Here’s my soothsaying bit for this week, which you should feel free to ignore — like everyone else who’s predicting the future, I’m probably going to be wrong. I don’t think, even now, that we’re pricing in even the bad news that is already almost certain this year… or if we are, we’re pricing in […]
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Gold had its worst day yesterday since 2016, so that was a little shock to the system — mostly, I think, because the latest leaks and Tweets about the China trade dispute were relatively optimistic, with meetings scheduled for next month. It’s hard to imagine we’re going to have a “real” trade deal before the […]
Lots to discuss this week, mostly because several Real Money Portfolio companies reported earnings… and because I added money to two positions this week, and brought a new company into the portfolio. Enjoy! Shopify (SHOP) had reasonable earnings when they came out, but “reasonable” isn’t enough for a high-growth momentum stock that’s trading at almost […]
So… what’s happening this week? I have a few updates on Real Money Portfolio investments, including some updates following earnings releases this week and some notes about my hedge position, as well as some thoughts on a few insurance companies that are catching my eye and making their way onto the watchlist… and I also […]
I like David Einhorn, though I don’t know him (at least as far as I know, he was a year or two ahead of me in school, at the same University and in the same major, so perhaps we shared a beer or a study session at some point), but someone has to remind him […]
So has this recent weakness been a dip, or is it the beginning of real downward bear market or years of stagnation? Trick question. I Dunno, and neither does anyone else. But I still need to invest to grow my savings over the next 10-20 years or maybe more, so I’m still willing to buy […]
We originally covered a teaser ad very similar to this on October 30, 2013. The ad promising a “Next Berkshire Hathaway” is circulating again and generating more questions from our readers, so I’m re-analyzing it here for your information. The ad has been slightly updated with new numbers over the years, and this article has […]
Before I get into a bunch of updates for companies I follow and/or own, with some good news and some bad news, I do have a quick teaser solution to toss on the fire for you… This one I got late today, and it’s from the Oxford Club’s Dave Fessler — he’s pitching his Oxford […]
This ad about a “Donald Trump investment” is sending a lot of questions our way, so we’re going to take a look at it for you in today’s Friday File… and I’ve also got an update on Sandstorm Gold to share, plus a quick look at the idea of “protection” from market declines and how […]
Well, today I did what Tradestops told me I should have done a couple months ago: I sold the rest of my Greenlight Re shares. Greenlight Capital Reinsurance (GLRE) is a Caymans reinsurance company Chaired by David Einhorn, the famed hedge fund manager. Its primary reason for being is to give Einhorn a large “captive” […]
So… the Fed failed to do anything, which I guess means that the wild predictions about the end of western civilization hitting us on September 18th are going to get pushed off again. Maybe we’ll soon start to see ads about how the next Greater Depression will start on October 28, or December 16…. or, […]
It’s been a heckuva week, eh? I have no idea whether this is really the “capitulation” washout that so many investing pundits have been looking for, or whether we’ll keep falling on Monday or will bounce back after the week ended so roughly, but I do have a couple thoughts to share with you about […]
I’ve got a biotech teaser solution that might make you smile a bit, particularly if you’ve been following Dr. KSS’s articles and discussion threads, and then several holdings that reported recently to update my thoughts on a bit — including at least one that I’ve bought a little more of following earnings results. The tease […]
Before I get rolling, I should I’ve got a few updates and thoughts for you on some stocks I own and sometimes write about, but first we’ve got a quick teaser solution to share with you — this one’s sort of a biotech stock (more of a diagnostics/device) stock, and it’s being teased by Tom […]
We’ve been on strange schedules here in Gumshoeland for the last two weeks, and during that time we’ve seen a large number of quarterly reports come through that deserve some attention or comment… as well as a few other notable news items that I feel like I should pay attention to. And, of course, we’ve […]
I’m feeling a little bit old today because my fourth baby, Stock Gumshoe, just celebrated its eighth birthday. Eight years of solving teasers, sharing thoughts, and defusing marketing hype… and it’s still such a cute little fella! I certainly never expected this to grow and get the attention of so many people when I sat […]
I’ve heard Chris Mayer talk about his “Coffee Can” strategy before, but this new way that Agora is marketing it caught my eye: “Investing tips for the couch potato “This has got to be the laziest investment strategy out there today. “Imagine investing in stocks and coming back 10 years later to discover your money […]
This teaser ad from Nicholas Vardy’s Alpha Investor has been circulating at least since last October, but it appears to be getting more “life” in it these days — or, at least, we’re getting more readers asking about it. The ad hasn’t changed, though the stock has moved up a bit over the last six […]
I’ve got a half dozen notes and comments on companies I own and follow for your Friday File pleasure today, but first I want to toss out a teaser solution for you to chew on… it’s a fun one. The pitch is from Keith Kohl for his new High Yield Energy Report, a newsletter that […]
All of you, dear Irregulars, know that Stock Gumshoe is not a “tip sheet,” and I don’t operate a portfolio for other people to emulate or copy, or even attempt to track the stocks we cover as if they were a portfolio of buys and sells with consistent trading advice… but I do keep a […]
Insurance is one of the fairly large sectors in my personal portfolio, and several of the stocks I talk about often are in that business, so I wanted to take a quick look at those ideas and the state of the industry for you today — then I’ve got another interesting new name to kick […]
I’ve got a big ol’ pile of updates and thoughts about a dozen or so companies to get to, but we’re going to start with a teaser solution today. Paul Mampilly of Agora Financial’s FDA Trader apparently sent around a teaser note to his own subscribers (I say “apparently” because I’ve only seen the cut-and-paste […]
Most of us are self-directed investors, for good or ill — you’re probably here because you like researching or trading stocks, and I obviously feel the same. But should we be trusting ourselves to manage our money? I know that sounds like a fatuous question — obviously, we should trust ourselves much more than we […]
This is just a quick note to let you know of a personal buy in my portfolio — as shares of Third Point Reinsurance (TPRE) dipped today below $14.30 they triggered an incremental buy in my account, so I increased my holdings in TPRE by about 20% today. That doesn’t mean TPRE will go up […]
This appears to be the “hot” story of the day, given the number of alert Gumshoe readers who have been forwarding it along (you can always submit your teasers, too, or forward them to ILoveStockSpam[at]gmail.com — the more the merrier!) — it’s from Wall Street Daily and is selling their Publisher’s Series as a quarterly offering […]
This week there’s been quite a bit of news in stocks that I follow fairly closely or own or have featured in the past as “Idea of the Month” candidates for the irregulars, so I do have a bit of a teaser campaign to talk to you about (that’s the Casey bit), but I’m going […]
May 12 Update: The lateset teaser pitch from the Fool is touting this same stock again, only with a different spiel from a different company as they tout the “connected car” instead of the “autonomous car”. I presume they’re just testing different ads to see what works best — this latest one pitches it as: […]
I’ve been putting out my updated thoughts on each of our Irregulars spreadsheet companies (mostly past “Idea of the Month” stocks) over the last couple weeks, and now that I’m done looking at all of the “Speculations” on that list I thought I should combine them into one document to make it a bit easier […]
If I had a dollar for every time someone promised they had found the “next Warren Buffett” I’d be rich! OK, maybe not, but I would have enough money to subscribe to some of these overpromising newsletters … The appeal is obvious — if you hitch your wagon to a rising investing star and get […]
I’ve got a whole passel of things to comment on for you today — I want to update my thoughts on some insurance company stocks that I own and that I touted as beneficiaries of a big switch in the insurance market over the past year or so, check in on a buy and a […]
Yep, I’m writing about another insurance company. And you’ll have this to chew on for a while, I’ll be on vacation for most of next week so we won’t have a Friday File (unless something dramatic pulls me away from the beach) or many new articles of any sort on the site next week. So […]
Just a note for you today — you may have noticed that Daniel Loeb’s Third Point Reinsurance (TPRE) went public this morning. The pricing was at the bottom of the expected range at $12.50, and the stock was flat when it started trading this morning. According to the pre-IPO filing, TPRE book value per share […]
We brought you Myron Martin’s latest column for the Irregulars this morning, which included some new ideas in the junior resource stock space — that’s not where I prefer to invest most of the time, but I know a lot of you like those kinds of stocks so hopefully you find his musings to be […]
It’s been an interesting year so far — this week has helped to heal some wounds but my personal portfolio has lagged the market for much of the year, thanks largely to some substantial positions in stocks that were sensitive either to interest rate rises (like Retail Opportunity Investments Corp, ROIC, a favorite REIT) or […]
I try to share my opinions with readers like you in a variety of different ways, from my notes on each teaser stock I cover to my more thorough looks at “idea of the month” picks or stocks that I buy personally … but investing is a very quantifiable thing, so even though my investment […]
Today is a fun day for every value investor out there — it’s the day Warren Buffett’s annual letter to shareholders comes out. So for God’s sake, don’t waste too much time with your friendly neighborhood Gumshoe if you haven’t read that one yet. You can get to it here if you’re curious, or check […]
The latest teaser ad for the Energy Inner Circle newsletter (edited by Dr. Kent Moors) is pitching the next great shale oil area — and it’s in Australia. The tease tells us that a tiny town called Coober Pedy, which is in an almost uninhabitable part of South Australia, is about to become an immense […]
Markel released their earnings last night, and they were, well, typical very good Markel earnings — they actually had an above average year in some ways, with good underwriting and not much catastrophe loss and good increases in sales (written premiums). And now, after crashing to about 1.05X book value after announcing the Alterra acquisition, […]
I’ve got a few thoughts to share this week — no new teasers have caught my eye as interesting ones to share specifically with the Irregulars this Friday, but we sure have been seeing a lot of the graphite and graphene teases again (like Byron King’s pitch, and the Oxford Club’s graphite spiel), and everyone […]
I just added to my position in Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE), and have additional orders in to buy a bit more if it drops … and I have a suspicion that it might indeed drop over the next few weeks. Greenlight is one of my favorite stocks to play on a theme that I think […]
There is often turnover at investment newsletters, as editors either have a few really bad years and get canned or get tired of working for a publisher and set off to start independent publications, and the folks at Investing Daily have recently seen more turnover than most — Elliott Gue and Yiannis Mostrous, who have […]
Everyone in the investing punditry game has to make predictions, so I’ll go out on a limb here and let you know which of the stocks in the Gumshoe universe I’m most excited about for the coming year. I’m also, so you know, going to be revamping how I present and track the “Idea of […]
There was big news from one of my personal holdings this week, and it’s also a stock that I’ve suggested twice to the Irregulars and written about several times over the years so I thought it warranted at least a little reaction … particularly because it drove the shares down precipitously. So I’ve bought more […]
Note: This article was originally published as a Friday File for the Stock Gumshoe Irregulars on October 26. At that time I did not own shares personally, but I now do own shares and have an additional limit order in to buy more if the price drops. The ad has still been running recently, and […]
I just added to my holdings in Greenlight RE (GLRE), which was featured as our Idea of the Month recently. Why? Mostly because the stock is a little cheaper, and other insurers are starting to indicate that they’re hurting when it comes to their investment returns — the most recent warning was from a different […]
There’s been a lot going on among the stocks that I own and those that I’ve written a lot about for you over the years, so I have a bit of updating to share when it comes to my thoughts … first, some thoughts on two large personal holdings that I’ve never suggested in the […]
This won’t shock you, probably, but I bought into the stock of a reinsurance company last week and, after reading up on the company some more and spending time with their filings and reports, I’m going to suggest that you take a look at this one as well. And it doesn’t hurt that, thanks to […]
So many people are asking me about the election results that I feel like I should share some of my opinions — but the short answer is: I can’t help it, stock prices that fall make me want to buy more stock. Stocks fell a bit after the election. And I bought some more today. […]
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Well good ole GLRE popped up on my holiday value (trap?) scan. I noticed this SEC filing: https://www.sec.gov/Archives...
Enjoy the woods. As a guy returning from a 2 week vacation tomorrow I’ll remind you to bring the bug spray/repellent....
Thank you for digging this up, Travis. A similar situation holds with Einhorn's Greenlight Capital (ticker: GLRE), which...
Here's the total return chart for those four, plus the S&P -- the S&P is in purple and beat them all, though ROIC did ho...
It looks like Einhorn's investing woes continued through March, despite the late weakness in some of his short positions...