I’m celebrating my birthday tomorrow, so this Friday File comes to you a bit early — call it a Thursday File, I guess. That means I won’t be catching any interesting news that might come out of this evening’s conference calls, as earnings season continues to progress, but I’ll catch up with those next week… […]
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Is the world going to hell in a handbasket? I get essentially that question all the time, particularly as the newsletters who are more prone to fearmongering ads begin to pepper our inboxes with panic about debt and social collapse and government overreach and, well, whatever things happen to be scaring the people who are […]
The Motley Fool got into real estate investing last year with a service called MillionAcres, which largely focuses on buying into real estate more directly, but they’re now building on that service with some newsletters and portfolios. The one they launched recently is called Real Estate Trailblazers, with a focus on investing in real estate […]
There are two conflicting drivers of my thinking right now: The notion that I should be conservative in cutting my losses on stocks that are losing money; and the fact that all of my largest mistakes have been made in selling stocks far too early. Yes, I’ve lost plenty of money in speculations or […]
I’ve got a lot of ground today, but I thought I’d start us out with solving a teaser pitch for you… you’ll see why I chose this one in a moment. Marc Lichtenfeld is out with a new pitch for a high-end Oxford Club service he’s launching called Predictive Profits ($1,497 “on sale” from $4,000, […]
Quite a week, no? As expected, my predictions about the election were wrong… and, perhaps more importantly, even anyone making a prediction about how the election returns were going to come out would have probably been wrong in guessing what might happen to the market in the wake of those results. I expected there to […]
As I noted yesterday, I added to my Teladoc (TDOC) position because of the Livongo Health (LVGO) acquisition. That acquisition doesn’t make this less of a risk, Livongo was one of the few companies trading at an even more lofty valuation than Teladoc during this COVID-19 crisis (on a price/sales metric, at least — though […]
I knew to buy like crazy last Friday morning, because people say that I am the SMARTEST INVESTOR IN THE WORLD. Woohoo! Oops, sorry, I forgot that I wasn’t selling myself with hype-filled puffery. That’s obviously not true, I did some buying last week and opened a few new positions that have done well so […]
Thank you for coming back and reading my musings week after week, we here at Stock Gumshoe would not exist if not for the attention and generosity of readers like you. I don’t say it enough, I’m sure, but I really appreciate you being with us… and having the patience to slog through these sometimes […]
It’s been a wild ride for the past couple weeks of coronavirus panic, and this week has been especially crazy (and still isn’t quite over)… though it’s encouraging that my Real Money Portfolio has been a little bit stronger than the market so far this year — partly because of brilliant stock selection, I’d like […]
It’s “goodwill toward all” season, right? So now is the time to get ready to be nice to yourself. I don’t know whether this trade war will end, or if impeachment will lead to something bigger, or whether President Trump will find a way to goose the stock market again next year to boost his […]
Happy Friday! I’ve got another reading assignment for you today… the researcher behind the Dunning-Kruger effect posted an interesting article called “We Are All Confident Idiots” a couple years ago that just came to my attention (I think someone posted it on Twitter, but forgot to jot down the original source). Here’s a little excerpt, […]
Today I’ve got a few portfolio moves to share with you that go against the Wall Street mantra (“sell your losers, let your winners run”)… last night I sold my position in Kweichow Moutai in China — this is a fantastic company, mostly because they have insanely high profit margins on their signature Moutai liquor… […]
I’ve got a couple updated thoughts to share with you on some Real Money Portfolio companies, including answering some reader questions about when to take profits on IIPR (I’ll warn you up front, my answer is wishy-washy), but first I’ve got a quick teaser solution for your Friday edutainment. Just today I got a teaser […]
I’m going to get to several updates on Real Money Portfolio stocks at the end, including those questions “What to do with Qualcomm (QCOM)?” … but first, I’m going to go through the stocks where I’ve completed my Annual Review this week. Each year I promise to re-analyze and reconsider my opinion about each stock […]
Lots to discuss this week, mostly because several Real Money Portfolio companies reported earnings… and because I added money to two positions this week, and brought a new company into the portfolio. Enjoy! Shopify (SHOP) had reasonable earnings when they came out, but “reasonable” isn’t enough for a high-growth momentum stock that’s trading at almost […]
Hello, dear friends — I have a few portfolio updates to start with as I get you updated on a few trades that triggered since I last wrote, so adjustments to the portfolio (including a few buys and sells) will be the focus of today’s Friday File. The latest update to the Real Money Portfolio […]
How shall we begin the day? How about some philosophizing… Remember to question just about everything, and be open to new information. Two examples for you: First… I live in Massachusetts, maligned many years ago as “Taxachusetts” during the Bush/Dukakis presidential race, and I find that I still run into articles or pundits citing the […]
We’ve seen a long stream of earnings reports and other worthwhile bits of data on Real Money Portfolio stocks since I last wrote to you, including some that actually included some interesting news, so prepare for a lot of quick updates…. Medical Properties Trust (MPW) reported another quarter of ho-hum… pretty much met the forecasts, […]
William McMorrow of Kennedy-Wilson spoke at the conference with a talk called, “lessons learned from 30 years of real estate value investing.” This is a company I’ve been keeping an eye on for a while, they were very opportunistic at building up real estate investments during the various Euro crises over the past decade, particularly […]
It was a little ugly to go from frolicking on the Florida beaches with the Little Gumshoes to wandering the cold and rainy streets of Toronto, but my trip to the Fairfax Financial Annual Meeting was worth the chill. Since I was there for Prem Watsa’s chat-fest, I came in a day early to check […]
I’ve heard Chris Mayer talk about his “Coffee Can” strategy before, but this new way that Agora is marketing it caught my eye: “Investing tips for the couch potato “This has got to be the laziest investment strategy out there today. “Imagine investing in stocks and coming back 10 years later to discover your money […]
As most of the Irregulars know, I try to get to all of the Value Investing Congress conferences, and I share my thoughts and notes on many of the stocks (and often invest in a few, eventually). This time I was able to make it to town in time for the pre-conference Workshop, which involves […]
These are my notes and instant reactions from a presentation at the Value Investing Congress, the notes below might contain errors, paraphrases, incorrect quotes, or misinterpretations. Chris Mayer is well known the mavens of Gumshoedom, not only because he has presented at the last two Value Investing Congresses but also because his publisher, Agora, has […]
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