Here’s my soothsaying bit for this week, which you should feel free to ignore — like everyone else who’s predicting the future, I’m probably going to be wrong. I don’t think, even now, that we’re pricing in even the bad news that is already almost certain this year… or if we are, we’re pricing in […]
17 Comments Read MoreArticles
Friday File: Cheap Insurance and Expensive Silver
Friday File: A New Pot (sorta) REIT, plus DocuSign earnings and more…
Gold had its worst day yesterday since 2016, so that was a little shock to the system — mostly, I think, because the latest leaks and Tweets about the China trade dispute were relatively optimistic, with meetings scheduled for next month. It’s hard to imagine we’re going to have a “real” trade deal before the […]
5 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Buys in Small Tech and Baby Berkshires
A few transactions in the Real Money Portfolio, plus check-ins on Berkshire, Square, Kweichow Moutai, Markel, Apple, Kennedy-Wilson, Greenlight Capital, my China speculations, and more...
16 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Buying ID and Overpaying for cash, Checking up on some insurers
Updates from the Real Money Portfolio and watchlist, including thoughts on CTEQF, BOMN, SQ, JD, AXS and OKTA
14 Comments Read MoreFriday File: An Old Friend Returns to the Watchlist
I like David Einhorn, though I don’t know him (at least as far as I know, he was a year or two ahead of me in school, at the same University and in the same major, so perhaps we shared a beer or a study session at some point), but someone has to remind him […]
4 Comments Read MoreFriday File: The Dark and Ugly Start of 2016
Checking in on some big picture themes, and a few stop losses and one buy this week.
20 Comments Read More“Retire on one stock” says Charles Mizrahi — which one?
Mizrahi says "This 'Next Berkshire Hathaway' Company Has Grown at a Rate of 21.1% Per Year — And it Could Help Make You a Fortune"
17 Comments Read MoreFriday File: “The Fifth Greatest Trade of All Time … what no company has done in the history of the market”
Looking At Oxford Resource Explorer's pitch for a mid-December major event, plus some Friday File updates
3 Comments Read MoreFriday File — Trump’s “Make America Great Again” Investment
Looking at a Bill Patalon teaser about Trump, plus some thoughts about gold and "protection"
11 Comments Read MoreRed light for Greenlight
Friday File: Another Shopping List Item, a Boring Buy, and some general updates
Weekly note for the Irregulars -- mostly about my personal portfolio this time, plus a new watchlist stock.
8 Comments Read MoreWhy did Grenville drop 20%? Are we Triggering Stop Losses Now?
My First Tradestops Alerts Trigger in time for the Friday File -- Four Sells and some updates
10 Comments Read More“How to stuff the FDA, Big Pharma and the U.S. Congress into your back pocket” plus a few updates
Solving a biotech teaser, plus looks at GLRE, TPRE, MKL, MPW and Pershing Square for the Friday File
6 Comments Read More“”This is not a cure for cancer, but…” plus a look at Facebook and some insurance stocks
Catching Up… Ferris’ “One Company to Buy” Plus Lots of Updates
Ferris says, "If I had to pick one stock to put all my money in - this would be it." Plus a smorgasbord of blather for the Friday File
16 Comments Read MoreMarch Idea of the Month: Back to Baby Berkshire?
“The Five Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever”
What five stocks is Chris Mayer putting in his "Coffee Can" portfolio to buy and hold?
34 Comments Read More“How Has This ‘Buffett Clone’ Beaten Berkshire’s Returns by 70% Since 1998?”
“The Play That Will Beat Buffett” plus some updates
Checking out the "pipeline inspector" high yield energy stock for the Friday File, plus updates on some companies in my portfolio.
7 Comments Read MoreAnnual Review
Taking a quick look and updating my thoughts on (almost) every stock in the "Gumshoe Universe"
16 Comments Read MoreMore thoughts on Markel, Berkshire, Greenlight and Third Point… Plus a new “Maybe” for the portfolio
“One of the best biotech companies that I’ve ever looked at…” Plus some updates for the Friday File
Friday File solution to a FDA Trader teaser, plus updates and thoughts on MKL, GLRE, TPRE, LRE.L, CRTO, and others.
4 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Should You Get Expert Help?
Looking at some ways to piggyback on excellent investors -- and a new personal investment
14 Comments Read MoreIncremental Share Purchase — More Insurance
This is just a quick note to let you know of a personal buy in my portfolio — as shares of Third Point Reinsurance (TPRE) dipped today below $14.30 they triggered an incremental buy in my account, so I increased my holdings in TPRE by about 20% today. That doesn’t mean TPRE will go up […]
23 Comments Read More“SEC Lifts ‘Blackout’ … Unlocks access to a $3.2-billion solar portfolio” (Wall Street Daily)
Sniffing out the solution to the "RED BULLETIN" teaser from Wall Street Daily's Publisher Series
13 Comments Read MoreFriday File — Casey’s “Important News” flop and some updates on favorites
This week there’s been quite a bit of news in stocks that I follow fairly closely or own or have featured in the past as “Idea of the Month” candidates for the irregulars, so I do have a bit of a teaser campaign to talk to you about (that’s the Casey bit), but I’m going […]
9 Comments Read More“Warren Buffett’s WORST NIGHTMARE Is About to Come True”
Sleuthifying a Fool pitch for the Friday File, plus some updates on companies I own and follow
12 Comments Read MoreAnnual Review — Speculations
“How to Make a Fortune with ‘The Next Warren Buffett'”
Insurance Theme Checkup and some Buys, Sells and Hedges
Friday File look at favorite insurers, updates on royalty companies, and thoughts on some recent quarterly results from our Universe.
3 Comments Read MoreAugust Idea of the Month: Another One?
Small Initial Buy of Newly Public Company
Catching up on some favorites and a couple add-on personal buys for the Friday File
Thoughts on Some Recent Winners and Losers
Friday File thoughts on some of our recent "Idea of the Month" picks -- what to buy now?
7 Comments Read MoreUpdated Personal Top Holdings
I try to share my opinions with readers like you in a variety of different ways, from my notes on each teaser stock I cover to my more thorough looks at “idea of the month” picks or stocks that I buy personally … but investing is a very quantifiable thing, so even though my investment […]
7 Comments Read MoreBerkshire, Russian Dividends, Gold and Big Data
$20 Trillion of Oil in Coober Pedy?
Friday File look at a Kent Moors teaser about Australia's Arckaringa Basin ... and updates on a few faves
13 Comments Read MoreBack to 1.2X Book, Good for Greenlight, and Some other Updates on New Stocks and Favorites
Markel released their earnings last night, and they were, well, typical very good Markel earnings — they actually had an above average year in some ways, with good underwriting and not much catastrophe loss and good increases in sales (written premiums). And now, after crashing to about 1.05X book value after announcing the Alterra acquisition, […]
11 Comments Read MoreBuying, Fretting and Re-Checking Some Possibilities
Friday File thoughts about Apple, Agrium, Greenlight and some Frontier Market Investments
5 Comments Read MoreSmall Addition to one of My Favorite Themes
I just added to my position in Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE), and have additional orders in to buy a bit more if it drops … and I have a suspicion that it might indeed drop over the next few weeks. Greenlight is one of my favorite stocks to play on a theme that I think […]
6 Comments Read MoreWhat is “The Only Escape Route Left for Your Money?”
Sniffing out Roger Conrad's solutions to the "Triple threat" of a looming "crash in bonds, a sell-off in stocks and a blowup in inflation"
18 Comments Read MoreMy Top Ten for 2013
Picking out the favorites from the Stock Gumshoe Universe for 2013 outperformance
20 Comments Read MoreBuying a Swooner … and Making some Guesses about “Stansberry Alpha”
Friday File look at a Idea of the Month pick that dropped this week, and at Porter Stansberry's new options income "Alpha" strategy
4 Comments Read More“‘The Golden Cross’… Is It the Greatest Investment Secret Ever Played?” (Palm Beach Letter)
Friday File look at Tom Dyson's tease that we can profit from "the most successful investor operating on Wall Street today"
8 Comments Read MoreThe Green Light for more buying
I just added to my holdings in Greenlight RE (GLRE), which was featured as our Idea of the Month recently. Why? Mostly because the stock is a little cheaper, and other insurers are starting to indicate that they’re hurting when it comes to their investment returns — the most recent warning was from a different […]
3 Comments Read MoreFriday File Hodgepodge of Portfolio Thoughts
There’s been a lot going on among the stocks that I own and those that I’ve written a lot about for you over the years, so I have a bit of updating to share when it comes to my thoughts … first, some thoughts on two large personal holdings that I’ve never suggested in the […]
5 Comments Read MoreNovember Idea of the Month: Buy a Leveraged Investor
This won’t shock you, probably, but I bought into the stock of a reinsurance company last week and, after reading up on the company some more and spending time with their filings and reports, I’m going to suggest that you take a look at this one as well. And it doesn’t hurt that, thanks to […]
3 Comments Read MoreElection Angst, Fertilizer, Activists and Insurance
Friday file Thoughts on two new personal buys and some insurance company valuations
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Hey Travis - have you thought about getting into Einhorn's publicly traded funded (GLRE)? Assets are 35% invested in GRB...
In the beginning the write-ups were thorough, and he wrote them like an evangelist for the stock. Unfortunately, if you ...
Well good ole GLRE popped up on my holiday value (trap?) scan. I noticed this SEC filing: https://www.sec.gov/Archives...
Enjoy the woods. As a guy returning from a 2 week vacation tomorrow I’ll remind you to bring the bug spray/repellent....
Thank you for digging this up, Travis. A similar situation holds with Einhorn's Greenlight Capital (ticker: GLRE), which...
Here's the total return chart for those four, plus the S&P -- the S&P is in purple and beat them all, though ROIC did ho...
It looks like Einhorn's investing woes continued through March, despite the late weakness in some of his short positions...