Greatest Speculative Bubble Of All Time – Michael J. BurryFew days ago, he tweeted: “People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude. #FlyingPigs360” We all know he is shorting Tesla… Elon tweeted Tesla has diamond hands… It would be interesting having Travis analysis on […]
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If you’re going to be a long-term investor, focused on buying good companies whose value can compound over time, and not just a trader who’s trying to jitterbug in and out of positions for a gain in a month or a year, then at some point you have to remove your thought process from “the […]
Finally we get a kind of almost bad week! Nasdaq 100 down 1%! Remember your stop losses if you use them, remember your plan for how to handle risk and your promise to yourself to have some discipline, and remember that when everything falls at once, that’s when you get to buy the things you […]
I really want to hear from the experts in this community. What happened here with the reddit users and why everyoone is so angry/happy?
Narratives and emotion drive the market in the short term, so last week we saw the tech stocks and COVID winners take another surge higher, perhaps in some surge of “election finally done” relief or just from the indications of a likely split government ahead… this week, some combination of Joe Biden’s election victory being […]
Shall we stop for a moment to sing an early “Happy Birthday” for Warren Buffett? He will turn 90 on Sunday. And maybe another surge in Berkshire’s share price will get his fortune up to $90 billion before too long, fingers crossed on that (OK, probably not, he’s giving away his money so quickly that […]
All, I’m relatively new to investing, I would like to get input from seasoned investors on the best strategy for leveraging options in investing. I know Travis doesn’t discuss options positions in detail in his posts but I’d really appreciate if anyone can shed some light, or please point me to any articles that will […]
If my limited interactions with the outside world are any indication, I’d say we’ve gotten to the “cab driver” period that institutional investors often talk about: When your cab driver starts giving you stock tips, the top is probably near. That’s not a reliable predictor, of course, and I guess it would be Uber drivers […]
What will probably serve investors best right now is patience. Don’t sell all at once, don’t buy all at once, and don’t feel like you have to do something every day. If you’re someone whose heartrate climbs as you open your brokerage account website and feel the urge to buy or sell every few minutes, […]
So… what’s happening this week? I have a few updates on Real Money Portfolio investments, including some updates following earnings releases this week and some notes about my hedge position, as well as some thoughts on a few insurance companies that are catching my eye and making their way onto the watchlist… and I also […]
I’m separating my comments here about hedging out from the rest of my ongoing Annual Review commentary, just for the sake of clarity (the latest missive, on my natural resources-related holdings, is here). I’ve written about hedging before — it tends to be expensive, if it’s effective at all, and it needs to be thoroughly […]
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Travis, I was looking at the Real Money Portfolio and wondered why you bought a QQQ call option in Jan 2020. That seems...
I'm not as disciplined as a lot of people are about stop losses, partly because I have a lot more conviction in some sto...
For hedging, is there a reason you choose QQQ instead of ARKK ?...
Yes, the general investment philosophy for stock selection has been "value investing," to even a stricter degree than Bu...
If you make a trade like this, it would be initiated with a "buy to open" order to purchase a put option contract, and t...
Travis. Just curious about your hedging strategy. I get the concept very well. Just curious instead of using options, wh...
Just the individual equities. I don’t worry about hedging my diversified fund-ETF positions....
Over the past few years I've spent 1-2% of my portfolio buying hedges to protect against a loss of more than 20-25%, gen...
Naked shorting is illegal everywhere, to my knowledge. Though with settlement delays, it sometimes happens for brief per...
Thank you for the thoughts - much wisdom. I confess I've just taken out a short option position in TSLA (nothing to do ...
Hedging is a constant expense, I tend to put 1-2% of my equity portfolio into hedging to roll over options as they expir...
It’s betting on more volatility. Or really, hedging against the fact that there might be higher volatility. Prepari...
That hat-viewing (joke) is worth 40 bucks, right there! An inexpensive form of hedging half your 80......
I have been hedging for the last few years and I go through similar thought exercises. I remember when Greenspan made h...
I've subscribed to ZYX "Buy" Mar - July 2020. Here's my take: * he has made some good calls and bad, mostly good. *...
I didn't get rid of the SPY put, that's still in there (though eroding in value every day, thankfully), but my general t...
Travis, Just wondering the rationale for your hedging vehicles as far as indexes? I see last year, you hedged with SP...
Do you have a book recommendation or website to learn more about hedging with put options?...
Thanks for the quick response and sharing your thoughts on hedging. Appreciate it....
Not typically, since those notes are only sent out for equity trades that are more than 0.1% of the portfolio and my hed...
Yes, I am on the same page with you...I follow no one blindly, I follow my own analysis too, but for me he has been ref...
Great write up as per usual Travis. I listen to a number of financial podcasts as well and also like invest like th...
I'll keep that in mind, thanks -- though I really don't want to be considered an expert in option trading, I generally j...
hi chengunlam; here is more info on Bill Ackman's hedging trade. https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/billion...
Travis, thank you for your article. I look at hedging with options as an alternative to paying an advisor. Even the best...
Another gem! Can’t believe you didn’t mention selling call options as a hedging strategy. That is the ultimate ...
Thanks for that Travis. Really enjoyed that! What about CFDs as a way of hedging? Thats what I use. Also would love t...
Apdate March 2020 Awfull record since the book TheEverything Bubble was released. Private Wealth Advisore has lost all c...
I still think there is a decent chance KERN options start trading over the next week or two, which would permit some mor...
Smokers and junkies cost us HUGE amounts of money in unrecoverable medical expenses every year. Literally I'd wager, man...
Thanks for writing this, as recession fears are heavy on my mind too- and I wonder what other folks think. And this ...
'Big' Jeff ! :: Pitch Artist Paul claims to have made his exclusive clientele Super-Wealthy, but greatly exaggerates li...
I read somewhere about selling puts and hedging with a straddle that limits the downside risk. However I lost the link ...
I have spent the last 5 years and lot of money to learn how to make money consistently. There are no magic formula to pr...
I have spent the last 5 years and lot of money to learn how to make money consistently. There are no magic formula to pr...
If you don't want to get involved in futures (and I don't blame you), you can short the S&P 500 using one of the many hi...
Bigger than what? I do expect we'll have a 20-30% drop in the market at some point, just because that usually happens a...
Short answer? They're not very common in the US markets, so I don't understand them. Hedging can quickly grow very com...
Hi there ! I always wondered if real investors use CFDs for other than hedging. I know you trade stocks and options, but...
I sold $PTLA about 45 days ago. Interesting times. Congrats to anyone who is still holding! On another note, I've be...
Let's see. Jim Richards often talks about Gold being driven higher...crypto-currencies are on the rise...the dollar co...
Everything got expensive with the rapid rise in volatility, but hopefully complacency will settle in again and the cost ...
Good timing for hedging recommendations. I jumped in as you suggested and shorted spy just before the multiple drops. Do...
I'll dig up a link and edit it in here, but I believe he bought $SPY puts... EDIT: https://www.stockgumshoe.com/2018/...
Friday File Part One: Hedging $SPY https://www.stockgumshoe.com/2018/01/friday-file-part-one-hedging/ #Best2ALL!...
I certainly don't know, and can't promise you anything about the future. My general position is that investing in stock...
We have not mentioned taxes here. For Travis's position in FB, he could be up several hundred percent. If he sold it in ...
Thank you for the great lesson on hedging. I had heard that term, but was unsure just what it was, and how it worked. ...
Travis , I am using the same method as you .. they way I look at my 1 % hedging cost is that it is roughly the same as w...
It's generally best to hedge using something that's most likely to move similarly to your portfolio -- I haven't checked...
Volatility is indeed extreme with much of the most recent rank speculation coming out of S Korea. In addition approval o...
I think Friedland is hedging his bets on the DRC, by going after copper in Columbia, and by holding off on adding Cleant...
FYI, I don't know ECYT but I have dabbled in shorting from time to time -- do keep in mind that shorting can be painful,...
Hi they have just offered 15 AI tips again and access to a load of other reports for 1499. The problem i see is that th...
It will go down if the market goes down, but the cost of protection is pretty high -- and predictions of the market fall...
That's controversial. In fact PPI's are a good tool against Barrett esophagus, a premalignant condition albeit one less ...
$AUPH Hedging of a large long position is usually done with options. Cash outlays are different, thus no cancellation...
$ABIO They disclose everything in the registration, then after that "Unlike the original “base” Form S-3 filing,...
$PTLA long. A topic of interest to me as well, as I hold currently. Very similar profile as your in terms of profit, et...
Arch1: Sound like youre hedging you bets. Thank you...I think?...
$PTLA Hmmmm....Temasek just sold 40% of their shares. With PDUFA 3 weeks away, they either know something we don't, or ...
Big $HALO option trade 200 January 2019 $20.00 calls traded in a single trade at $1.00 late last week. Congrats to the...
Statement by Ted Butler (From David Schectman section in the Miles Franklin free newsletter dated 12May2017): "While...
$auph Since you're long $auph and a floor trader perhaps you can explain the rising short interest on what some call as ...
Some folks have been asking about price oscillations, short-term price movements, and trading ranges. Of all fields one ...
$NTRP: Hi chip12: I assumed you were addressing the question to me. Thanks for being interested in my i opinion. Y...
$CRBP - I bought puts too for hedging risk (I always do, except, of course with GNMX because I was traveling and forgot ...
Be very careful with Shulman/Hutchison Blueprint and Perpetual Income Engine. When selling Puts (naked or cash backed) ...
The hight short in BIOC might be due to hedging the warrants. I participated in the deal but haven't hedge my warrants a...
$AUPH - Alan that's a very good idea, to use put options for hedging risk. I will look into option volumes for Aurinia a...
Chris27, I am sobered by hearing of your difficulties. I hope you are able to fight these conditions and that ideas and ...
I have been in numerous option type services and they are obligated to issue trade ideas irrespective of what the market...
No bet, because whatever her crimes are Barack will pardon her. She can only be convicted in the court of public opinion...
God help us. The attached links allege that The Secretary of State has been accepting money from countries that support ...
Thoughts on Deflation, Hedging and Gold - Brilliant piece and analysis by Travis....
Ispy/TIA...No comment on Mr Pento but I have come to the same conclusion on my own. There are a lot of deflationary sig...
Fund rates + libor + reverse repos have gamed the ponzi successfully for many years in a highly leveraged primary dealer...
Fund rates + libor + reverse repos have gamed the ponzi successfully for many many years in a highly leveraged primary d...
Warrants also provide financiers with the possibility of hedging their bets a little bit, though I don't know the terms ...
I do not think shorting will or should be abolished. It is needed for the operation of the market without extreme distor...
ZFGN...The shorts appear to be the same guys who are long, hedging. Institutions have the vast majority of the stock....
Long $RLYP. I had the impression that Kayexalate, if trying to gain FDA approval today would likely be rejected. I also ...
Guys like Buffett give to both parties. It's called hedging your bets....
Guys: Cleveland is right......this is getting a bit like groundhog day. Can I urge you all to read through the thread an...
Apologies in advance if any of what follows is too basic for this community--thought I'd start at the beginning. The ...
Got a couple quick question about those TRXC options, particularly put options, so I thought I should probably give an e...
Does anyone know which mining companies are hedging and been hedging?...
HN, I doubt it, i.e. "good reasons for it..." What could they be? All the competitors know about each other, and their ...
Agree totally Sean, and well-uttered by you. I am sure they are in total upheaval, but, hey, as the saying goes, don't p...
$BIS, for short-term hedging. I buy an amount approximately equal to 50% of my biotech holdings....
The biotech slaughter today is leaving us all soaked in blood. My entire portfolio is down almost 9% today! Let's compar...
Sounds like Vetigel has a full-court press on with the PR....NPR, Business Week, little articles here and there all over...
Did you read my last posts above? It's still a valid way of making a lot more money. We understand that - that's a giv...
Guys/Gals, I saw a blurb about some Junior Miners getting into the "Green Gold" (read pot growing) as a way to create...
"Make Options Illegal" LOL They perform very useful hedging functions for speculators to protect profits. Speculators p...
Larry, thanks for your specific ideas on hedging. I have had the same observation on the increase in newsletter gurus wh...
EFR.TO (UUUU) actually has all the same upside with a lot less risk than UEC. If you pull up a ten year chart of URG, UR...
Hi Archuno, I'm also very concerned about hedging. Would like your opinion on my posts #44--5/13 in response to Kenny ...
I am wondering if it may be time to think about hedging some Bio investments. One way to do that is by shorting tickers...