This is the meat of earnings season for my holdings, so I’ve got a lot of fairly minor updates for you today in this one-day-early Friday File (OK, call it a Thursday File… sorry for the schedule change, but I’m traveling to Las Vegas, the Land of Good Choices, for a wedding this weekend, and […]
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Let’s start with the bad news this week. Activision Blizzard (ATVI) is a pretty reasonably valued company, valued at about 20X forward earnings now and with a predicted earnings growth rate (by the average analyst) in the 10-15% neighborhood. It’s one of the dominant game publishers in the world, it’s a large company (market cap […]
The hardest thing to do is nothing, and I again failed in that task this week. I added a new position to the Real Money Portfolio earlier this week in Match Group (MTCH), added a new position in a new company to the Lock Box at the close yesterday, and I’ll get to all of […]
Is the world going to hell in a handbasket? I get essentially that question all the time, particularly as the newsletters who are more prone to fearmongering ads begin to pepper our inboxes with panic about debt and social collapse and government overreach and, well, whatever things happen to be scaring the people who are […]
It’s pretty clear that the big picture narrative that the stock market cares about most is inflation, and, more importantly, the impact that rising inflation — at least if it’s not “transitory” and instead sticks around — will have on future interest rates and the ongoing spigot of free money that has supported stock prices. […]
More Royalties, Please… The world of precious metals royalties has been quietly changing a bit, with new entrants and some rising interest in gold as inflation concerns have heated up this year, so there are a few updates to share… but first… If you don’t know what royalties are, they’re best thought of as a […]
The Motley Fool got into real estate investing last year with a service called MillionAcres, which largely focuses on buying into real estate more directly, but they’re now building on that service with some newsletters and portfolios. The one they launched recently is called Real Estate Trailblazers, with a focus on investing in real estate […]
This is one of the biggest weeks for earnings in the Real Money Portfolio, so I’ll mostly be checking up on the quarterly updates from some of my larger holdings for you today… but in analyzing quarterly updates and other news, I did find myself drawn to make a few purchases (and one sale). If […]
It’s been a phenomenal couple years for the Real Money Portfolio, but I should also note that this has been to some degree a “monkeys throwing darts” kind of market — as long as you did more buying than selling over the past couple years, and as long as you kept your exposure to some […]
Happy New Year! The fact that this week’s portfolio moves included a little stop loss selling and some nibbles in asset management, insurance and music royalties probably tells you all you need to know about how cautious I feel to start this year… though, as always, I try not to have my personal sentiment drive […]
First, a hearty welcome and “thank you” to all the new Irregulars who joined us during the Gumshoe Gives Back campaign this week — we did set a new record, and the money is still rolling in… but you’ve got until midnight tonight to talk the rest of your friends into joining 🙂 And now, […]
Kind of seems like everyone wants to run away and hide until after the election, no? I can’t emphasize enough just how happy I am that this will all be over a week from now… or, at least, that the voting and the initial results will be over, I hope the polls are correct and […]
So what’s happening this week? We inch closer to the election, and to what I continue to expect will be a relief rally no matter how the results come out — the last time I was this eager for something to just be over was probably when I made the mistake of watching The English […]
Interest rates will be near zero for three more years now, we expect — that’s the basic takeaway from the Federal Reserve’s press conference this week. So what does that mean? In order to make money to meet their future obligations, retirees and pension funds and other investors have to take more risks. That’s ugly […]
As I noted yesterday, I added to my Teladoc (TDOC) position because of the Livongo Health (LVGO) acquisition. That acquisition doesn’t make this less of a risk, Livongo was one of the few companies trading at an even more lofty valuation than Teladoc during this COVID-19 crisis (on a price/sales metric, at least — though […]
I shared part one of our Friday File with you this morning, when I took some time to dig into a nanocap idea being teased by Keith Schaefer, so part two will be a little more brief… just a few quick notes about things of interest this week, and some minor moves in the Real […]
Sea Ltd (SE) is the stock I spent most of my time writing to you about last week, and they reported strong first quarter earnings on Monday. As expected, they saw some acceleration in users and revenue as the coronavirus began to impact Southeast Asia in March… and some indications that April represented even stronger […]
Have you ever heard the quote, “nothing tastes as good as thin feels?” Such sayings have been attributed to waif model Kate Moss, plenty of her anorexic fans, and dozens of others in the perfection industry (including Stephen Covey), and I’ll confess that the sentiment has never resonated with me even a little bit (as […]
We’re used to seeing biotech stocks surge because of the results of a clinical trial… but it’s quite crazy to see the whole market pinning its hopes on a clinical trial. Gilead’s (GILD) Remdisivir had some weak results leak last week and that helped inspire the market selloff (“Oh no, we won’t get a drug […]
We’re now a month past the “bottom” that the market hit on March 23 in the heat of the panic, and although the world is thinking about opening up now and throwing ever more “rescue” money from helicopters, we’re still not all that close to predicting when “back to normal” might hit… and just now […]
Thank you for coming back and reading my musings week after week, we here at Stock Gumshoe would not exist if not for the attention and generosity of readers like you. I don’t say it enough, I’m sure, but I really appreciate you being with us… and having the patience to slog through these sometimes […]
It’s been a wild week. The mood was still pretty upbeat on Monday and Tuesday, a little anxiety but a lot of complacency (including mine)… I was in Toronto early this week, with plenty of hand washing and hand sanitizer but no real signs of panic or changes in lifestyle for most folks — the […]
So… what’s a “Q-Share?” Are they some magical kind of stock that you can buy, through some secret method, that’s much better than the dumb old regular kinds of stocks you have in your brokerage account? Um, sadly, no… not really — but there is a rationale worth investigating here, and a secret stock to […]
Today I’m starting my Annual Review, during which I take a (hopefully fresh-eyed) look at every stock in my Real Money Portfolio and update my opinion for you (and, frankly, for me, since it’s a good exercise). Some of these stocks pop up in my writing practically every week, but for others where there might […]
Not a lot of buying and selling going on this week, as the market continues to seem to be reacting only to the “thumbs up” or “thumbs down” sentiment over a possible Chinese trade deal, but I did find one stock to buy… and caught up on a few others that have been catching my […]
Happy Friday! I’ve got another reading assignment for you today… the researcher behind the Dunning-Kruger effect posted an interesting article called “We Are All Confident Idiots” a couple years ago that just came to my attention (I think someone posted it on Twitter, but forgot to jot down the original source). Here’s a little excerpt, […]
Gold had its worst day yesterday since 2016, so that was a little shock to the system — mostly, I think, because the latest leaks and Tweets about the China trade dispute were relatively optimistic, with meetings scheduled for next month. It’s hard to imagine we’re going to have a “real” trade deal before the […]
Another week of fussing about macro issues that we can neither control nor predict, what fun! The Federal Reserve did exactly what the market demanded in cutting rates, but the market was still mad because they failed to promise that they would give us each a pony. President Trump seemed angered by the lack of […]
I’m going to get to several updates on Real Money Portfolio stocks at the end, including those questions “What to do with Qualcomm (QCOM)?” … but first, I’m going to go through the stocks where I’ve completed my Annual Review this week. Each year I promise to re-analyze and reconsider my opinion about each stock […]
Happy holiday season, campers! What’s up with the Real Money Portfolio as we head into a slow Thanksgiving week? The most brutal takedown of the week was NVIDIA (NVDA), which I’m sure many of you noticed this morning — that’s a stock that hit a stop loss a while back for us (I was watching […]
While we wait to see what Berkshire Hathaway’s quarter looked like, how’s the rest of the portfolio holding up? Holy Cow, Starbucks (SBUX)! Haven’t seen that stock take this big of a pop after earnings in a long time, and sentiment seems to have changed so quickly to a “this is a safe capital return […]
Since the other part of today’s Friday File is all about a biotech stock tease, I thought I’d start out this week’s look at my Real Money Portfolio stocks in that sector. I avoid the drug developers, for the most part, but health care should be a huge sector and a growing one, in general, […]
We’ve seen a long stream of earnings reports and other worthwhile bits of data on Real Money Portfolio stocks since I last wrote to you, including some that actually included some interesting news, so prepare for a lot of quick updates…. Medical Properties Trust (MPW) reported another quarter of ho-hum… pretty much met the forecasts, […]
A few more company updates for you as we finish up the Annual Review… almost done now, though a couple stragglers remain. Medical Properties Trust (MPW) ~2% position, $9.87 cost basis, currently ~12$. I’ve held this volatile hospital REIT for more than four years now, through a couple ignored stop-loss triggers along the way when […]
Today I’ll start by stating the obvious: One of the great problems with being an investor is that you can’t know for sure beforehand what’s a dip and a buying opportunity, and what’s the beginning of a long-term decline or a crash. That’s what sticks in my craw about mechanical stop-loss trading, because it doesn’t […]
Lots of folks have been asking me about Bitcoin and Ethereum and the other alt-currencies of late, for obvious reasons (well, it’s obvious why folks are curious about it — far less obvious why anyone would seek my wisdom on the subject)… so I’ve got an extended bit of blather about those currencies to share […]
First, let’s get the week’s changes to my Real Money Portfolio out of the way… and after that, I’ve got a few other updates on stocks that I follow for you, dear Irregulars. We’ve got a new stock in the portfolio…. As of tomorrow, I will have a position in NVIDIA (NVDA). This is a […]
Lots of news on companies in my Real Money Portfolio this week, so I’ll try to keep it fairly brief and share my updated thoughts on a bunch of them. Here goes! Shopify (SHOP), the e-commerce service provider that has been so aggressively pushed by the Motley Fool over the past year, released another fantastic […]
Today I thought I’d first share a few notes I made from the presentation that Pat Dorsey made made at the MIT Sloan Investment Conference I attended a couple weeks ago, since that’s the presentation that really had the most resonance for individual investors (and led to a few ideas that might be worth considering), […]
We’re closing in on the end of my annual navel-gazing exercise in portfolio review, and today it’s time to look at the “income” stocks in my portfolio. During the week next week I’ll catch up with a few smaller positions that don’t fit into the neat sectors I’ve divvied up thus far, like Disney, for […]
The market is down hard over these past couple weeks, thanks to worries about relatively steep valuations, the likelihood of an interest rate hike from the Fed next month and, much more than anything else, a full-on panic about the possibility of a Donald Trump presidency that would, one fears, bring an almost endless stream […]
I’ll be fairly brief today with my Friday musings for you today, because I’m off to the Grant’s Interest Rate Observer Conference on Tuesday next week and I expect I’ll be writing a few extra notes for the Irregulars based on what I see in those presentations. I’m particularly interested in hearing the thoughts of […]
I like the deal that Medical Properties Trust (MPW) did this week — thought he market was less enthused. They are purchasing nine acute care hospital properties from Steward Health, which is not far from Gumshoe HQ here in New England, and will also likely have an ongoing relationship with Steward as it tries to […]
Time for some “Idea of the Month” thoughts for you, dear Irregulars. When you think the investing climate is a little more nerve-wracking than usual, why not go with a master investor who’s also nervous and is preparing for an awful economy? I’ve spoken quite a few times about my fondness for insurance company stocks. […]
This ad caught my eye, because Nathan Slaughter (or his ad copywriter) is doing the same thing a lot of newsletter pundits do: Comparing apples to oranges in trying to give the impression that there’s some “secret” alternative to social security that save your retirement. (There is the old “secret” alternative, of course, it’s called […]
This is not a fundamental look at any of these stocks, but just a quick update on my personal portfolio. Like you, I have many priorities in my life… and some of those priorities changed a bit over the last week or two, so we’re considering some real estate transactions that make it important for […]
The latest ad from Dr. David Eifrig for his Income Intelligence service (published by Stansberry) makes it seem like there’s something secretive and amazing happening that will boost your portfolio… and it’s happening immediately and on a specific date (September 16). So what is it? Here’s the intro to the ad: “Last year, two of […]
Today I’m breaking up our Friday File into two segments, which many of you have noted that you prefer — one part is a teaser pitch solution, the other is an update on a few stocks that I own and/or have suggested to the Irregulars. The teaser pitch is a look into Cabot’s “Stock of […]
Barron’s came out with a note about Medical Properties Trust (MPW) over the weekend, and I was wondering if it would spur some profit-taking in the stock… doesn’t appear to have happened yet, the stock is down slightly after the open but is more or less in line with the other healthcare REITs. Here’s what […]
This week we don’t have a new teaser solution for your Friday File pleasure, so I’ll stick with some updates on a few stocks I’ve been watching this week… and next week, we’ll get our “Idea of the Month” piece up for you. And we also have a new piece from Dr. KSS up today, […]
I wrote a short note to you last weekend while I was attending the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, and as part of that I noted that I had taken some profits on several of my time-sensitive gold positions, including some warrants on Brazil Resources and call options on Sandstorm Gold, among others. I didn’t get […]
We’re just about shut down here at Stock Gumshoe HQ for the market holiday today, but I do have some updated thoughts and musings for you about a few of the companies I own and write about with some regularity: Leucadia (LUK), Medical Properties Trust (MPW), and Fosun (FOSUF). And I should also update you […]
As we enter mid-February and a slow week in Gumshoeland next week, I’ve got a few personal buys of stocks that we’ve mentioned before, and a new “Idea of the Month” candidate that’s maybe not quite ready to buy just yet (we’ll be closed on Monday, and will probably publish less than usual during the […]
I didn’t do anything with my portfolio this week, and I don’t think we’ve had significant news that changes my opinion about any of the stocks I wrote about in our Annual Review about ten days ago, so today I’ll just dig into a teaser pitch for your Friday File edutainment. Here’s the intro to […]
Each year I go through all of the stocks that I either own personally or have brought to the attention of the Irregulars (there’s quite a bit of overlap on those lists), and I make sure to update my thoughts and opinion on that stock in an organized and, hopefully, disciplined way — that helps […]
This is getting a little tiresome, no? Two new stop loss trades in my personal portfolio to tell you about — I sold half of my Lancashire Holdings position at $8.35 when that stop loss hit, my inclination would have been to buy more near these prices but, as I’ve been doing for six months […]
Before I get into a bunch of updates for companies I follow and/or own, with some good news and some bad news, I do have a quick teaser solution to toss on the fire for you… This one I got late today, and it’s from the Oxford Club’s Dave Fessler — he’s pitching his Oxford […]
I don’t have a compelling story to dig into today, so I’ll just share a couple updates and some of my thinking. Everything still seems to revolve around the Fed — will they raise rates? Will long-term rates get ahead of the Fed if they don’t? Will they have to try to find some new […]
Apparently Apple had some sort of news this week, and I guess the Federal Reserve is supposed to do something next week, eh? Well, there are thousands of market pundits who will tell you all about those things — and dozens who will tell you that the world is going to start coming to an […]
A few relatively brief things for you today — updates on the flailing ICON and the high-yield MPW, and a few thoughts on “macro” panics in the market. First, the ugly — checking in on Iconix (ICON), which I last looked at a few months ago. The stock has gotten cut in half just since […]
I’ve got a biotech teaser solution that might make you smile a bit, particularly if you’ve been following Dr. KSS’s articles and discussion threads, and then several holdings that reported recently to update my thoughts on a bit — including at least one that I’ve bought a little more of following earnings results. The tease […]
Maybe the scariest thing I can tell you is, “I’m not selling everything.” The drumbeat in my head continues to be one of worry, I continue to be a little bit surprised at how high stocks are going, and how resilient stocks are. But thankfully, I haven’t been acting on those macro worries — because […]
We’ve been on strange schedules here in Gumshoeland for the last two weeks, and during that time we’ve seen a large number of quarterly reports come through that deserve some attention or comment… as well as a few other notable news items that I feel like I should pay attention to. And, of course, we’ve […]
I’m feeling a little bit old today because my fourth baby, Stock Gumshoe, just celebrated its eighth birthday. Eight years of solving teasers, sharing thoughts, and defusing marketing hype… and it’s still such a cute little fella! I certainly never expected this to grow and get the attention of so many people when I sat […]
I have a few updates for you this week — there was a little bit of earnings news in the Gumshoe Universe, and I did a little rebalancing in my portfolio to get cash levels up in anticipation of future buying opportunities… but first, the latest pitch for Chris Versace’s Growth & Dividend Report caught […]
I’m still in the “accumulation” phase of my financial life — I’m trying to add to my savings and investment accounts as aggressively as a I can, and keeping my eye out a couple decades to what my holdings might do before I retire. Assuming I ever retire. So my perspective is, I know, quite […]
I’ve got a half dozen notes and comments on companies I own and follow for your Friday File pleasure today, but first I want to toss out a teaser solution for you to chew on… it’s a fun one. The pitch is from Keith Kohl for his new High Yield Energy Report, a newsletter that […]
I haven’t looked at the Capital Wave Forecast stuff from Shah Gilani in quite a while, so the latest teaser pitch from him and the Money Map folks caught my eye — particularly because he’s touting big moves in specific large-cap “blue chip” type stocks, which is pretty rare in newsletterdom (it’s a lot easier […]
All of you, dear Irregulars, know that Stock Gumshoe is not a “tip sheet,” and I don’t operate a portfolio for other people to emulate or copy, or even attempt to track the stocks we cover as if they were a portfolio of buys and sells with consistent trading advice… but I do keep a […]
A couple things to check in on before I get to the “meat” of today’s note for you. First… it turns out that Medical Properties Trust (MPW) is not a dividend grower. I thought they were signaling dividend growth with their increased guidance a couple weeks ago, and thought that they would hike the dividend […]
I’ve got a few thoughts for you on some companies I follow and own, and a little follow-up on last week’s chatter about hedge funds, but first I thought you’d like a quick teaser solution for your Friday File fun… The pitch is for Stephen Petranek’s Breakthrough Technology Alert — there’s been some discussion recently […]
This week there’s been quite a bit of news in stocks that I follow fairly closely or own or have featured in the past as “Idea of the Month” candidates for the irregulars, so I do have a bit of a teaser campaign to talk to you about (that’s the Casey bit), but I’m going […]
This is just a quick note to let you know that recent weakness in the shares of Medical Properties Trust (MPW), following their announcement of a stock offering, led a buy order to trigger in my account and I have now doubled my holdings in MPW. This is a real estate investment trust that does […]
I have a hard time jumping up and down and urging anyone to buy anything at this particular point in time — the market is not cheap, stocks with any kind of top line sales growth are expensive, real estate is being propped up by low interest rates that are likely to ease, and commodities […]
I’m traveling today so I’ll try to keep it brief for you (“for a change,” sighs the patient reader) … this morning I had a limit buy order triggered on a stock I haven’t written a lot about for you, and there were also some quarterly reports that have made me think over the last […]
“I’m glad to say that no matter how you feel about Obamacare, you can make money from one of my favorite little-known companies. “Look, I’ve studied this Obamacare law since it was first signed into effect. I’ve examined every angle on it I could. “And after months of painstaking research, turning it inside and out, […]
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Hi Travis -- FYI for you on #MPW: https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/hospital-transactions-and-valuation/medical-p...
Thanks Travis for your review after Q2. You reviewed MPW real state company focused on health facilities. Do you know OH...
Avi has begun the Market Pinball Wizard (MPW) service on SA since I became a full time participant in www.ElliottWaveTr...
thanks for the analysis of GAN and MPW. been watching MPW. need to bring at least a little optimism to my outlook so i...
I have also been looking hard at MPW. Decided not to buy now, sold put options instead. Nobody should follow my trades...
Greatly appreciate you revisiting your $GAN and $MPW thought processes. I had been micro-dosing GAN lately on its way do...
Unrelated, but read some good news from $MPW yesterday. Their tenant rents have been coming in at 96% the last two month...
Ouch. Sorry for the various cannabis losses you've endured. Seem like the whole industry got hit and is on pause for a w...
I added a little to my MPW position, I believe their ex-dividend date is this Wednesday....
The ones I own right now are CCI, IIPR, MPW and PW, with KW as kind of an honorary REIT. They’re all probably really ...
MPW is 5-10% over my preferred buy point after another good quarter, but dividend stocks have almost all been bid up pre...
What would you say are your top stocks / ETF / trusts with dividend compounding potential? Is Medical Properties Trust s...
There's been no recent company-specific news of note, I expect the stock just got a bit ahead of itself, so when all the...
That's what I feared last year, when I was first buying IIPR, but I'm not really worried about that as a risk anymore --...
As usual, thanks for an informative Friday File. Still confidently holding $MPW $NOK and $ERIC, seriously looking into o...
I like OHI for a medical REIT, better return than MPW...
Thanks for this review Travis. I'm long several of these stocks as well. The metals stocks have been a disappointment ...
Hi Travis I've been holding ATUSF for a couple of years now, adding a bit when it bottoms and reinvesting the divs. I'm...