If my limited interactions with the outside world are any indication, I’d say we’ve gotten to the “cab driver” period that institutional investors often talk about: When your cab driver starts giving you stock tips, the top is probably near. That’s not a reliable predictor, of course, and I guess it would be Uber drivers […]
Articles
Let’s start with a reminder this week that will lead me into a bit of blatheration (feel free to skip ahead to the first ****, this might veer into sanctimonious lecturing): Don’t double down with your retirement money. Taking extra investing risks might be appropriate for some folks who don’t have enough exposure to equities […]
We saw a big recovery over the past week or so from those cyclical stocks that were hurt by coronavirus, as the excitement about reopening and vaccine development sends people out of direct beneficiaries of the outbreak like Teladoc (TDOC) and the stuck-at-home names and into the stocks that were most hurt by the shutdown. […]
Have you ever heard the quote, “nothing tastes as good as thin feels?” Such sayings have been attributed to waif model Kate Moss, plenty of her anorexic fans, and dozens of others in the perfection industry (including Stephen Covey), and I’ll confess that the sentiment has never resonated with me even a little bit (as […]
I shared a brief Trade Note yesterday about the sale of part of my position in Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR), and I promised to go much more in depth in my thinking today… so strap yourself in. (And if you don’t care about IIPR at all or aren’t interested in “bear attacks”, you can skip […]
I knew to buy like crazy last Friday morning, because people say that I am the SMARTEST INVESTOR IN THE WORLD. Woohoo! Oops, sorry, I forgot that I wasn’t selling myself with hype-filled puffery. That’s obviously not true, I did some buying last week and opened a few new positions that have done well so […]
Thank you for coming back and reading my musings week after week, we here at Stock Gumshoe would not exist if not for the attention and generosity of readers like you. I don’t say it enough, I’m sure, but I really appreciate you being with us… and having the patience to slog through these sometimes […]
It’s been a wild week. The mood was still pretty upbeat on Monday and Tuesday, a little anxiety but a lot of complacency (including mine)… I was in Toronto early this week, with plenty of hand washing and hand sanitizer but no real signs of panic or changes in lifestyle for most folks — the […]
It’s been a wild ride for the past couple weeks of coronavirus panic, and this week has been especially crazy (and still isn’t quite over)… though it’s encouraging that my Real Money Portfolio has been a little bit stronger than the market so far this year — partly because of brilliant stock selection, I’d like […]
Today I’m starting my Annual Review, during which I take a (hopefully fresh-eyed) look at every stock in my Real Money Portfolio and update my opinion for you (and, frankly, for me, since it’s a good exercise). Some of these stocks pop up in my writing practically every week, but for others where there might […]
Heydy ho, Gumshoe friends… today I’m going to go a little over my allotted time, this is the last Friday File for 2019 so I’m going to throw in a teaser solution for you first, then go over some updates and changes and news items from the Real Money Portfolio… ready? The teaser that some […]
It’s “goodwill toward all” season, right? So now is the time to get ready to be nice to yourself. I don’t know whether this trade war will end, or if impeachment will lead to something bigger, or whether President Trump will find a way to goose the stock market again next year to boost his […]
Earnings season is clobbering me with news once again this week, so there’s a lot to share… I’ll start with the actual transactions I made today, and move on to look at a dozen other stocks I own or am watching… buckle up! We’ll start with the one that probably most of you can’t easily […]
This week brought yet another push-pull to the markets as investors attempt to figure out whether Lucy is going to pull the football away from Charlie Brown again in the China trade talks, but the narrative that struck me as most interesting on the week was the line that was drawn in the economy by […]
Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) hit a stop loss yesterday thanks to a sector-wide collapse of marijuana stocks. The big news that hits IIPR directly this week was that MedMen dropped its plan to buy PharmaCann, which is IIPR’s biggest tenant, so I did take the somewhat cautious step of buying a few protective puts just […]
The competition for your brokerage account has gotten fierce again, which is great news for investors. There’s no longer any reason to pay brokerage commissions for buying or selling stock… which makes it so much easier for small individual shareholders to be slow and gradual in their portfolio-building, and I think that’s great — don’t […]
Barron’s Says It’s Time to Bet Against Pot StocksInteresting article in Barron’s today: https://www.barrons.com/articles/weworks-ipo-failed-now-its-time-to-bet-against-marijuana-stocks-51570094101 I’d be interested in your take, in particular in relation to IIPR – which the article does not mention. Thank you
We first published this teaser solution on January 8, and I’m continuing to get the ad forwarded to me here at Gumshoe HQ pretty much every day… so I thought I’d repost this solution and provide you with a bit of an update (the story has changed a little, and I’ve learned a little more […]
President Trump and his team have reportedly been talking about ways to “delist China” from US stock markets or otherwise put up some barriers to prevent US investors from putting money into China, which put a scare into pretty much all the US-traded Chinese stocks and ETFs… I have no idea if that’s going to […]
The allure of income is overwhelming, and one thing that many small or novice investors have in common is the certitude with which they believe that there’s a “secret” income source out there… a way to just “tap in” to the money that institutional investors are making. That’s why these kinds of “payday” and “weekly […]
Those of you who’ve been aboard the good ship Gumshoe for a while know that I’m not exactly a marijuana stock enthusiast… but still, when folks keep asking me to ID the pot stocks being teased by various newsletters, I do aim to please. So this time we’re looking at Matt McCall’s pitch, which looks […]
Here’s what I’m trying to avoid: Predicting the direction of the markets because of my deep understanding of US-China trade dynamics. Every time I read an article that asserts “China trade deal more likely because of Bolton firing” or something like that, I throw up in my mouth a little bit. The market is way […]
Gold had its worst day yesterday since 2016, so that was a little shock to the system — mostly, I think, because the latest leaks and Tweets about the China trade dispute were relatively optimistic, with meetings scheduled for next month. It’s hard to imagine we’re going to have a “real” trade deal before the […]
Things began slowly this week after a weekend of decadence in Las Vegas… what impressions did I have of Sin City? People aren’t gambling as much as the last time I was here a few years ago, the tables and slot machines were not so crowded, but there were still some big crowds of people […]
What’s going on with the market this week? Well, the accepted narrative keeps shifting — first we had trade war panic as Trump announced new tariffs last week, then celebration as those tariffs were delayed to ‘save Christmas’, and the market is overly obsessed with the high-level game of chicken being played by Trump and […]
I covered a “powdered plasma” ad from Michael Robinson just yesterday, but it turns out the he’s also flogging “cryogenic blood” separately, in different ads for his same Nova-X Report newsletter, so I thought I better follow up to get rid of any confusion. The Thinkolator concluded that yesterday’s ad, teasing a Pennsylvania company, was […]
Another week of fussing about macro issues that we can neither control nor predict, what fun! The Federal Reserve did exactly what the market demanded in cutting rates, but the market was still mad because they failed to promise that they would give us each a pony. President Trump seemed angered by the lack of […]
Thanks for your kind wishes (and patience) as I took a couple weeks off with my family — we had a wonderful and relaxing getaway in a few of the jewels of the Rocky Mountains as we toured through some northern national parks, most of them blessedly devoid of cell phone service or wifi, but […]
HI Travis any idea on the punishing of IIRP’s stock price. I get they issued new shares at a lower price than market. the reaction seems severe. wondering if you have any insight?
Indulge me for a moment, dear reader — I’m going to wander around thinking about valuation and about short selling, then get into talking about a current situation that closely mirrors some of the long/short pairs trades I’ve done in the past year or so. Then we’ll talk some about gold, since that seems to […]
This article was originally published on March 26, the ad in question continues to circulate unchanged but we have lightly updated our coverage below to reflect some changes in the company… including the 40% drop in the share price since the ad started running. Matthew Carr at the Oxford Club is pitching a new marijuana […]
There’s no more cyclical stock than a semiconductor stock, and we’re seeing the whipsaw slash through that market now as trade sentiment weakens and pundits begin to see some weakness in the economy, particularly in the employment numbers, and the Federal Reserve fuels that uncertainty by essentially promising a rate cut in their attempt to […]
Sometimes I get so deep in the weeds in struggling through the absurd promises and promotions from investment newsletters that I forget to mention the one key common-sense tool that we all have at our disposal: If it sounds way to good to be true, it’s not true. Sadly, in the world of investing we […]
I’ve got a new buy to go into in some detail today, but first let’s go through some meaningful earnings reports that shook up the Real Money Portfolio this week and sent some questions my way… The Trade Desk (TTD) beat the analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings this quarter, but not in a […]
As we close in on the end of the first quarter, it’s time to release some more data — I just posted the 2019 teaser tracking spreadsheet for you, you can find it on the tracking page along with all our previous years and use it both to see what we’ve been covering so far […]
It seems we’ve officially entered a period of another “Fed Put” — Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s statements yesterday were widely interpreted to mean that there will be no interest rate hikes this year, or maybe ever again, and that the Fed will stop its “quantitative tightening” in six months or so, leaving a huge and […]
Happy Friday! Let’s start you out with my favorite article that I read this past week: Michael Batnick’s Twenty Craziest Investing Facts Ever. Go read it whenever you’re convinced that you know what is going to happen over the next few weeks… or even the next few years. So… what’s going on in the portfolio […]
I’ve got a couple updated thoughts to share with you on some Real Money Portfolio companies, including answering some reader questions about when to take profits on IIPR (I’ll warn you up front, my answer is wishy-washy), but first I’ve got a quick teaser solution for your Friday edutainment. Just today I got a teaser […]
Everyone was watching this week to see if Warren Buffett did anything big with Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK-B) portfolio in the fourth quarter of last year, news that comes once each quarter (large investors have to file their end-of-quarter holdings in US stocks 45 days after the quarter ends), and… he didn’t. Berkshire did add to […]
I’m going to get to several updates on Real Money Portfolio stocks at the end, including those questions “What to do with Qualcomm (QCOM)?” … but first, I’m going to go through the stocks where I’ve completed my Annual Review this week. Each year I promise to re-analyze and reconsider my opinion about each stock […]
We have a couple traditions here at Stock Gumshoe… we call out one of the worst teaser stock ideas around Thanksgiving and identify the “Turkey of the Year,” and then, as the year comes to a close and holiday merriment washes all around us, we call attention to the best teaser stocks of the year. […]
This article originally ran on October 25, the ad is again circulating in slightly different form and sending a lot of questions our way, so we’re re-publishing it here for you today… the basic spiel and the stock are still the same, though they’re being used to pitch a different newsletter. The stock has bumped […]
There was an election on Tuesday, I hear. I voted. The counting is almost over now. Apparently the world did not end, and now we begin the campaign for the next election… everyone raise their hand who wants to vote for austerity and deficit reduction and lower spending and higher taxes and delayed Social Security […]
Is this the beginning of a 30-60% decline in the stock market? A correction to blow off a little of the excess in the valuations of growth stocks that’s almost over? Something in between? Nobody knows, and it would be silly to spend too much time guessing. We should be prepared for either — which […]
The next wireless standard to be adopted by telecom service providers might be the biggest one since 3G enabled the first real “high speed” data and reasonably useful internet access by smart phones. And new wireless standards are always of interest to investors, not least because the growth of smartphones has tracked the improving networks […]
Have you been watching what’s going on with the trendy pot stocks lately? Holy crap. This reminds me now of 1999 more than it reminds me of the cryptocurrency bubble of this past winter — these larger marijuana companies, like many of the dot com companies (and unlike most cryptos, of course), are real businesses […]
A few purchases to talk to you about today, and a couple other notes as we go… mostly on the theme of risk and safety, as we close out a week with lots of news-driven volatility. Ready? Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) is, in some ways, a fun way to “play” the marijuana boom with less […]
Before you get sucked into reading more of my blather, take a moment and read the Wall Street Journal if you’ve got a copy nearby or an online subscription — not the whole thing, but read Christopher Mims’ column The World Isn’t as Bad as Your Wired Brain Tells You. It’s an unusually brief and […]
Today I’m doing something a little different — this ad from The Wealth Advisory about “The Only Pot Stock I Will Ever Own” has been getting a lot of attention from readers and driven a lot of questions our way, so here I’m re-posting for all readers a Friday File piece that I wrote about […]
Today we’ve got a bonanza of content for my favorite people (yes, that’s you!) — a couple quick teaser solutions to close out the week, which morphs right into one little transaction in my portfolio, and then an update on a few other things that are going on with Real Money Portfolio stocks. Ready? OK, […]
Hello, dear friends — I have a few portfolio updates to start with as I get you updated on a few trades that triggered since I last wrote, so adjustments to the portfolio (including a few buys and sells) will be the focus of today’s Friday File. The latest update to the Real Money Portfolio […]
This counts as a “holy crap!” week when it comes to earnings, not because of any huge reporting that moved the market but because of the surge by just one stock, our fad retailer Five Below (FIVE) after earnings on Wednesday night. FIVE is generally lumped into the “dollar store” category, it’s the teen-focused retailer […]
CoreSite (COR) announced their latest dividend increase this week, which I’ve been anticipating — would they continue to be a rapid dividend growth REIT and keep investors excited, or will the slowing of the dividend growth continue to make me more cautious about the valuation of this highflier? Well, it turns out that the dividend […]
The number of questions about this one is going off the charts, so I’ll look into it for you — even though it’s related to not one but two bubblicious sectors that are designed for the manipulation of investors, so I might get a little grumpy. Bear with me. Here’s a little tantalizer from the […]
This article was originally published on January 11, but the Casey folks are promoting these same five stocks quite similarly with the bait of their “Become a Marijuana Millionaire in 2018” report, focusing on the impending Canadian legalization this summer, so we’re re-posting our January article here to answer some reader questions. The five stocks […]
A few thoughts to share with you today, and I’m breaking it up into two different pieces — this first one includes a few updates on companies and a couple articles that caught my eye this week… and the second piece is my notes and reactions following the Grant’s Interest Rate Observer Conference, which I […]
What do I think? That’s what a lot of readers are asking during these volatile days… and there is, of course, no easy answer. My thoughts are all over the place, so today’s Friday File musings are going to run the gamut. Tesla (TSLA) is a good example of how the market is treating investors […]
And our Annual Review proceeds apace… on a day when the market is showing signs of actually having a meaningful correction, thanks to Friday jitters and inflation worries and rising interest rates… so cross your fingers for better prices in the week to come (I did buy a couple positions this week, but as I […]
I’m not going to get as much of a start on the Annual Review as I hoped today, since I took some time to answer the urgent queries about Dr. Kent Moors’ latest LNG pitch and also posted some thoughts about Facebook this morning … but I do have a couple updates on the portfolio, […]
Many Gumshoe readers wanted me to follow up on yesterday’s marijuana article right away, identifying the other two stocks hinted at in the ads for Nick Giambruno’s Crisis Investing… and we aim to please, so let’s jump right into it. If you missed part one, you can check that out here — the overriding argument […]
Comments
has anyone subscribed to the Extreme Dividends letter? results?...
The two pitches we've looked at from Marc this year are about a fintech stock, ...
Marc Lichtenfeld doesn't care if he's right or wrong. Every loss I have is from his recommendations from the Oxford Club...
Has anyone had legit success with the lightning trade report?...
As far as me is concerned, any thing smelling at Oxford Club, I say NO THANKS, allthough Marc Lichtenfeld isn´t as bad ...
Haven't written about Lichtenfeld's tease, but someone sent it to me today and it's clearly Ligand being touted as this ...
Unlike some other facets of the Oxford Club, the Income Letter, which focuses on dividend stocks, is a no nonsense knowl...
This is almost the same ad Marc Lichtenfeld from Oxford used in around 2012? to push Graftech (GTI). The same company Mi...
I would say Marc Lichtenfeld offered the 300,000% as a long term (retire on) potential if it was applied to all genetic...
This stock tease is back from Alexander Green and Oxford. Months Later. What is the deal, Travis? p.s. is the Marc...
I recently saw Marc Lichtenfeld at a Moneyshow where he was talking about high yield stocks in a low yield environment. ...
I just received a teaser from Marc Lichtenfeld (oxford communications / lightning trader for a stock that is not public ...
What do you think the Marc Lichtenfeld "How to play the first 100 day window" Trump Ten Trades may be?...
I think that's probably the Marc Lichtenfeld promo I wrote about last month -- you can see the article here: http://www....
Gummies, Last week I gave you part 1 of "Why the Bull Market in Biotech Will Continue (Part 1 of 2) here... http://w...
$PDLI: For those who would happened to be in PDLI, Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, at The Oxford Club has a n...
This from Marc Lichtenfeld at the Oxford Club: I will post part 2 once I get it. Not a compelling read but it is reassu...
Thomas: Found your comments interesting and informative - if only Oxford Club advertised its premium services something...
Greta: I'm not sure I see what the point is in trying to guess the 4 "great opportunities" being hyped by Marc Lichtenf...
Alison: Marc Lichtenfeld is talking about his results during the year 2013 - his "service" was actually called "Healthc...
My impression is that Marc Lichtenfeld (it's not Lichtenstein) of Oxford Club is a smart guy and works hard - but my adv...
Wow, First to comment! Too bad I don't have much to say about BDC's but I do like the back door way to potential IPO's ...
Marc Lichtenfeld is spouting off about a new top performing research service called Lightning Trends Trader. Anyone out...
I have never had First Access, but have been stung by Marc Lichtenfeld when he wrote about Accuray (ARAY) for Xcelerated...
Recently subscribed reader who is impressed and enjoys your site. Will probably become a paying subscriber very soon. ...
Thanks -- and good point on the "triple," though I think bypassing the fact that you need to put up collateral for a sho...
Thanks, Gumshoe. I got this teaser this week and it had me tempted, but I typed Marc Lichtenfeld into your search engin...
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=MELA#symbol=MELA;range=2y I'm just killing time between church & the BbQ at th...