and newsletters) have been pretty consistent over ...

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