Inflation may not change that quickly, but inflation expectations can change very abruptly — like this week, when a hotter-than-expected CPI number finally pushed the market over the edge and convinced investors to stop expecting a rate cut in March, or five+ rate cuts this year. That relatively small shift in sentiment, with the market […]
10 Comments Read MoreArticles
Friday File: Big Ups and Downs — Who’s Still a Buy, Who’s a Sell, What Have we Learned?
Friday File: Brookfield, WESCO, Pershing and China
Friday File: Soaring Amazon, Swooning Markel, and everything in between…
Updates following earnings for many of our Real Money Portfolio companies, particularly in tech and insurance
21 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Best of 2023
Checking out the best buys in the Real Money Portfolio over the past year... what can we learn from them?
9 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Yet More Thoughts on NVIDIA, plus an update on some “Slumping” Holdings (including one buy)
Friday File: Buying a Couple Disappointments (plus quarterly updates galore)
Friday File: Earnings Hits and Misses
Friday File: Earnings Reports Support Growth Stories… so far
Friday File: Expensive Stocks, How Worried Should We Be?
Robinson’s “$8 Trillion Invisible Railroad Launches in July” Tease — What’s the Stock?
Checking out the Digital Fortunes tease about "Operation Nightfall" from Michael Robinson
14 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Valuation Matters… and Why Don’t I Own Apple?
How I think about valuation, with some examples large and small... plus a few other Real Money Portfolio updates
19 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Another Bet on Electrical Infrastructure
A new buy, plus some big-picture musings, 13F notes, and updates on KEYS and NVDA
20 Comments Read MoreFriday File — WESCO, Icahn and more…
Friday File: Royalties Worth a Buy?
Friday File: Hits and Misses on the Earnings Front
Updates on TTD, WCC, ROKU, SHOP, TOST and KNSL... plus Teqnion, Munger and more...
14 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Momentum & Value Picks, A Watchlist Buy, and Some Risk Reduction
Friday File: What Have I Been MOST Wrong About?
Friday File: Prophets of Doom
Ooops, they did it again! Snap (SNAP), owner of the Snapchat messaging app and the most important company in online advertising, posted another horrible, no good, very bad earnings report, and fell 25% after hours, again. Not only does this signal the end of our way of life, but it also means that advertising is […]
18 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Earningspalooza Draws the Eye to Cheap Stocks
WCC: 25% down in a week.
Hello Travis. Any clue from Thinktolator about this important leg down of WCC ? Currently not worried but for sure surprised. Just inetersted to hear your view on this. Thank you
3 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Europe in the Lock Box, Splitsville, and “What’s my Favorite?”
Amazon (AMZN) is about to drop by 95%! Just kidding, but the price will fall about that much after the close tonight — the stock split they announced goes through today and will show up tomorrow in your account, if you own shares, so AMZN shareholders can expect to see 20X the number of shares […]
16 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Reflection on the Berkshire & Markel Confabs, plus a few buys and sells in a wild week
Updates on WCC, IIPR, SHOP, SAND, ILMN and more... and maybe a new Lock Box candidate
24 Comments Read More“Don’t Buy GLD” — What’s in that “10-Stock Inflation Protection Portfolio” Teased by Dan Ferris?
Checking out the latest teaser pitch from Extreme Value... and the Thinkolator has a good line on at least four or five of those ten stocks.
34 Comments Read More Attractively priced Travis’ Real Money Portfolio stocks relative to his “buy below” targets
Looking at the market and Travis’ portfolio with regard to the “max buy below” and “preferred buy below” prices. When I downloaded the data, there were four stocks trading below the preferred buy below hurdle (GOOG @ 25% below, WCC @ 13% below, BAM @ 11% below and AVLR @ 3% below). Seventeen are below […]
Leave a comment Read MoreFriday File: Warm Blankets and Rollercoasters
Updated buy levels for a bunch of Real Money Portfolio companies, including some big movers this week... plus one sell and two buys
34 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Annual Review Kicks Into Gear — Updates on Alphabet, Amazon and more…
Updated thoughts and price targets for some of our favorites, including AMZN, GOOG, EA, BR, WCC, AMD, MKL and more...
14 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Buying at lower prices, Selling at higher risk levels
Updates on Power REIT, Intuitive Surgical, Shopify, and some Data Infrastructure stocks and more Real Money Portfolio news...
15 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Year In Review
Friday File: DocuSign Craters… What to Do?
Closing out a tough week for tech stocks -- Buy? Sell? Close your eyes? Here's what I've done in the Real Money Portfolio...
19 Comments Read MoreFriday File: One Sell, Five Buys as Earnings Season Steams Ahead
Friday File: Freaking Out
ATVI, SFIX, BOMN Pershing and more... a stop loss and a little buying in the Real Money Portfoilo
29 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Another High Yielder to Light Up the Portfolio
I’m of many minds about the market, depending on how I feel in a given moment, so I try to avoid prognosticating… but if you want to force yourself to think about risk, as we all should do at least some of the time, one of the best go-tos is John Hussman, who has a […]
17 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Fed Foofaraw, and a Hodgepodge of Real Money Portfolio company updates
It’s pretty clear that the big picture narrative that the stock market cares about most is inflation, and, more importantly, the impact that rising inflation — at least if it’s not “transitory” and instead sticks around — will have on future interest rates and the ongoing spigot of free money that has supported stock prices. […]
20 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Sea, GAN, Keysight and some (possibly) big IIPR news
There are two conflicting drivers of my thinking right now: The notion that I should be conservative in cutting my losses on stocks that are losing money; and the fact that all of my largest mistakes have been made in selling stocks far too early. Yes, I’ve lost plenty of money in speculations or […]
49 Comments Read MoreFriday File: $30 “#1 Crypto Stock” Pitch… Plus Quarters from Fastly, Cloudflare, Roku, WESCO and more…
I’ve got a lot of ground today, but I thought I’d start us out with solving a teaser pitch for you… you’ll see why I chose this one in a moment. Marc Lichtenfeld is out with a new pitch for a high-end Oxford Club service he’s launching called Predictive Profits ($1,497 “on sale” from $4,000, […]
15 Comments Read MoreFriday File: More on Coinbase and Bitcoin, Quarters from Crown Castle and Intuitive Surgical, and more…
Three buys, one sell and a couple little speculations this week -- updates from the Real Money Portfolio
26 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Annual Review Part Three
More annual checkups on Real Money Portfolio stocks, including Berkshire, Kambi, GAN, Roku, Shopify, Brookfield and more...
50 Comments Read MoreFriday File: Some Buys Beyond the Games
A couple new Real Money Portfolio positions, plus Part One of the Annual Review (and, yes, some GameStop comments)
78 Comments Read MoreFriday File: A New Cyclical Buy
Adding a distributor to the Real Money Portfolio, plus a few more buys and sells, thoughts on Lemonade, Intuitive Surgical, Pershing Square and many more...
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VRT share price has certainly benefited from headline connections to AI and NVDA and I wonder if that has been more good...
Would love to hear your updated views on WCC now that a discouraging earnings report has been issued and the stock has f...
Remember that the merger of Anixter and Wesco was the combo of one mediocre company with another mediocre company. That...
Pretty big "miss" of their own forecasts, I'm working on some updated thoughts and a revised valuation for WCC now -- yo...
Hi Travis, WCC dropped 15% after earnings today, is it still good buy at this price, what do you think is good price to ...
I have been following WCC since Dec 2022, it certainly has its ups and downs. I didn't purchase in Dec 2022, then it ran...
Not particularly, though it could help if there's a real growth in data center demand, not just a big quarter or two of ...
Hi Travis, any update on WCC after earnings today? not sure why it went down 13%...
Two others to consider are MasTec (MTZ), not quite as levered to grid work as Quanta (PWR), or WESCO (WCC), which is the...
Hi Travis, what are your thoughts on WESCO (WCC) after earnings today, is it a good buy now. What is the buy price?...
I’m not aware of any specific reason for the latest drop in the share price. They do have some debt, and do depend on...
I'm no Doc, but here's my answer:Opinions are fleeting, and change all the time.The only honest answer I can give ...
Thank you for discussing WCC again, Travis. I saw the Barrons article and was pleased to see it confirmed your value the...
The only real traditional "industrials" I own right now are WESCO (WCC) and 3M (MMM), both of which are still in buy ran...
Travis. Thanks to you, I bought WCC and it has done well for me....
Trade Note:Today I cleared out my position in Yellowstone Acquisition (YSAC) and added some to my YSAC warrants (YSAC...
I haven't changed my mind since I added in the post-earnings diop, but will share some additional thoughts tomorrow....
Trade Note:Add-on buy today, as the drop on earnings brought down shares of WESCO to a more attractive level this morn...